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Gabriella Fernandes vs. Julija Stoliarenko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gabriella Fernandes vs Julija Stoliarenko – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This Women's Flyweight bout features Gabriella Fernandes, a 10-3 fighter with a strong striking output and defense, against Julija Stoliarenko, who holds an 11-9-2 record but has shown less consistency and lower striking effectiveness.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fernandes has a higher significant strike rate (3.46/min) and connect percentage (46%) compared to Stoliarenko's 2.49/min at 39%. Fernandes also has better strike defense, absorbing 5.50/min but preventing 49%, while Stoliarenko absorbs 4.54/min and prevents 46%.
  • No previous bouts between the two fighters, making this a pure matchup analysis based on styles and recent form.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter impacting this bout.
  • Fight is at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral venue with no apparent home advantage. Both fighters are similarly aged (31 vs. 32) and weight-matched at 125 lbs with similar reach.
  • Fernandes holds a superior UFC record (2-2 vs. 2-6) suggesting better current form and confidence; Stoliarenko’s recent UFC struggles decrease her momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gabriella Fernandes: -400, Julija Stoliarenko: +300 Gabriella Fernandes ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Gabriella Fernandes -1.5 rounds: -150, Julija Stoliarenko +1.5 rounds: +120 Gabriella Fernandes -1.5 rounds (win inside 2 rounds) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +145, Under 2.5 rounds: -175 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gabriella Fernandes -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gabriella Fernandes to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Gabriella Fernandes wins via TKO in Round 2


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Gabriella Fernandes vs. Julija Stoliarenko Prediction

Match Analysis: Gabriella Fernandes vs Julija Stoliarenko – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-09 Time: 8:00 PM UTC Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas Game Overview This Women's Flyweight bout features Gabriella Fernandes, a 10-3 fighter with a strong striking output and defense, against Julija Stoliarenko, who holds an 11-9-2 record but has shown less consistency and […]

August 9, 2025 Gabriella Fernandes Julija Stoliarenko MMA/Boxing

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Damion Nelson vs. Isaiah Diggs Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Damion Nelson vs Isaiah Diggs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-14
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City

Game Overview

Featherweight MMA bout between Damion Nelson, an experienced and aggressive fighter with improved defense and stamina, and Isaiah Diggs, an undefeated, fast, and technically skilled young fighter known for endurance and decision wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nelson is 8-4 with recent strong form winning 4 fights including a recent KO, while Diggs is undefeated 5-0 with all wins by decision emphasizing endurance and technique.
  • No recorded head-to-head fights between Nelson and Diggs.
  • No reported injuries impacting either fighter prior to the match.
  • Fight held under the PFL World Tournament 9 card at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, neutral venue with similar preparation time for both.
  • Diggs as an undefeated rising star motivated to maintain perfect record; Nelson seeking to prove experience and improve standing in PFL after recent contract signing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Damion Nelson: +185, Isaiah Diggs: -275 Isaiah Diggs ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Damion Nelson: +1.5 rounds (-180), Isaiah Diggs: -1.5 rounds (+140) Isaiah Diggs -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Isaiah Diggs -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Isaiah Diggs at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Isaiah Diggs to win by decision

Predicted Score: Isaiah Diggs wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Radley Da Silva vs. George Mangos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Radley Da Silva vs George Mangos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Florida, USA

Game Overview

Radley Da Silva and George Mangos face off in a closely matched men's featherweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series. Both fighters have strong records with Da Silva at 7-1-0 and Mangos undefeated at 7-0-0. Da Silva carries a slight experience edge with an additional loss yet more fights, whereas Mangos is younger and undefeated. Physical stats are similar except Daim Silva weighs in heavier at 145 lbs versus Mangos’ 125 lbs, which might be a data anomaly.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Radley Da Silva’s recent form shows good strike volume and ground control but has one loss indicating some vulnerability. George Mangos is undefeated, showing consistent performance and steady improvements throughout his 7 fight career.
  • No prior head-to-head fights recorded between Da Silva and Mangos, making this a fresh matchup with unpredictability.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter, both appear fully fit for the contest.
  • Fight takes place at Dana White’s Contender Series in Florida, which is a high-stakes environment encouraging maximal performance to secure UFC contracts.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to impress on this platform to secure UFC contracts, slightly favoring Mangos who is younger and undefeated, carrying momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline George Mangos: -130, Radley Da Silva: +100 George Mangos ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread George Mangos -1.5: -120, Radley Da Silva +1.5: 100 George Mangos -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: 110, Under 1.5 rounds: -130 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline George Mangos -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: George Mangos at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

George Mangos to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: George Mangos wins by TKO/Decision in Round 2


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Jimmy Drago vs. Ty Miller Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jimmy Drago vs Ty Miller – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between seasoned finisher Jimmy Drago and undefeated rising talent Ty Miller. Drago brings solid wrestling and powerful boxing with finishing capability, whereas Miller offers youth, speed, power, and an undefeated record with growing potential.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jimmy Drago has a 7-2-0 record with experience and finishing power, showing good wrestling and clinch work. Ty Miller is undefeated at 5-0-0 with one no contest, younger and fast, with powerful hands and rising skill level.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head matchup between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into the bout.
  • Fight takes place at Dana White's Contender Series in Las Vegas, favoring neither fighter significantly; both fight under similar conditions and motivation to make UFC roster.
  • Ty Miller is highly motivated as an undefeated rising prospect looking to cement his status. Jimmy Drago is motivated to maintain his experience edge and prove his finishing ability against a young contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jimmy Drago: +155, Ty Miller: -185 Ty Miller ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Ty Miller -1.5: -120, Jimmy Drago +1.5: +100 Ty Miller -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ty Miller -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ty Miller at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ty Miller to win by decision

Predicted Score: Ty Miller wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Ilian Bouafia vs. Neemias Santana Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ilian Bouafia vs Neemias Santana – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed Venue, Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

The matchup features Ilian Bouafia, a sharp and technically improving striker known for his powerful straight left, versus Neemias Santana, a slick kickboxer with solid low kicks and good power but a defensive tendency of keeping his hands low. Both fighters are strong strikers with potential UFC futures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bouafia has shown more noticeable improvement recently and is considered more technical; Santana offers strong endurance and power but risks exposure with defensive gaps.
  • No known previous head-to-head matchups between Bouafia and Santana; this will be their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter heading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place on Dana White's Contender Series platform, which may increase motivation especially for Bouafia, who is viewed as highly technical and eager to impress.
  • Both fighters are motivated to secure UFC contracts, but Bouafia's noted technical improvements suggest higher preparation and mental readiness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ilian Bouafia: -210, Neemias Santana: 170 Ilian Bouafia ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Bouafia -1.5 rounds: -150, Santana +1.5 rounds: 130 Bouafia -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 120, Under 2.5 rounds: -140 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ilian Bouafia -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ilian Bouafia at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ilian Bouafia to win by decision

Predicted Score: Bouafia wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Murtaza Talha vs. Baysangur Susurkaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Murtaza Talha vs Baysangur Susurkaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Contender Series 2025 Venue (Exact location not specified)

Game Overview

Murtaza Talha (7-1) faces undefeated Baysangur Susurkaev (8-0) on short notice at middleweight in DWCS 2025. Talha is the more experienced fighter with strong wrestling and aggressive ground-and-pound but has had an ACL injury and loss in CS before. Susurkaev is a fast-finishing knockout artist, unbeaten, taking the fight on short notice. Both fighters have a combined 12 first-round finishes, with contrasting styles presenting an intriguing matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Talha has a 7-1 record with 7 finishes (4 KOs, 3 subs) but recently struggled with an ACL injury and contested a higher weight class previously. Susurkaev is 8-0 with 7 KOs, showing explosive power and pace. Both fighters have heavy finishes; Talha never goes to decision, while Susurkaev has mostly KO wins and one decision.
  • No previous fights between Talha and Susurkaev. Both bring early finish styles and aggressive approaches, making outcomes highly dependent on fight start conditions and preparation.
  • Talha is returning from ACL surgery within the last year and had a layoff before his last CS fight. Susurkaev is taking this bout on short notice, which may impact conditioning.
  • Susurkaev stepping in on short notice might put him at a conditioning disadvantage but could be highly motivated to keep his undefeated streak. Talha has home advantage being prepared for this event and fighting at closer to his natural weight.
  • Talha wants to redeem himself after a previous CS loss and prove durability post-injury. Susurkaev is motivated to maintain 8-0 undefeated record and capitalize on an opportunity in DWCS for UFC entry.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Baysangur Susurkaev: -275, Murtaza Talha: 215 Away (Baysangur Susurkaev) ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Susurkaev -1.5: -110, Talha +1.5: -110 Susurkaev -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -120, Under 1.5 rounds: 100 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baysangur Susurkaev -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Susurkaev at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baysangur Susurkaev to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Baysangur Susurkaev wins by KO/TKO in Round 1


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Yuri Panferov vs. Christopher Ewert Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Yuri Panferov vs Christopher Ewert – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-12
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series Week 1 Venue

Game Overview

This middleweight bout features Yuri Panferov, an aggressive grappler known for his heavy ground-and-pound and submission skills, facing undefeated striker Christopher Ewert, who aims to keep the fight standing to secure a UFC contract.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Panferov is 8-1 with 8 finishes, mostly by ground-and-pound and submissions, recently showing strong form with back-to-back finishes in 2024. Ewert is undefeated at 7-0, with a solid striking base and motivation to prove himself on Contender Series.
  • No previous direct matchup between Panferov and Ewert, making this a stylistic clash with Panferov looking for takedowns and Ewert aiming to counter and keep striking range.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • The fight takes place on a large platform with significant opportunity for the winner to secure a UFC spot, adding career motivation for both.
  • Ewert is highly motivated to remain undefeated and capitalize on striking to impress the UFC brass. Panferov wants redemption after his previous Contender Series loss and to showcase his evolved grappling-heavy MMA style.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ewert -160 / Panferov +130 Christopher Ewert ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Not explicitly available; inferred standard -1.5 for favorite Christopher Ewert -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christopher Ewert -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christopher Ewert at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christopher Ewert moneyline

Predicted Score: Christopher Ewert wins via TKO in round 2


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Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Eryk Anders Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Christian Leroy Duncan vs Eryk Anders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Christian Leroy Duncan, a younger and highly efficient striker with an 11-2 record, faces veteran Eryk Anders with a 17-8 record in a middleweight bout. Duncan’s reach advantage and higher striking accuracy position him as the strong favorite in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Duncan boasts a superior recent form and striking output, landing 4.75 significant strikes per minute at 59% accuracy versus Anders' 3.54 strikes at 48%. Duncan also defends slightly better allowing 3.01 strikes per minute compared to Anders' 4.05.
  • No prior head-to-head matches between these opponents, making stylistic and statistical comparisons crucial.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight scheduled at UFC Apex, neutral ground with no home advantage. Duncan’s youth and physical dimensions (6'2" height and 79" reach) provide a natural edge against the older Anders (38 years old, 6'1", 75" reach).
  • Duncan is driven to solidify himself as a rising contender, while Anders may rely on experience; age disparity favors Duncan’s motivation and physical peak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Duncan -550, Anders +410 Christian Leroy Duncan ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Duncan -3.5 (-205), Anders +3.5 (+150) Christian Leroy Duncan -3.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-188), Under 2.5 (+145) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Christian Leroy Duncan -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 59%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Leroy Duncan to win by decision

Predicted Score: Christian Leroy Duncan wins via unanimous decision after three rounds


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Stephen Erceg vs. Ode Osbourne Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Stephen Erceg vs Ode Osbourne – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Stephen Erceg faces Ode Osbourne in a bantamweight UFC fight at UFC Vegas 109. Erceg is favored heavily on the moneyline, with a more precise striking rate and defense. The fight features contrasting styles with Erceg’s orthodox stance and Osbourne’s southpaw approach, both with solid striking records but Erceg showing superior statistical metrics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Erceg has a 12-4 record, demonstrating consistent performance with 4.45 significant strikes landed per minute at 46% accuracy and 52% strike defense. Osbourne’s 13-8 record includes a respectable 3.20 strikes landed per minute at 40% accuracy but poorer defense at 46%.
  • No direct prior matchups between Erceg and Osbourne, making this a stylistic matchup based on their respective fight metrics and recent form.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are in optimal physical condition.
  • Both fighters are competing in the UFC Apex in Las Vegas; no travel or venue disadvantage is evident. Erceg’s younger age (30 vs 33) and recent betting market support suggest higher confidence in his current form.
  • Erceg may have higher motivation to maintain/improve ranking given his favored status and younger career stage. Osbourne, as the underdog, may be motivated to upset but lacks supporting recent momentum indicators.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Erceg -600, Osbourne +425 Stephen Erceg ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Not explicitly provided for spread, typical UFC spread -1.5 rounds for Erceg around -150 Stephen Erceg -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 -160, Under 1.5 +130 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Stephen Erceg -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stephen Erceg to win by decision

Predicted Score: Erceg wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Jean Matsumoto vs. Miles Johns Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jean Matsumoto vs Miles Johns – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

The UFC Featherweight matchup features Jean Matsumoto, a 25-year-old Brazilian fighter with a 16-1 record, fighting orthodox stance and known for high volume striking but weaker defense. He faces Miles Johns, a 31-year-old American with a 15-3 record, also orthodox, who is more precise and defensively sound. Both fighters weigh 135 lbs and have similar height and reach, making it a competitive bout where striking accuracy and defense will be key.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Matsumoto boasts a higher output rate of significant strikes at 5.18/min compared to Johns' 3.16/min but with less accuracy (41% vs 44%). Johns excels at defense, allowing only 2.65 significant strikes/min with a 67% defense rate, whereas Matsumoto allows 5.40/min with 45% defense.
  • No previous fight history between them; this is their first encounter, making adaptability during the fight a factor.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup.
  • Fight held at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral location with no home advantage; both fighters seem motivated by career progression at this main card event.
  • Matsumoto aims to maintain his near-perfect record and prove striking dominance; Johns wants to leverage his experience and defensive skills to upset the younger fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jean Matsumoto: -298, Miles Johns: 240 Jean Matsumoto ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Jean Matsumoto -3.5: -115, Miles Johns +3.5: -115 Jean Matsumoto -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -298, Under 2.5: 220 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jean Matsumoto -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 92%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 92% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jean Matsumoto to win by decision, leveraging his striking volume advantage and physical prime despite defensive deficits.

Predicted Score: Jean Matsumoto wins by unanimous decision after three rounds


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