Islam Djabrailov faces Marcelo Morrelli in a Bantamweight bout at KSW 107. Djabrailov has a more extensive record with 11 wins against Morrelli's 6 wins.
Key Factors to Consider
Islam Djabrailov has a more impressive win record, with 11 victories compared to Morrelli's 6. Djabrailov's wins include 5 decisions, 4 submissions, and 2 KO/TKO.
No head-to-head data available.
No reported injuries.
Morrelli is making his KSW debut on short notice, which might affect his performance.
Both fighters are highly motivated, but Morrelli's short notice might impact his preparation.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-300 (Islam Djabrailov), 240 (Marcelo Morrelli)
Islam Djabrailov
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Islam Djabrailov -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Islam Djabrailov at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Islam Djabrailov is favored to win based on his experience and performance record.
Predicted Score: Decision victory for Islam Djabrailov
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Islam Djabrailov vs. Marcelo Morrelli Prediction
Match Analysis: Islam Djabrailov vs Marcelo Morrelli – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-06-14 Time: 4:00 PM UTC Location: Ergo Arena, Gdańsk, Poland Game Overview Islam Djabrailov faces Marcelo Morrelli in a Bantamweight bout at KSW 107. Djabrailov has a more extensive record with 11 wins against Morrelli's 6 wins. Key Factors to Consider Islam Djabrailov […]
The upcoming MMA match between Gaetano Pirrello and Salvatore Liga at PFL Europe on July 5, 2025, features two fighters with contrasting career trajectories. Gaetano Pirrello, a seasoned competitor with a record of 16-7-1, faces the unbeaten Salvatore Liga, who holds a perfect 5-0-0 record. This fight presents an experienced veteran against a rising talent, making it a compelling matchup in the mixed martial arts scene.
Key Factors to Consider
Gaetano Pirrello has extensive MMA experience with 24 total bouts and a mixed record, indicating resilience but some inconsistency. Salvatore Liga, though less experienced with just 5 fights, remains undefeated, suggesting an upward trajectory and strong recent form.
This bout marks the first direct encounter between Gaetano Pirrello and Salvatore Liga, so no head-to-head history is available.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match, allowing both to compete at full capacity.
Both fighters are competing in PFL Europe and fighting out of Belgium, which neutralizes home advantage factors. The timing and conditions are standard for a major MMA event.
Pirrello may be motivated to assert his veteran status and overcome a rising fighter, while Liga seeks to maintain his undefeated streak and establish himself as a top contender.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Gaetano Pirrello: -155, Salvatore Liga: 125
Salvatore Liga
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Gaetano Pirrello: -1.5, Salvatore Liga: +1.5
Salvatore Liga +1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
over: -110, under: -110
Under
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Gaetano Pirrello 37%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Gaetano Pirrello at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Considering Liga's undefeated record and upward momentum against Pirrello's experience but mixed outcomes, the prediction favors Salvatore Liga to win, although the fight is expected to be competitive.
Predicted Score: Salvatore Liga wins by decision or late stoppage
The featherweight bout between Ibragim Ibragimov and Mathys Duragrin at PFL Europe in Brussels features two undefeated fighters — Ibragimov (9-0) from the UK and Duragrin (5-0) from France. Ibragimov, known as 'The Executioner,' is a 21-year-old Dagestani-born fighter with a strong record of technical knockouts and decisions, currently training with the Manchester Top Team. Duragrin is a promising up-and-comer with a perfect record but fewer professional fights. This contest is highly anticipated as both aim to maintain undefeated status and advance in the tournament.
Key Factors to Consider
Ibragimov has shown consistent performance with three consecutive wins in the PFL and a strong amateur background. Duragrin, although less experienced professionally, remains undefeated and brings fresh energy as a rising talent in Europe.
This is the first meeting between Ibragimov and Duragrin, so no direct head-to-head data is available.
No reported injuries or medical issues affecting either fighter ahead of the match.
The fight was originally scheduled for Paris but was rescheduled to Brussels. Ibragimov expressed some frustration over the postponement but remains motivated. The venue change may slightly influence crowd dynamics, favoring local or regional support for Duragrin (France) or Ibragimov (UK).
