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Kevin Caperna vs. Gabriele Lionetti Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kevin Caperna vs Gabriele Lionetti – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: PalaPellicone, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

The fight between Kevin Caperna and Gabriele Lionetti at Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 189 is set for May 31, 2025, in Rome, Italy. This welterweight bout is scheduled for three rounds. Gabriele Lionetti holds a significant edge in professional experience with a record of 9-7-0, while Kevin Caperna sports a less extensive 4-0-0 record. Both fighters have shown skill but Lionetti is favored by bookmakers likely due to his experience and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lionetti has more fights and wins, indicating greater ring experience and resilience. Caperna is undefeated but with fewer professional bouts, which could affect his ability to handle high-pressure moments.
  • There are no previous recorded fights between Kevin Caperna and Gabriele Lionetti, making this their first encounter.
  • No public information on current injuries for either fighter prior to the match.
  • The fight takes place in Rome, Italy, which may favor Lionetti slightly if he is familiar with the venue or local conditions, though this effect is likely minimal. Both fighters have had similar preparation periods.
  • Kevin Caperna will likely be motivated to preserve his undefeated record, while Gabriele Lionetti seeks to leverage his experience to secure a win and possibly improve his standing in the welterweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gabriele Lionetti: -230, Kevin Caperna: 190 Gabriele Lionetti ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Gabriele Lionetti -1.5: -120, Kevin Caperna +1.5: 100 Gabriele Lionetti -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gabriele Lionetti -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gabriele Lionetti at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Lionetti's greater experience and the odds favoring him, the prediction leans towards a win for Gabriele Lionetti. However, Caperna's undefeated status suggests potential for an upset, but Lionetti's probability of victory is higher.

Predicted Score: Gabriele Lionetti wins by decision or stoppage within 3 rounds


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Kevin Caperna vs. Gabriele Lionetti Prediction

Match Analysis: Kevin Caperna vs Gabriele Lionetti – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-31 Time: 2:30 PM UTC Location: PalaPellicone, Rome, Italy Game Overview The fight between Kevin Caperna and Gabriele Lionetti at Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 189 is set for May 31, 2025, in Rome, Italy. This welterweight bout is scheduled for three rounds. Gabriele […]

Gabriele Lionetti Kevin Caperna May 31, 2025 MMA/Boxing

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Marquel Mederos vs. Mark Choinski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marquel Mederos vs Mark Choinski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-07
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey

Game Overview

MarQuel Mederos, a rising lightweight prospect, faces undefeated newcomer Mark Choinski at UFC 316. Mederos, known for his aggressive striking style, is coming off a recent UFC debut year and aims to capitalize on his experience. Choinski, with a strong wrestling background, looks to utilize his grappling skills to counter Mederos' pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mederos has shown promising results with his high-volume striking, but often struggles with energy expenditure in later rounds. Choinski's wrestling could be a key factor in controlling Mederos.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between the fighters.
  • Mederos recently experienced a late scratch due to illness but is now cleared to fight.
  • The event is part of a stacked UFC card, which might not directly influence the fight but could impact fighter mentality.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Mederos seeking to build on his UFC experience and Choinski aiming to make a successful debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mederos: -202, Choinski: 172 MarQuel Mederos ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -185, Under 2.5: 143 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marquel Mederos -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

MarQuel Mederos is favored to win, likely by decision, due to his ability to maintain a high volume of strikes and apply constant pressure.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for MarQuel Mederos


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Quillan Salkilld vs. Yanal Ashmoz Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Quillan Salkilld vs Yanal Ashmoz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-07
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Game Overview

Quillan Salkilld faces Yanal Ashmoz in a Lightweight bout at UFC 316. Salkilld, a rising star from Australia with a 8-1-0 record, is favored due to his significant strike output and reach advantage. Ashmoz, known as the 'Red Fox,' is a compact powerhouse but may struggle against Salkilld's longer reach and higher strike rate.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Quillan Salkilld has a higher volume of significant strikes per minute (5.68) compared to Yanal Ashmoz (2.94). However, Ashmoz is more effective at blocking strikes (55% vs 43%).
  • No previous bouts between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries.
  • The fight is in New Jersey, which may not offer specific advantages for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated for a win, but Salkilld seems more focused on his championship aspirations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -550 for Quillan Salkilld, +400 for Yanal Ashmoz Quillan Salkilld ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 2.5 -160, Under 2.5 +130 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Quillan Salkilld -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Quillan Salkilld is likely to win due to his superior striking output and reach advantage.

Predicted Score: Quillan Salkilld wins via unanimous decision.


