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John Mitchell vs. Lorenzo Parente Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: John Mitchell vs Lorenzo Parente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: SSE Arena, Belfast

Game Overview

The lightweight MMA bout between John Mitchell and Lorenzo Parente is scheduled for May 10, 2025, at 18:00 UTC as part of the PFL Europe 1 main card. Both fighters are emerging in the PFL lightweight division, with contrasting records and fighting styles. Mitchell comes in as the betting favorite, while Parente remains undefeated in his 4-fight MMA career.

Key Factors to Consider

  • John Mitchell is favored due to greater experience and a more established fight record, while Lorenzo Parente is an undefeated prospect standing at 4-0, showing strong potential but less proven at this level.
  • This match is their first professional encounter, so no direct head-to-head data is available.
  • There are no public reports of injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • The fight is held at SSE Arena in Belfast, potentially giving John Mitchell slight home advantage if crowd support favors him; however, both fighters are accustomed to competing in large venues.
  • Mitchell aims to reinforce his status in the lightweight division, while Parente looks to continue his undefeated streak and make a significant impact in PFL Europe.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline John Mitchell: -350, Lorenzo Parente: 225 John Mitchell ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread John Mitchell: -1.5 rounds at -120, Lorenzo Parente: +1.5 rounds at +100 John Mitchell -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline John Mitchell -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: John Mitchell at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

John Mitchell is predicted to win the match by decision or late stoppage, given his experience edge and betting market confidence. Lorenzo Parente is a dangerous opponent but may face challenges against Mitchell's more seasoned skill set.

Predicted Score: John Mitchell wins by decision after 3 rounds


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John Mitchell vs. Lorenzo Parente Prediction

Match Analysis: John Mitchell vs Lorenzo Parente – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-10 Time: 2:00 AM UTC Location: SSE Arena, Belfast Game Overview The lightweight MMA bout between John Mitchell and Lorenzo Parente is scheduled for May 10, 2025, at 18:00 UTC as part of the PFL Europe 1 main card. Both fighters are emerging […]

John Mitchell Lorenzo Parente May 11, 2025 MMA/Boxing

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Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Bell Centre, Montréal, Québec, Canada

Game Overview

The UFC 315 main event features welterweight champion Belal Muhammad defending his title against rising contender Jack Della Maddalena. Muhammad is known for his relentless pace, exceptional wrestling, and superior cardio, having remained unbeaten in his last eleven fights and winning the belt with a dominant display over Leon Edwards. Della Maddalena brings a striking-heavy style with accuracy and finishing ability, having won seven straight fights with five finishes, including a notable comeback knockout against Gilbert Burns. This fight pits a pressure wrestler and seasoned five-round fighter against a precise and powerful striker.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Belal Muhammad's recent performances highlight his dominant wrestling and control over opponents coupled with elite cardio that wears down challengers over five rounds. Jack Della Maddalena's streak of finishes showcases his striking accuracy and ability to capitalize on opportunities, though he has less experience in championship-distance bouts.
  • This is the first meeting between Muhammad and Della Maddalena, so there is no direct head-to-head history to analyze.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to UFC 315.
  • The fight takes place in Montréal, which could offer a neutral environment for both fighters, though Muhammad is more accustomed to high-pressure UFC headlining events. Both fighters have had ample time to prepare without noticeable external distractions.
  • Muhammad is motivated to defend his welterweight title and extend his unbeaten run, solidifying his status as champion. Della Maddalena is highly motivated to capture the belt and prove his striking can overcome a dominant wrestler, with the stakes at career-high levels.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Belal Muhammad: -192, Jack Della Maddalena: 160 Belal Muhammad to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Belal Muhammad -5.5: 120, Jack Della Maddalena +5.5: -165 Belal Muhammad to cover -5.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 4.5 rounds: -200, Under 4.5 rounds: 154 Under 4.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Belal Muhammad -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 52%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 52% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Belal Muhammad is predicted to retain his welterweight title via unanimous decision, leveraging his wrestling dominance, durability, and experience in five-round championship fights to neutralize Della Maddalena's striking threats.

Predicted Score: Belal Muhammad wins by unanimous decision after 5 rounds


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Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Valentina Shevchenko vs Manon Fiorot – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

Valentina Shevchenko defends her UFC Women's Flyweight title against undefeated challenger Manon Fiorot in the co-main event of UFC 315. Shevchenko, a seasoned champion, returns after avenging her loss to Alexa Grasso, while Fiorot comes off a dominant win over Erin Blanchfield. The fight is highly anticipated, with both fighters bringing contrasting styles and strong resumes into the octagon.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Shevchenko: 13-3-1 in UFC, recent avenging win over Grasso; Fiorot: 7-0 in UFC, dominant recent form.
  • First meeting between these fighters.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fiorot returns from a year-long hiatus; Shevchenko slightly older, more experienced; fight held in Montreal, potentially neutral crowd.
  • Shevchenko feels disrespected and is fighting as the betting underdog. Fiorot is highly motivated to remain undefeated and claim the title.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manon Fiorot: -135, Valentina Shevchenko: 114 Manon Fiorot (slight favorite) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Manon Fiorot: -5.5 (165), Valentina Shevchenko: 5.5 (-225) Valentina Shevchenko covers (due to close nature of fight and spread value) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 4.5 (-315), Under: 4.5 (230) Under 4.5 (value play, but fight could go the distance) ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manon Fiorot 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 72%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 72% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shevchenko's experience and championship pedigree give her a slight edge in a five-round war, but Fiorot’s youth, size, and undefeated run make her a formidable opponent. AI models and expert analysis suggest Shevchenko could win via KO/TKO, while Fiorot may have a path to victory by decision if she controls the pace. Given the odds and both fighters' recent form, this is a closely contested, high-level championship bout.

Predicted Score: Valentina Shevchenko def. Manon Fiorot via Split Decision (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)


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José Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: José Aldo vs Aiemann Zahabi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 3:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC 315, Venue TBD

Game Overview

The upcoming bantamweight MMA bout features veteran José Aldo with a record of 32-9 facing the younger contender Aiemann Zahabi who holds a record of 12-2. The fight is scheduled for UFC 315 on May 11, 2025. Aldo, with extensive experience and a notable knockout power, seeks to reclaim momentum after recent mixed results, whereas Zahabi arrives with a strong winning streak and high confidence from recent victories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • José Aldo has displayed resilience with 3 wins in his last 5 fights, but recent performances show some decline including a split decision loss at UFC 307. Aldo’s fights tend to last over 3 rounds on average, indicating endurance but possibly less finishing power recently. Zahabi has been more consistent lately with only 2 losses overall, and his fights generally end quicker, averaging 2.5 rounds, highlighting his aggressiveness and finishing ability.
  • This will be their first professional meeting, so direct head-to-head data is unavailable. Aldo’s extensive experience (41 matches) versus Zahabi’s fewer but highly successful bouts (14 matches) will be a crucial storyline.
  • No explicit injuries reported for either fighter close to the fight date, suggesting both are near full fitness.
  • The bout’s setting at UFC 315 provides a high-profile platform. Aldo’s veteran status and fan following could provide motivational advantage, while Zahabi’s rising profile and youth may add pressure to prove himself at this level.
  • Aldo, at 38 years old, is motivated to demonstrate he remains relevant in the bantamweight division. Zahabi, at 37, though close in age, is newer and likely highly motivated to solidify his standing in the UFC ranks by defeating a former champion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline José Aldo: -192, Aiemann Zahabi: 160 José Aldo win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread José Aldo -3.5: 125, Aiemann Zahabi +3.5: -175 José Aldo covers -3.5 rounds spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -410, Under 2.5 rounds: 290 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline José Aldo -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: José Aldo at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

José Aldo is favored due to his extensive experience, slightly better recent performance metrics, and odds reflecting him as the favorite. However, Zahabi’s youth, finishing potential, and momentum represent a credible threat. Expect a competitive bout with a probable decision or late-round finish favoring Aldo.

Predicted Score: José Aldo wins by unanimous decision or late-round TKO around 3 to 4 rounds


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Alexa Grasso vs. Natalia Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alexa Grasso vs Natalia Silva – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 2:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC 315 (Venue not explicitly stated in search results)

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC 315 flyweight bout between Alexa Grasso and Natalia Silva is highly anticipated, featuring contrasting styles. Grasso is known for her striking, particularly with her hands, while Silva excels in leg-based attacks. Silva enters with an 18-5-1 MMA record and undefeated 6-0 UFC record, positioning this fight as a critical step toward a potential title shot. Both fighters are expected to deliver dynamic striking exchanges and grappling battles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alexa Grasso shows strong takedown accuracy (40%) and moderate takedown defense (54%), relying heavily on powerful hand strikes. Natalia Silva has an undefeated UFC streak and demonstrates effective leg strikes and overall diverse skill sets.
  • No direct head-to-head bouts between Alexa Grasso and Natalia Silva recorded, making this a first-time matchup with high stakes for both fighters.
  • No injury reports or indications of physical setbacks for either fighter have been found in the recent coverage.
  • The fight takes place at UFC 315, a major event which adds pressure and motivation. Fan anticipation and social media buzz indicate high excitement and support for both fighters.
  • Natalia Silva is highly motivated to secure a victory to make a strong case for a title shot. Alexa Grasso is motivated to showcase her striking and prove her skills against a rising contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alexa Grasso: 205, Natalia Silva: -250 Natalia Silva ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Alexa Grasso: 3.5 -140, Natalia Silva: -3.5 100 Natalia Silva -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -475, Under 2.5: 325 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Natalia Silva -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Natalia Silva at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Silva’s undefeated UFC record and momentum, combined with Grasso’s striking prowess but less dominant grappling defense, Natalia Silva is favored to win a competitive striking and grappling battle. Expect a strategic, possibly close decision or late stoppage win for Silva.