Ibragimov is motivated to continue his unbeaten streak and prove himself within the PFL Europe circuit, seeing this as a key career advancement. Duragrin seeks to capitalize on his undefeated status and gain prominence by defeating a more established opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Ibragim Ibragimov: -700, Mathys Duragrin: 400
Ibragim Ibragimov
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Ibragim Ibragimov: -1.5, Mathys Duragrin: +1.5
Ibragimov by more than 1.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under
over_1.5_rounds: -120, under_1.5_rounds: 100
Over 1.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Ibragim Ibragimov -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ibragim Ibragimov at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ibragim Ibragimov is favored to win given his greater experience, technical skills, and recent momentum in the PFL, with a high likelihood of winning by decision or stoppage.
Predicted Score: Ibragimov wins by unanimous decision or TKO in round 2 or 3
The upcoming MMA bout at PFL Europe 2 features Salvo Giudice versus Brice Belghazi in a welterweight showcase fight. Both fighters have limited professional records with Giudice at 1-0 and Belghazi at 1-1, making this matchup a critical test of their developing careers.
Key Factors to Consider
Salvo Giudice is undefeated with 1 win by decision, showing effective control in his previous fight. Brice Belghazi holds a 1-1 record with a significant win via submission and a loss by decision, indicating a capacity to finish bouts but some inconsistency.
This will be their first encounter, with no prior head-to-head history between Giudice and Belghazi.
No reported injuries for either fighter as of the latest available information.
The fight takes place at ING Arena in Brussels, giving Giudice the home advantage as a local favorite. This could influence crowd support and fighter motivation.
Both fighters are likely highly motivated to secure victory given their early career stages and the opportunity to advance in PFL Europe. Giudice looks to maintain his unbeaten streak while Belghazi aims to even his professional record.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Salvo Giudice: -135, Brice Belghazi: 105
Salvo Giudice to win
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Salvo Giudice: -1.5, Brice Belghazi: +1.5
Salvo Giudice to cover the spread
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
over: -110, under: -110
Under (fight finishing within 3 rounds expected)
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Salvo Giudice 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Salvo Giudice at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Salvo Giudice is favored to win by decision due to his undefeated status, slight physical metrics disadvantage for Belghazi, and home advantage. However, Belghazi's submission skills pose a threat that Giudice needs to mitigate.
Predicted Score: Salvo Giudice wins by unanimous decision (3 rounds)
The upcoming MMA match between Nicolas Di Franco and Catalin Safta is scheduled for July 5, 2025, at PFL Europe 2. Both fighters are expected to put on a strong performance, but the lack of head-to-head data makes predictions challenging.
Key Factors to Consider
Catalin Safta has a record of 6-3-0, while specific details about Nicolas Di Franco's record are not provided. Safta's experience might give him an edge.
There is no prior head-to-head match between Nicolas Di Franco and Catalin Safta, making historical data unreliable for predictions.
No information is available about current injuries affecting either fighter.
PFL Europe 2 could offer a competitive environment, potentially influencing fighters' performances.
Both fighters are likely well-motivated to win, given the stakes in professional MMA.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Catalin Safta: -135, Nicolas Di Franco: -105
Catalin Safta
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Catalin Safta -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Catalin Safta at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on the available odds, Catalin Safta is favored slightly, but the margin is close, indicating a competitive match.
Mahio Campanella and Matiss Zaharovs will face off in the bantamweight division at PFL Europe 2. This event marks an important step in the 2025 PFL Europe Tournament. Campanella, fighting out of France, has a record of 7-1-0, while Zaharovs is less well-documented in available sources.
Key Factors to Consider
Mahio Campanella has a strong record with 7 wins and 1 loss, indicating a potentially favorable performance. His winning methods include decisions, submissions, and knockouts.
There is no available head-to-head data between Mahio Campanella and Matiss Zaharovs.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The event is held in Brussels, which may not provide a significant home advantage for either fighter.
Both fighters are motivated to advance in the tournament, but Campanella's recent activity suggests a potential edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mahio Campanella: -150, Matiss Zaharovs: 110
Mahio Campanella
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Mahio Campanella -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Mahio Campanella is favored to win due to his strong MMA record and recent fighting experience.
The bantamweight co-main event of PFL Europe 2 features Taylor Lapilus making his Professional Fighters League debut against Ali Taleb. Lapilus, a seasoned French fighter with a record of 21-4, is coming off a strong run including wins in the UFC and a recent eight wins in nine fights streak. Ali Taleb, the 2024 PFL MENA bantamweight champion from Sweden, holds a record of 12-1, known for powerful striking and only one career loss. This fight is highly anticipated as a clash between two of the world's best bantamweights, showcasing contrasting styles and career trajectories in the PFL bantamweight division.
Key Factors to Consider
Taylor Lapilus has demonstrated consistent high performance with eight wins in his last nine fights and UFC experience, including a unanimous decision win in his last Octagon fight. Ali Taleb is coming in as the reigning PFL MENA bantamweight champion with only a single career loss, indicating strong dominance in his regional circuit and readiness for this bigger stage.
This will be the first meeting between Taylor Lapilus and Ali Taleb, so no direct head-to-head data is available.
No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both competitors are expected to be in peak physical condition.
The fight takes place in Brussels, Belgium, which is closer to Lapilus’ home turf (France), possibly providing him some crowd support and motivation. Ali Taleb was originally scheduled for the world championship tournament but was pulled, potentially adding to his motivation for this bout.
Taylor Lapilus returns to a high-profile stage in Europe with strong motivation to establish himself further in the PFL. Ali Taleb looks to capitalize on his 2024 PFL MENA bantamweight championship status and prove himself on a larger international platform.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Taylor Lapilus: -230, Ali Taleb: 160
Taylor Lapilus
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Taylor Lapilus: -1.5, Ali Taleb: +1.5
Taylor Lapilus to win by more than 1.5 rounds or dominant decision
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over: 1.5 rounds -110, under: 1.5 rounds -110
Over 1.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Taylor Lapilus -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Taylor Lapilus at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Taylor Lapilus is favored to win based on his experience, recent form, and the home-region advantage. However, Ali Taleb’s striking power and championship pedigree make this a competitive bout likely to test both fighters thoroughly.
Predicted Score: Taylor Lapilus wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds
The fight between Dean Garnett and Tuomas Gronvall is set for July 5, 2025, at PFL Europe 2, taking place in Brussels at the ING Arena. Both fighters have solid MMA records with Garnett at 12-3-1 and Gronvall at 12-8-1. Garnett, a 36-year-old English fighter, brings a balanced striking and finishing style including 4 KOs and 1 submission; Gronvall, 31 years old from Finland, is recognized for his relentless grappling and pace, favoring submissions (6) and decisions (5). The bout is anticipated to be competitive given their contrasting approaches and experience levels.
Key Factors to Consider
Dean Garnett has a slightly better win-loss record and more KO wins, indicating stronger striking. Tuomas Gronvall has more submission wins, suggesting a grappling advantage. Both fighters have extensive experience though Garnett's recent form appears solid, while Gronvall is known for pace and pressure.
No official previous matchups found between Garnett and Gronvall indicating a fresh contest without direct past outcome influence.
No reported injuries for either fighter. Alex Luster's withdrawal led to Gronvall stepping in, which may affect his preparation but no injury concerns have been indicated.
Fighting in Brussels at ING Arena, Gronvall's home country Finland is different from the venue, while Garnett is fighting away from his UK base. The PFL Europe atmosphere and card strength could motivate both fighters.
Gronvall, stepping in due to another's withdrawal, will be eager to seize this opportunity at a major PFL Europe event. Garnett is motivated to maintain his winning momentum and secure position in the tournament.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Dean Garnett: -400, Tuomas Gronvall: 250
Dean Garnett
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Dean Garnett -1.5 rounds: -150, Tuomas Gronvall +1.5 rounds: 130
Dean Garnett -1.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Dean Garnett -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Dean Garnett is favored to win due to his superior striking, finishing ability, and current odds advantage. However, Gronvall's grappling and relentless pressure poses a credible threat to turn the fight in his favor, making it a challenging but likely Garnett victory.
