Match Analysis: Kadeem Perkins vs Ciaran Brady – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Indigo at the O2, London, England
Game Overview
The bantamweight prelim fight between Kadeem Perkins and Ciaran Brady is set for three rounds as part of Cage Warriors 196. Perkins enters undefeated at 4-0, with a strong submission rate, while Brady is 3-0 with all wins by decision. Brady is favored on the moneyline at -175, while Perkins is a +135 underdog.
Key Factors to Consider
- Perkins has a perfect record with 75% submission wins, showing grappling dominance. Brady has won all fights by decision and has no submission or KO wins, indicating a more tactical, grinding style.
- This is their first recorded matchup, so no direct H2H data is available.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
- Fight takes place in London, England (home region advantage slightly favoring Brady from Ireland, close proximity). Both fighters motivated by maintaining undefeated records in the Cage Warriors circuit.
- Both fighters are undefeated and looking to build early momentum; Perkins may have slight mental edge due to finishing capabilities and recent tournament success.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brady -175 / Perkins +135 | Brady | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Brady -1.5 rounds (implied) at standard -110 | Brady -1.5 rounds | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Under 2.5 rounds around -165; Over 2.5 rounds around +120 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ciaran Brady -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Ciaran Brady at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Ciaran Brady to win by decision; Spread: Brady to win by 3 round decision (i.e., full distance); Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Ciaran Brady wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds