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Ethyn Ewing vs. Malcolm Wellmaker Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ethyn Ewing vs Malcolm Wellmaker – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 1:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Game Overview

Malcolm Wellmaker (10-0) enters as an undefeated and experienced UFC competitor whereas Ethyn Ewing (8-2) is making his UFC debut as a late replacement. Wellmaker is a significant favorite reflecting his superior experience and undefeated record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wellmaker has a perfect 10-0 record with recent continuous wins, showing consistency and experience at higher competition levels. Ewing is 8-2 overall but has not fought in the UFC before, making this a step up in competition.
  • No previous matchups between Wellmaker and Ewing exist, so no direct historical comparison is available.
  • No injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this matchup, though Ewing’s late scratch replacement status may indicate some preparation disadvantage.
  • Fight takes place at Madison Square Garden in UFC 322, offering a large stage but no known external conditions affecting performance such as altitude or travel advantage.
  • Wellmaker looks to preserve his undefeated UFC status, while Ewing is highly motivated to make a strong impression in his UFC debut stepping in late.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ethyn Ewing: +400, Malcolm Wellmaker: -550 Malcolm Wellmaker ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Malcolm Wellmaker -1.5 rounds: -150, Ethyn Ewing +1.5 rounds: +130 Malcolm Wellmaker -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +140, Under 1.5 rounds: -160 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Malcolm Wellmaker -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Malcolm Wellmaker to win by moneyline given his undefeated record and UFC experience, with a strong likelihood the fight goes under 1.5 rounds due to Wellmaker's finishing ability and Ewing’s debut pressure.

Predicted Score: Malcolm Wellmaker wins by TKO/Submission in Round 1


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Ethyn Ewing vs. Malcolm Wellmaker Prediction

Match Analysis: Ethyn Ewing vs Malcolm Wellmaker – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-11-16 Time: 1:15 AM UTC Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY Game Overview Malcolm Wellmaker (10-0) enters as an undefeated and experienced UFC competitor whereas Ethyn Ewing (8-2) is making his UFC debut as a late replacement. Wellmaker is a significant favorite […]

Ethyn Ewing Malcolm Wellmaker MMA/Boxing November 16, 2025

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Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Cody Haddon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Malcolm Wellmaker vs Cody Haddon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 1:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Game Overview

Malcolm Wellmaker (10-0) faces Cody Haddon (8-1) at UFC 322 in a bantamweight bout at 135 lbs. Wellmaker is a longer switch stance fighter with strong grappling skills and high strike accuracy, while Haddon is a shorter orthodox striker with higher volume but lower accuracy. Both fighters have solid defense but contrasting fighting styles set the tone for a tactical matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wellmaker boasts an undefeated record (10-0) with a recent first-round KO win, showing efficient striking and grappling. Haddon has an 8-1 record with higher striking volume but lower connect rate, favoring stand-up exchanges.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings. Styles contrast with Wellmaker favoring grappling control and powerful precision strikes, while Haddon relies on volume and speed.
  • No known recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear healthy and prepared.
  • Fight hosted at Madison Square Garden, a neutral venue favoring neither fighter. No notable external distractions or motivation impacts.
  • Wellmaker motivated to maintain undefeated streak and ascend rankings, Haddon eager to prove himself against an undefeated opponent. Slight edge to Wellmaker for title contention aspirations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Malcolm Wellmaker -155, Cody Haddon +130 Malcolm Wellmaker ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Malcolm Wellmaker -3.5 -120, Cody Haddon +3.5 -110 Malcolm Wellmaker -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 +120, Under 2.5 -154 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Malcolm Wellmaker -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Malcolm Wellmaker to win by decision

Predicted Score: Wellmaker wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Viacheslav Borshchev vs. Matheus Camilo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Viacheslav Borshchev vs Matheus Camilo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 11:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York

Game Overview

The lightweight clash between Viacheslav Borshchev and Matheus Camilo at UFC 322 features Camilo as a slight favorite (-162 moneyline) over Borshchev (+136). Camilo enters motivated after a disappointing recent performance where he appeared to underperform, yet he brings solid submission skills against Borshchev who has shown vulnerabilities on the ground. The fight is expected to be competitive with Camilo's grappling edge and youth likely tipping the balance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Camilo holds a 9-3 record with a submission skillset highlighted by a Kamora win and a strong grappling defense. Borshchev is 8-6-1 overall with a UFC record of 3-5-1, showing inconsistency and struggles to close fights in the UFC.
  • No previous H2H meetings between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Late addition to UFC 322 prelims, Camilo replacing a withdrawn opponent recently, indicating good conditioning and readiness despite short notice.
  • Camilo appears motivated to rebound strongly after a disappointing last fight where he seemed to give up early, while Borshchev has had mixed UFC success, likely under pressure to prove himself.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Camilo -162, Borshchev +136 Camilo ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Camilo -3.5 -105, Borshchev +3.5 -125 Camilo -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 +130, Under 2.5 -166 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Matheus Camilo 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Matheus Camilo to win by submission

Predicted Score: Camilo wins via 2nd round submission


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Baysangur Susurkaev vs. Eric McConico Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Baysangur Susurkaev vs Eric McConico – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, NY

