Haider Khan, with a record of 9-1-0, faces Sean McCormac in a highly anticipated matchup at PFL Europe 1. Given Khan's recent form and McCormac's background, this fight is expected to be competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
Haider Khan has a strong record, indicating a high level of performance. Sean McCormac's skills are likely honed from his training with Fight Academy Ireland.
No previous head-to-head data is available, making this matchup unpredictable.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight is part of PFL Europe 1, which could add pressure but also provide a competitive environment.
Both fighters are motivated, with Khan seeking to continue his winning streak and McCormac aiming to upset the favorite.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-390 / 245
Haider Khan
★★★★☆ 75%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Haider Khan 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Haider Khan at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Haider Khan is favored to win, given his recent performance and overall record.
Predicted Score: Haider Khan by Decision
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Haider Khan vs. Sean McCormac Prediction
Match Analysis: Haider Khan vs Sean McCormac – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-10 Time: 4:00 PM UTC Location: Not specified Game Overview Haider Khan, with a record of 9-1-0, faces Sean McCormac in a highly anticipated matchup at PFL Europe 1. Given Khan's recent form and McCormac's background, this fight is expected to be competitive. […]
This is a UFC 315 preliminary bantamweight bout between Bekzat Almakhan (11-2, 0-1 UFC) and Brad Katona (14-4, 4-4 UFC). Almakhan enters as a slight favorite with higher upside, while Katona brings UFC experience and consistency. The fight is expected to be competitive, with both fighters having paths to victory.
Key Factors to Consider
Almakhan is an aggressive striker with a strong regional record, looking to rebound from his UFC debut loss. Katona is well-rounded, with solid wrestling and cardio, and a reputation for being difficult to finish. Both have shown resilience and adaptability in their recent bouts.
No prior fights between these two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter as of fight week.
Fight is in Canada, which may give Katona a slight crowd advantage. Both are acclimated to the venue and similar conditions.
Almakhan is motivated to secure his first UFC win. Katona is looking to break his pattern of 'consistent to a fault' performances and move up the ranks.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Almakhan: -156, Katona: 136
Almakhan
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Not widely available for MMA, but equivalent implied line: Almakhan -1.5 (~ +175), Katona +1.5 (~ -210)
Almakhan to cover if line exists, but Katona +1.5 is safer
55% (Almakhan cover), 70% (Katona +1.5)
Over/under
Over 2.5: -325, Under 2.5: +250
Over 2.5
★★★★☆ 75%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Bekzat Almakhan 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bekzat Almakhan at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Almakhan is the slight favorite due to his striking power and potential, but Katona's experience and grappling could level the playing field. Expect a competitive fight, with Almakhan likely to win by decision, though Katona could spring an upset with effective grappling.
Predicted Score: Decision win for Bekzat Almakhan (Almakhan 29-28 on scorecards)
The UFC 315 prelim middleweight bout between Marc-André Barriault and Bruno Silva on May 10, 2025, is a key fight for both fighters seeking to break losing streaks. Barriault, a Quebec native, returns to compete in his home province for the first time since 2018, aiming to leverage home advantage after three consecutive losses. Silva, a Brazilian striker with black belt BJJ credentials, enters on a difficult four-fight losing streak and recently took a hiatus due to anxiety issues. This matchup promises an exciting striking battle, complemented by potential grappling exchanges due to Silva's superior ground skills.
Key Factors to Consider
Barriault brings volume striking and pressure, while Silva offers power striking and high-level Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Both have struggled recently with Barriault at 1-6 in UFC and Silva 4-6 in UFC. Silva’s recent four-fight losing streak and recent mental health break may affect performance. Barriault aims to rally with home support and familiarity at Bell Centre.
This is the first meeting between Marc-André Barriault and Bruno Silva, so no direct head-to-head data exists.
No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the bout.
Fighting in Montreal, Barriault benefits from home crowd support and motivation to win at home after a long absence. Silva may face psychological challenges from recent anxiety crisis and losing streak. The long-awaited UFC return to Montreal adds significance.
Barriault is in must-win territory to revive his UFC career and reignite momentum in front of a home crowd. Silva seeks to overcome recent mental health challenges and prolonged losing skid, aiming to get back on track in the division.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bruno Silva: 130, Marc-Andre Barriault: -155
Marc-André Barriault
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Bruno Silva +3.5: -150, Marc-Andre Barriault -3.5: 110
Marc-André Barriault -3.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 1.5 rounds: -200, Under 1.5 rounds: 154
Over 1.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 70%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Marc-Andre Barriault 43%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 1.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Marc-Andre Barriault at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marc-André Barriault is predicted to narrowly outpoint Bruno Silva via decision. Barriault's pressure and volume striking, combined with home advantage, are expected to neutralize Silva's power and grappling. Silva's BJJ skills could pose a threat if he manages to take the fight to the ground, but Barriault’s durability and cardio should allow him to avoid prolonged submission danger.
Predicted Score: Marc-André Barriault wins by unanimous decision after three rounds
UFC 315 features an early prelim featherweight showdown between Daniel 'Willycat' Santos (Brazil) and JeongYeong 'Korean Tiger' Lee (South Korea). Santos, known for dynamic striking and aggressive offense, steps in on short notice after nearly two years of inactivity due to a series of fight cancellations. Lee, a BJJ black belt, is recognized for his explosive finishes and submission skills, but his last fight saw a first-round TKO loss, raising questions about his striking defense. Both fighters aim to rebound and climb the featherweight rankings.
Key Factors to Consider
Santos has a 12-2 record (6 KOs, 2 subs), with his last win in June 2023. He is aggressive and has three first-round finishes. JeongYeong Lee is 11-2 (4 KOs, 3 subs), with five first-round wins. His last fight was a first-round TKO loss in July 2024.
No previous fights between Santos and Lee.
No recent major injuries reported, but Santos has a history of fight withdrawals. Both have had fight cancellation issues, and Santos hasn't competed since June 2023.
Santos taking the fight on short notice may impact conditioning and preparation. Lee has a full camp and is coming off a recent loss.
High motivation for both fighters. Santos needs a win to regain UFC trust after several withdrawals. Lee seeks a statement win after a recent setback.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Daniel Santos: -102, Jeongyoung Lee: -118
Jeongyoung Lee Moneyline
★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread
Daniel Santos: 3.5 -175, Jeongyoung Lee: -3.5 125
Jeongyoung Lee -3.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -130
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 67%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Jeongyoung Lee -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 19%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Expect a competitive, fast-paced featherweight clash. Santos brings unpredictable, aggressive striking but may struggle with ring rust. Lee's grappling and experience in recent fights give him the edge. Given the short notice for Santos and Lee's desperation to rebound, the fight could end early, with Lee's submission or ground control standing out. However, Santos' upside as a finisher cannot be ignored.
Predicted Score: Jeongyoung Lee by Submission (Round 2)
This is a main card MMA fight at KSW 106, catchweight (159 lbs). Mickael Lebout, a French veteran with a strong wrestling and submission base, faces Amin Ayoub, known for dynamic stand-up and grappling skills. Both fighters have experience in high-profile promotions, with Ayoub coming in as a moderate favorite according to bookmakers.
Key Factors to Consider
Ayoub is a versatile fighter with recent success in stand-up and scrambles. Lebout, while experienced, has shown inconsistency in recent years against higher-paced opponents. Ayoub’s ability to dictate the pace and use a diverse skillset gives him a slight edge.
No direct head-to-head history between these fighters in official MMA competition. Each has faced a diversified level of competition in European promotions.
No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into this bout.
Event in France provides a home-crowd advantage for Lebout, but there is no indication of significant weigh-in issues or external distractions for either athlete.
Both fighters are motivated for a high-profile win on a major MMA card. Lebout seeks to re-establish himself, while Ayoub looks to build momentum for future title opportunities.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Amin Ayoub: -260, Mickael Lebout: 175
Amin Ayoub wins
High (75%)
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Amin Ayoub -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Amin Ayoub at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Amin Ayoub is favored to win by decision or late technicality, likely controlling the fight with speed, volume, and versatility. Lebout's best chance is an early takedown leading to a submission, but Ayoub's defensive grappling and cardio are expected to prevail.
Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland
Game Overview
Claudio Pacella is set to face Gavin Hughes in a lightweight matchup at PFL Europe. Pacella, with a record of 5-2, is favored over Hughes, who boasts an 11-4 record. The fight is part of the PFL Europe Lightweight Tournament.
Key Factors to Consider
Claudio Pacella has a good balance in his skills, but his record is significantly shorter than Gavin Hughes'. Hughes' experience could be crucial in the fight.
There is no known head-to-head data between these fighters.
No recent injuries reported for either fighter.
The fight at the SSE Arena in Belfast could favor a more aggressive, crowd-pleasing style.
Both fighters are motivated by advancing in the PFL Europe tournament.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Claudio Pacella: -350, Gavin Hughes: 225
Claudio Pacella
Not available
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Claudio Pacella 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Claudio Pacella at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Claudio Pacella is favored due to his listed odds, but Gavin Hughes' experience could lead to a competitive bout.
Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland
Game Overview
Lewis McGrillen, the reigning PFL Europe bantamweight champion, faces veteran Alan Philpott in the PFL Europe 1 co-main event. McGrillen comes in riding a wave of momentum after capturing the title, while Philpott brings a wealth of experience but has struggled with consistency in recent years. This bout represents McGrillen’s return to PFL Europe after forgoing a move to the global roster to continue his ascent in Europe.
Key Factors to Consider
McGrillen: 11-1-0 pro record, #119 bantamweight, 8-1-0 in last 3 years. Recently stopped two opponents in the PFL Europe tournament, demonstrating KO power and championship mentality. Philpott: 21-16-0 pro record, experienced but with a lower win percentage and inconsistent results in bigger fights.
No previous head-to-head history between these fighters.
No major injuries publicly reported for either fighter ahead of this match.
Event takes place in Belfast, offering a regional advantage to Philpott, who has fought extensively in the UK/Ireland, but McGrillen shows strong composure in hostile environments.
McGrillen is motivated to solidify his PFL Europe legacy before moving to the global stage. Philpott is looking to upset the champion and reassert himself as a contender.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
McGrillen -1000, Philpott 550
Lewis McGrillen
High (90%)
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Lewis McGrillen -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Lewis McGrillen at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lewis McGrillen will impose his athleticism, power, and momentum to dictate the fight, likely stopping Philpott in the later rounds or taking a decisive decision. The betting odds and recent form strongly favor McGrillen.
Predicted Score: McGrillen by late TKO (Round 3 or 4)
This match is part of the PFL Europe 2025 Lightweight Tournament, featuring Decky McAleenan (9-5-1) from Ireland versus Gino van Steenis (5-1) from Spain. Both fighters aim to progress in the tournament, with McAleenan seeking his first European belt for Ireland and van Steenis looking to follow in his brother's footsteps.
Key Factors to Consider
Decky McAleenan has more professional fights but faces a younger, aggressive opponent in Gino van Steenis, who is driven by his brother’s success.
There is no recorded head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
No reported injuries at this time.
Home advantage could favor McAleenan, but van Steenis's ambition might counterbalance that.
Both fighters are highly motivated, but McAleenan’s local support could be an additional motivator.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Decky McAleenan: -125, Gino van Steenis: -115
Decky McAleenan
★★★☆☆ 55%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Decky McAleenan -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Decky McAleenan at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the experience and home advantage, Decky McAleenan might have a slight edge, but Gino van Steenis’s potential for aggression could make this a closely contested match.
Predicted Score: This is a decision-based sport, so predicting a score isn't applicable. However, a closely contested five-round decision is likely.
Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland
Game Overview
Mark Ewen, representing Scotland with a 100% finish rate in his wins, faces Latvia's Aleksandr Chizov in the PFL Europe 1: 2025 Regular Season main card. Ewen debuts in the tournament format, while Chizov brings a 10-3 professional record. The match promises high stakes and aggressive styles.
Key Factors to Consider
Mark Ewen enters with a 6-0 record and 100% finish rate, indicating a strong, aggressive style. Aleksandr Chizov, with a 10-3 record, brings experience and versatility, having faced a higher level of competition.
No prior head-to-head encounters between the fighters have been documented.
No injury reports have been found for either fighter ahead of this match.
This is Ewen's debut in the PFL tournament format, which could add pressure, while Chizov may use his experience in international competition as an advantage.
Ewen is motivated to make an impact in his PFL debut, while Chizov aims to leverage his experience to advance further in the tournament.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mark Ewen (-350), Aleksandr Chizov (+225)
Mark Ewen
High (75%)
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Mark Ewen -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mark Ewen at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mark Ewen is the favorite according to odds and his undefeated, high-finish record. However, Chizov's experience and well-rounded skills could pose a significant challenge, making this a closer fight than the odds suggest. Ewen is predicted to win by stoppage, but Chizov's resilience may push the fight to later rounds.
Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland
Game Overview
Gemma Auld and Sammy-Jo Luxton are set to face off in a highly anticipated match at PFL Europe 1. Both fighters are looking to make a strong impression in their upcoming bout. The match is significant for both participants, with Luxton aiming to become a prominent figure in the PFL.
Key Factors to Consider
Both fighters have shown strong performances in their previous matches, with Luxton expressing her desire to become one of PFL's stars. Gemma Auld also has a solid record and is looking to assert her dominance.
There is no prior head-to-head data available for these fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight takes place in Belfast, which might provide a home advantage for Gemma Auld, but both fighters are well-prepared.
Luxton is highly motivated to make a strong impression and move towards a strawweight division in the future.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-120 vs -120
Sammy-Jo Luxton
★★★☆☆ 55%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sammy-Jo Luxton 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sammy-Jo Luxton at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
This match is closely contested, with both fighters having strong potential. However, Sammy-Jo Luxton's recent focus on becoming a face of the PFL might give her an edge in terms of motivation.