Predicted Score: Natalia Silva wins by decision or late-round stoppage, 3 rounds to 0 or stoppage in round 3


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Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Kyle Prepolec Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Benoit Saint-Denis vs Kyle Prepolec – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 2:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

Benoit Saint-Denis is set to face Kyle Prepolec at UFC 315. Saint-Denis, ranked #13 in the lightweight division, was initially scheduled to fight Joel Alvarez before Prepolec stepped in as a last-minute replacement.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benoit Saint-Denis has a strong background with a 13-3 record, while Kyle Prepolec is riding a three-fight win streak after being released from the UFC in 2020.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between the two fighters.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter at this time.
  • Prepolec is fighting on short notice, which may impact his performance. Saint-Denis benefits from fighting on home soil.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated; Saint-Denis wants to maintain his ranking, and Prepolec aims to prove himself in the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benoit Saint-Denis -1050, Kyle Prepolec +675 Benoit Saint-Denis wins ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds +145, Under 1.5 rounds -188 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benoit Saint-Denis 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Benoit Saint-Denis at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benoit Saint-Denis is favored due to his higher ranking and more extensive UFC experience.

Predicted Score: Benoit Saint-Denis wins via stoppage in the first round.


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Modestas Bukauskas vs. Ion Cutelaba Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Modestas Bukauskas vs Ion Cutelaba – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Event Venue (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

The UFC 315 prelims feature a Light Heavyweight bout between Modestas Bukauskas and Ion Cutelaba. Both fighters have solid UFC experience with Bukauskas holding a 5-4 UFC record and Cutelaba with an 8-9-1 UFC record. Bukauskas, known for his well-rounded striking and grappling, aims to secure a finish, while Cutelaba brings aggressive style and resilience. The fight is expected to be competitive and likely to be decided by striking exchanges and the ability to implement game plans under pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bukauskas has recovered from a three-fight skid and appears focused with improved strategy and composure, demonstrated in recent interviews. Cutelaba maintains an aggressive approach but has a slightly less consistent record in UFC bouts, indicating volatility in performance.
  • This matchup appears to be their first meeting, with no prior head-to-head record available. Both fighters have comparable UFC experience but differ slightly in fighting style and recent form.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout as of the latest updates.
  • The fight is on UFC prelims, possibly affecting the fighters' motivation to make a strong impression for a potential main card rise. Modestas Bukauskas has publicly expressed motivation to earn a bonus-worthy performance, which may give him an edge.
  • Bukauskas is highly motivated to capitalize on recent progress and move closer to a significant UFC milestone. Cutelaba is known for his fighting spirit but may face pressure to improve his UFC record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Modestas Bukauskas: -108, Ion Cutelaba: -112 Modestas Bukauskas ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Modestas Bukauskas +3.5: -140, Ion Cutelaba -3.5: 100 Modestas Bukauskas +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -154, Under 1.5 rounds: 120 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Modestas Bukauskas -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Modestas Bukauskas is predicted to win, likely by a finish given his stated game plan and recent confidence. The fight may go to a late stoppage or decision if Cutelaba withstands early aggression.

Predicted Score: Bukauskas wins by TKO/KO or decision in Round 2 or 3


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Jessica Andrade vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jessica Andrade vs Jasmine Jasudavicius – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Canada