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Jeka Saragih vs. Joo Sang Yoo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jeka Saragih vs Joo Sang Yoo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-07
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Jeka Saragih and Joo Sang Yoo is set to take place on June 7, 2025, as part of the UFC event. Joo Sang Yoo, undefeated with an 8-0 record, is favored to win against Jeka Saragih, who has a 14-4 record. The odds strongly favor Yoo, indicating a higher likelihood of him emerging victorious.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Joo Sang Yoo's undefeated record and recent victories suggest he has the upper hand. Jeka Saragih, despite having a strong knockout record, recently lost by submission, which might affect his confidence.
  • There is no past head-to-head record between these fighters, making it a first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight venue and crowd might influence performance, but specific external factors are not detailed.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, but Joo Sang Yoo's undefeated status might give him an edge in terms of confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jeka Saragih: 380, Joo Sang Yoo: -500 Joo Sang Yoo ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 1.5: -135, Under 1.5: 105 Over 1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joo Sang Yoo -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joo Sang Yoo is predicted to win this match, given his undefeated record and recent performance.

Predicted Score: Decision or early stoppage in favor of Joo Sang Yoo.


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Chris de la Rocha vs. Randall Wallace Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Chris de la Rocha vs Randall Wallace – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-07
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Chris de la Rocha and Randall Wallace pits two fighters with different backgrounds. Chris de la Rocha has more notable experience, while Randall Wallace is active in various MMA promotions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chris de la Rocha likely has an advantage due to his experience and past performances. Randall Wallace might rely on his current form and recent activities.
  • No head-to-head data is available for these fighters.
  • No information is available about injuries affecting either fighter.
  • External factors such as crowd support and environmental conditions could influence performance, but specifics are not available.
  • Both fighters are likely motivated to win, but specific personal or professional motivations are not detailed.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -160:120 Chris de la Rocha ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chris de la Rocha -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on available data, Chris de la Rocha is favored to win.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Chris de la Rocha


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Erin Blanchfield vs. Maycee Barber Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Erin Blanchfield vs Maycee Barber – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 3:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Erin Blanchfield and Maycee Barber are set to face off in a highly anticipated women's flyweight bout at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters are ranked in the UFC's top five at 125 pounds, positioning them for a potential title shot. Blanchfield, currently ranked No. 4, recently defeated Rose Namajunas, while Barber, ranked No. 5, is on a six-fight winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Erin Blanchfield has shown strong performance in recent fights, including a victory over Rose Namajunas. Maycee Barber is on a six-fight winning streak, indicating her resurgence.
  • There is no prior head-to-head fight between Erin Blanchfield and Maycee Barber.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The fight is held at the UFC Apex, which can favor fighters with strong grappling skills. Both fighters are well-rounded and have shown no specific disadvantage at this venue.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with a potential title shot in the future.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -238 (Erin Blanchfield), 195 (Maycee Barber) Erin Blanchfield ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread -5.5 (Erin Blanchfield) 125, 5.5 (Maycee Barber) -170 Erin Blanchfield ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 4.5 -230, Under: 4.5 175 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Erin Blanchfield -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 51%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 51% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Erin Blanchfield is favored to win based on her recent performances and ranking.

Predicted Score: Decision or submission victory for Erin Blanchfield


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Mateusz Gamrot vs. L'udovit Klein Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mateusz Gamrot vs L'udovit Klein – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 2:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

Mateusz Gamrot faces L'udovit Klein in a highly anticipated lightweight bout at UFC Apex. Gamrot is a former two-time European submission wrestling champion and currently ranked in the UFC lightweight top 10, known for his strong wrestling and high takedown rate. Klein is unranked but boasts a 95.2% takedown defense and formidable striking. This is Klein’s biggest UFC opportunity to date[4][5][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gamrot averages 5.25 takedowns per fight with 43 UFC takedowns (2nd most in lightweight division), but Klein leads active lightweights in takedown defense (95.2%). Gamrot is a solid striker (3.23 significant strikes per minute) but absorbs a similar number (3.22), making him vulnerable to Klein’s power[5]. Klein is an aggressive striker with power and is difficult to take down.
  • First meeting between the two. No prior record.
  • No significant injuries reported; recent rumors of Klein’s injury were debunked[2].
  • Event held at UFC Apex, known for intense atmosphere and fan energy, but with a smaller crowd compared to larger arenas[1][3].
  • For Klein, this is the biggest fight of his career and a chance to break into the top 10. Gamrot is protecting his ranking and looking to reassert himself in the division[5][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mateusz Gamrot: -162 | L'udovit Klein: 136 Mateusz Gamrot ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Mateusz Gamrot: -3.5 150 | L'udovit Klein: 3.5 -205 L'udovit Klein +3.5 (covers) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -315 | Under: 2.5 230 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mateusz Gamrot -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mateusz Gamrot at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gamrot is the favorite due to his wrestling pedigree and top-10 ranking, but the fight is likely to be very close. Expect a competitive, technical battle with Gamrot edging the decision via grappling control and experience, though Klein’s takedown defense and striking power make him dangerous throughout. The fight may go the distance, with Gamrot winning by split or unanimous decision in a close contest[5][4].

Predicted Score: Mateusz Gamrot by decision (scorecards: 29–28, 29–28, 28–29; split decision)


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Billy Goff vs. Ramiz Brahimaj Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Billy Goff vs Ramiz Brahimaj – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 2:40 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Billy Goff (9-3-0), a versatile switch striker, faces Ramiz Brahimaj (11-5-0), an orthodox grappler, in a welterweight bout on the main card of UFC Vegas 107: Blanchfield vs Barber. This matchup pits Goff's significant strike volume (8.56 per min, 46% accuracy) against Brahimaj's grappling and defensive approach (2.26 significant strikes per min, 44% accuracy). Goff is favored by bookmakers, indicating faith in his striking and activity over Brahimaj's grappling prowess[2][3][4].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Billy Goff lands nearly four times the significant strikes per minute as Brahimaj and has better offensive and defensive striking metrics. Brahimaj relies more on wrestling and ground control, but Goff's high-volume output makes him the more active fighter on the feet[2].
  • No previous meetings between Goff and Brahimaj in MMA competition[2][3][4].
  • No public injury reports for either fighter ahead of this bout[1][2][4].
  • No major external factors reported; both fighters are healthy and fit for competition. This bout was rebooked due to previous visa and scheduling issues, but both are now set for this event[1][2].
  • Goff seeks to build momentum and climb the welterweight rankings, while Brahimaj aims to prove his grappling can overcome high-level strikers and get back on track after mixed recent results[2][4].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Billy Goff: -355, Ramiz Brahimaj: 280 Billy Goff ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Billy Goff: -3.5 (-195), Ramiz Brahimaj: +3.5 (140) Billy Goff covers spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5: -175, Under 1.5: 135 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Billy Goff -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Billy Goff is expected to win via decision or late stoppage, utilizing his high-volume striking and movement to dictate the pace. Brahimaj's best path is early takedowns and submission attempts, but Goff's defensive wrestling and high activity make him the safer pick[2][3][4].

Predicted Score: Billy Goff by decision (unanimous or split), 29-28


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Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dustin Jacoby vs Bruno Lopes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Dustin Jacoby and Bruno Lopes are scheduled to fight in the light heavyweight division at UFC Vegas 107. Jacoby, a more experienced fighter, is favored to win against Lopes, who is looking to pull off an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dustin Jacoby has a more active fight history with his last fight being 5 months ago. Bruno Lopes fought 4 months ago, but has been less active over the past few years.
  • There is no prior head-to-head fight history between Dustin Jacoby and Bruno Lopes.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter have been mentioned.
  • The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which may favor Jacoby due to his experience in similar settings.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Jacoby might have an edge due to his experience and recent activity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dustin Jacoby: -198, Bruno Lopes: 164 Dustin Jacoby to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Bruno Lopes: 3.5 -120, Dustin Jacoby: -3.5 -110 Dustin Jacoby to win by decision or early stoppage ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -110, Under: 2.5 -120 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dustin Jacoby -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Dustin Jacoby is likely to win the fight based on his recent activity and experience in the UFC.

Predicted Score: Dustin Jacoby wins by decision or TKO/KO in the 3rd round


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Zachary Reese vs. Dusko Todorovic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Zachary Reese vs Dusko Todorovic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 31, 2025
  • Time: 1:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Zachary Reese and Dusko Todorovic are set to face off in a middleweight bout at UFC Vegas 107. Reese is favored, with odds reflecting his recent form and performance in the UFC.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Zachary Reese has a 8-2 record, recently splitting his first four UFC fights. Dusko Todorovic has a 12-5 record but has lost his last two fights. Reese's recent knockout win over Julian Marquez earned him a Performance of the Night bonus.
  • This is their first meeting, with no prior head-to-head data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which could favor Reese due to his recent experience competing in the UFC.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Reese looking to bounce back from a loss and Todorovic seeking to end his losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Zachary Reese -230, Dusko Todorovic 190 Zachary Reese ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Zachary Reese -3.5 -225, Dusko Todorovic 3.5 165 Zachary Reese ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 140, Under 1.5 -180 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Zachary Reese -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Zachary Reese at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zachary Reese is predicted to win based on his recent form and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Zachary Reese via decision or TKO


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