Match Analysis: Jessica Andrade vs Lupita Godinez - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Strawweight Division Prelims Venue (exact venue not specified)
Game Overview
This UFC Strawweight bout features Jessica Andrade, a former title challenger known for her aggressive striking and finishing ability, against Lupita Godinez, a rising wrestling-focused grappler with a strong recent record and solid defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Jessica Andrade holds a 26-14-0 record with 10 KOs and 8 submissions, known for her pressure and Muay Thai striking. Lupita Godinez is 13-5-0 with high striking accuracy (49%), superior takedown defense (81%), and back-to-back decision wins, showing strong wrestling and grappling control.
- No prior direct matchups available between Andrade and Godinez to inform outcome.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
- The fight is part of UFC 319 prelims with no significant external disruptions noted. Andrade's experience could benefit under pressure, while Godinez carries momentum from recent wins.
- Andrade seeks to rebound and prove her veteran status against a top-15 opponent. Godinez aims to climb the rankings with her wrestling dominance and build on her recent win streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Jessica Andrade: +125, Lupita Godinez: -145 | Lupita Godinez | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Godinez -1.5 rounds: -130, Andrade +1.5 rounds: +110 | Godinez -1.5 rounds | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -325, Under 2.5 rounds: +250 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Lupita Godinez -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 110% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 110% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lupita Godinez to win by Decision
Predicted Score: Lupita Godinez wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds
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