Match Analysis: Ikram Aliskerov vs Jun Yong Park – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 5:20 PM UTC
- Location: UFC 321, Abu Dhabi
Game Overview
Middleweight UFC prelims bout featuring Ikram Aliskerov, a powerful grappler/finisher with recent momentum, against Jun Yong Park, a resilient striker known for durable performances and recent unanimous decision wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Aliskerov is on a strong winning streak with multiple finishes, including knockouts and submissions, showing effective fight-ending skills. Park recently won by dominant decision, demonstrating endurance but fewer finishes.
- No previous head-to-head matchups exist between Aliskerov and Park.
- No documented injury concerns reported for either fighter leading up to the bout.
- Fight is on a major pay-per-view card in Abu Dhabi, favoring fighters with experience in high-pressure environments; Aliskerov has more recent fights on big stages.
- Aliskerov aims to further cement a rising status in the division with an emphatic win; Park looks to rebound and prove competitiveness after his last decision win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ikram Aliskerov: -250, Jun Yong Park: 205 | Ikram Aliskerov | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Ikram Aliskerov -3.5: -135, Jun Yong Park +3.5: 100 | Ikram Aliskerov -3.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -125, Under 2.5 rounds: -105 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ikram Aliskerov -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ikram Aliskerov wins by knockout before the third round.
Predicted Score: Ikram Aliskerov wins by KO in Round 2