Game Overview

This UFC 315 preliminary card bout features a women's flyweight clash between former strawweight champion Jessica Andrade and Canadian rising contender Jasmine Jasudavicius. Jasudavicius, riding a strong winning streak, is eager to prove her title credentials by defeating a former champion. Andrade, known for her power and experience across multiple divisions, looks to bounce back and reassert herself near the top of the flyweight rankings. The matchup contrasts Jasudavicius' size, durability, and mat skills against Andrade's knockout power and veteran savvy.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jasudavicius (13-3, 7-2 UFC) enters with momentum, recently showcasing improved finishing ability, especially on the mat. Andrade (26-13, 17-11 UFC), one of the most decorated women in UFC history, is coming off a return to form in 2024 after a challenging 2023, but has historically struggled against larger flyweights.
  • No prior matchups. Andrade's experience and power are offset by her size disadvantage at flyweight. Jasudavicius has faced and beaten several Brazilian opponents recently, building a strong regional reputation within the division.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • The fight takes place in Montreal, Canada, giving Jasudavicius a hometown advantage. Andrade has been a consistent top-10 fighter but is undersized compared to Jasudavicius at flyweight. Personal turmoil for Andrade in recent years may be a consideration, but she has rebounded in her latest bouts.
  • Jasudavicius is highly motivated to leap into title contention with a win over a decorated opponent. Andrade, the former champ, is motivated to reclaim her spot at the top and prove her resilience after recent personal struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jasmine Jasudavicius: -310, Jessica Andrade: +250 Jasmine Jasudavicius High (75%)
Spread Jasmine Jasudavicius: -3.5 (-135), Jessica Andrade: +3.5 (+100) Jasmine Jasudavicius covers (-3.5) Medium-High (65%)
Over/under Over: 2.5 (-145), Under: 2.5 (+114) Under 2.5 Rounds Medium (55%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jasmine Jasudavicius -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jasudavicius wins, likely via late stoppage or submission. Her size, durability, and mat skills are expected to overcome Andrade's power and experience, especially given the Canadian's recent form and Andrade's historical struggles against larger flyweights.

Predicted Score: Jasmine Jasudavicius defeats Jessica Andrade by submission or TKO in Round 2


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Mike Malott vs. Charlie Radtke Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mike Malott vs Charlie Radtke – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

Mike Malott, known for his early finishing ability and submission skills, faces Charles Radtke, a tactical and resilient fighter coming off a TKO win. The bout is at welterweight and is generating significant interest, with Malott as the favorite due to his recent performances and home-country advantage. Both fighters are coming off wins, with Malott's last being a unanimous decision over Trevin Giles, while Radtke recently scored a TKO over Matthew Semelsberger.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Malott has an 11-2-1 record and has shown strong finishing ability, especially in the early rounds. Radtke stands at 10-4, with a tactical style and good endurance; he can gain momentum if the fight goes past the first two rounds.
  • No previous matchups between Malott and Radtke.
  • No major pre-fight injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Malott fights at home in Canada, which may boost his motivation. Radtke has engaged in pre-fight trash talk, but Malott remains focused.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated: Malott to impress his home crowd and continue his win streak, Radtke to prove himself against a higher-ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline {'Mike Malott': -166, 'Charlie Radtke': 140} Mike Malott to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread {'Mike Malott -3.5': -115, 'Charlie Radtke +3.5': -115} Mike Malott -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under {'Over 1.5': -154, 'Under 1.5': 120} Under 1.5 (fight ends in 1st or 2nd round) ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mike Malott -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mike Malott is favored due to his superior finishing ability and recent momentum. He’s expected to push aggressively in the early rounds, with a strong chance to finish Radtke via TKO in the first or second round. However, Radtke’s resilience and tactical approach could swing the fight if it goes late, but Malott’s home crowd and early aggression are likely decisive factors.

Predicted Score: Predicted Method: Mike Malott by TKO, Round 2


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Navajo Stirling vs. Ivan Erslan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Navajo Stirling vs Ivan Erslan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC (Prelims, Light Heavyweight Division)

Game Overview

This is a preliminary light heavyweight bout in the UFC, featuring Navajo Stirling (New Zealand) versus Ivan Erslan (Croatia). Stirling is the betting favorite, with Erslan considered a significant underdog. Both fighters are relatively tall for the division and have a competitive reach, though Stirling holds a slight edge in both height and reach. The fight is scheduled for May 10, 2025, as part of the UFC 315 event.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Navajo Stirling is a strong contender with a more favorable betting line, indicating superior recent performances or better perceived matchup fit. Ivan Erslan, while experienced, is seen as an underdog, likely due to less dominant performances in recent outings or stylistic disadvantages.
  • No prior head-to-head history found. This is the first known meeting between these two fighters.
  • No injury reports are available at this time for either fighter.
  • No major external factors (weather, location disruptions) reported. Standard UFC prelim event conditions apply.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, especially Erslan looking to upset the odds, while Stirling aims to maintain momentum and justify his status as favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Navajo Stirling -325 | Ivan Erslan 260 Navajo Stirling ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Navajo Stirling -3.5 (-190) | Ivan Erslan +3.5 (140) Navajo Stirling covers (wins by 4 or more points/rounds/KO/Submission) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds (-175) | Under 1.5 Rounds (135) Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Navajo Stirling -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Navajo Stirling is favored to win by decision or late stoppage, leveraging his reach and technical striking. However, given the unpredictability of MMA, an Erslan upset via knockout remains a plausible risk.

Predicted Score: Navajo Stirling by Decision (Unanimous), 30-27 on scorecards.


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