Predicted Score: Dean Garnett wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds
This 2025 PFL Europe 2 headliner features undefeated Belgian prospect Patrick Habirora (6-0) facing off against UFC veteran Danny Roberts (18-8) in a welterweight bout. Habirora is known for his aggressive striking with five of his six wins by KO/TKO, including four first-round finishes, while Roberts brings extensive experience from an eight-year UFC career but arrives after a recent three-fight losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
Patrick Habirora has demonstrated explosive power and finishing ability, dominating opponents early, while Danny Roberts has had mixed results at top levels, recently losing three consecutive bouts and parting ways with UFC. Habirora's momentum and finishing rate contrast Roberts' durability and experience but recent form is heavily in Habirora's favor.
No prior matchup exists between Habirora and Roberts, making this their first meeting.
No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
The fight takes place in Brussels, Habirora's home country, adding potential crowd support. Roberts enters PFL after UFC release, possibly motivating a strong performance. No adverse external conditions reported.
Habirora aims to maintain his perfect record and make a statement in front of his home crowd, while Roberts seeks redemption and revival of his career post-UFC, motivating both but favoring Habirora's upward trajectory.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Patrick Habirora: -1000, Danny Roberts: 550
Patrick Habirora to win
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Patrick Habirora -1.5 rounds: -400, Danny Roberts +1.5 rounds: 320
Patrick Habirora wins within 2 rounds
★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under
Over 1.5 rounds: 150, Under 1.5 rounds: -190
Under 1.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Patrick Habirora -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Patrick Habirora at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Patrick Habirora is favored to win, leveraging home advantage, superior recent performance, and knockout power against a fatigued and less consistent Danny Roberts.
Predicted Score: Patrick Habirora wins by KO/TKO in round 1 or 2
The main event of PFL MENA 2 features Omar El Dafrawy (13-5) facing Daniele Miceli (13-6, 1 NC), highlighting a classic striker (El Dafrawy) versus grappler (Miceli) matchup. El Dafrawy is the reigning PFL Middle East and North Africa welterweight champion with a seven-fight winning streak, while Miceli, a 2024 PFL Europe welterweight finalist, brings veteran experience and a submission-heavy skill set. The fight is expected to be a high-stakes battle with potential for an early finish or a tactical prolonged match.
Key Factors to Consider
El Dafrawy is coming off a strong winning streak, including a recent TKO win in the PFL MENA welterweight final. Miceli has shown resilience with only one loss in his last six fights and a record featuring multiple submission victories, indicating high grappling proficiency.
No previous head-to-head encounters have been recorded between El Dafrawy and Miceli, making this a fresh competitive matchup.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight, allowing both to compete at full strength.
The fight takes place at The Green Halls in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, which is familiar territory for El Dafrawy, who previously won the 2024 title there. The event is part of the PFL MENA 2 card broadcast internationally on ESPN+ and DAZN.
El Dafrawy aims to defend his regional dominance and extend his winning streak, motivated by a recent $100,000 payday and home-continent advantage. Miceli seeks redemption after his 2024 PFL Europe final loss, eager to establish himself in the PFL global scene at age 37.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Omar El Dafrawy: -500, Daniele Miceli: 300
Omar El Dafrawy
★★★★☆ 82%
Spread
Omar El Dafrawy: -1.5, Daniele Miceli: +1.5
Omar El Dafrawy -1.5
★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under
Over 1.5 rounds: 1.90, Under 1.5 rounds: 1.90
Under 1.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Omar El Dafrawy -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Omar El Dafrawy at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Omar El Dafrawy is favored to win, likely by knockout in the first round, leveraging his striking power and momentum. Daniele Miceli's grappling poses a threat if he can avoid early damage, but El Dafrawy's recent form and home advantage provide a significant edge.
Predicted Score: El Dafrawy wins by KO/TKO in Round 1