Game Overview

Undefeated rising prospect Baisangur Susurkaev (10-0) faces veteran Eric McConico (10-3-1) in a middleweight bout. Susurkaev is heavily favored, known for his high striking volume and strong wrestling-based grappling, coming off a submission win in UFC 319. McConico is a southpaw with solid cardio and seven stoppage wins but slower striking pace and less accuracy.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Susurkaev maintains an unblemished 10-0 record with 9 finishes and significantly higher striking volume (4.56/min) and accuracy (58%) compared to McConico’s 1.51/min and 36%. Susurkaev averages nearly 3 takedowns per 3 rounds with 85% takedown defense, dominating the wrestling facet.
  • No previous matchup exists between Susurkaev and McConico.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight held at Madison Square Garden, a neutral venue with no known environmental advantage. Susurkaev benefits from a full training camp; McConico is experienced but older at 35.
  • Susurkaev, at 24 and undefeated, is highly motivated to make a statement in his second UFC fight. McConico, after a recent split decision win, looks to establish himself further but faces a younger, hungrier opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1050, away: 675 Baisangur Susurkaev ★★★★☆ 88%
Spread home: -575 (Baysangur -7.5), away: 350 (McConico +7.5) Baisangur Susurkaev -7.5 ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under over: 195 (1.5 rounds), under: -260 (1.5 rounds) Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Baysangur Susurkaev 590%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Susurkaev at 590% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 87.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Baisangur Susurkaev to win decisively, likely by submission or stoppage within early rounds reflecting superior striking and wrestling.

Predicted Score: Susurkaev wins by submission or TKO in Round 1


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Roman Kopylov vs. Gregory Rodrigues Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Roman Kopylov vs Gregory Rodrigues – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: New York City

Game Overview

Roman Kopylov faces Gregory Rodrigues in a middleweight bout at UFC 322. Rodrigues enters as the betting favorite, with strong recent form and a higher strike output, while Kopylov is a dangerous finisher but coming off a loss to Paulo Costa.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodrigues lands 5.54 significant strikes per minute at a 51% accuracy rate, compared to Kopylov's 4.74 per minute at 50%. Rodrigues averages 8:29 fight time, indicating a tendency for early finishes, while Kopylov averages 11:43. Rodrigues recently scored a first-round KO over Jack Hermansson, while Kopylov lost a decision to Paulo Costa.
  • No previous meetings between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is scheduled for the prelims, with no major venue or altitude factors affecting performance.
  • Rodrigues is on a two-fight win streak and looking to climb the rankings. Kopylov is seeking redemption after a loss to a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gregory Rodrigues: -185, Roman Kopylov: 154 Gregory Rodrigues Not available
Spread Gregory Rodrigues: -3.5, Roman Kopylov: 3.5 Gregory Rodrigues -3.5 Not available
Over/under Over: 1.5, Under: 1.5 Under 1.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gregory Rodrigues -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 66%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 66% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gregory Rodrigues by knockout in the first round.

Predicted Score: Gregory Rodrigues wins by KO in Round 1


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Pat Sabatini vs. Chepe Mariscal Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Pat Sabatini vs Chepe Mariscal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC 322 – Early Prelims, Featherweight Division

Game Overview

Pat Sabatini and Chepe Mariscal face off in a featherweight bout where Sabatini enters as a slight favorite due to his superior submission skills and defensive striking. Mariscal's aggressive striking volume contrasts with Sabatini's precision and grappling expertise.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sabatini holds a 20-5 record with a balanced style leveraging submissions and solid striking defense; Mariscal stands at 18-6-0 (1 NC), known for high volume striking but lower finishing rate.
  • No known previous meetings; both fighters bring contrasting styles making match-up analysis hypothetical but favoring Sabatini's grappling control.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • Fight scheduled for UFC 322 early prelims with no significant environmental factors reported; fighters have comparable reach and size.
  • Sabatini likely motivated to capitalize on experience and maintain UFC standing; Mariscal seeking to prove striking dominance and improve consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Pat Sabatini: -130, Chepe Mariscal: +110 Pat Sabatini ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Pat Sabatini -3.5: +145, Chepe Mariscal +3.5: -200 Pat Sabatini -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -200, Under 2.5 rounds: +154 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Pat Sabatini 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Pat Sabatini at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pat Sabatini to win via submission or decision

Predicted Score: Pat Sabatini wins by Submission Round 3


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Tracy Cortez vs. Erin Blanchfield Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tracy Cortez vs Erin Blanchfield – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Game Overview

Erin Blanchfield, the -258 favorite, is a dynamic striker with higher significant strikes landed per minute and strong defensive takedown skills, while Tracy Cortez, the +210 underdog, boasts better takedown accuracy and higher striking accuracy. Both fighters have solid records (13-2 for Blanchfield, 12-2 for Cortez) and comparable physical stats, making this a competitive flyweight bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Blanchfield has a slightly faster average fight pace and more significant strikes landed per minute (5.24 vs 3.79), but Cortez has better takedown success (47% vs 31%) and striking accuracy (49% vs 44%), suggesting a balanced contest with contrasting styles.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Blanchfield and Cortez, so outcome depends on current form and style matchup advantages.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating they should perform at peak levels.
  • Fight takes place at Madison Square Garden with both fighters experienced in high-profile events, minimal travel concerns, and no external disruptions indicated.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to enhance their standing in the flyweight division, with Blanchfield aiming to reinforce her favorite status and Cortez seeking an upset victory to climb rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Erin Blanchfield: -258, Tracy Cortez: +210 Erin Blanchfield ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Erin Blanchfield -3.5: +120, Tracy Cortez +3.5: -165 Tracy Cortez +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -445, Under 2.5: +310 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tracy Cortez -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 199%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 199% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 64.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Erin Blanchfield to win by decision

Predicted Score: Erin Blanchfield wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)


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Gerald Meerschaert vs. Kyle Daukaus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gerald Meerschaert vs Kyle Daukaus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC 322, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This middleweight bout features Gerald Meerschaert, a seasoned veteran known for his submission skills, against Kyle Daukaus, a younger and highly efficient southpaw grappler with high takedown and submission averages.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kyle Daukaus holds a 16-4-0 record with recent wins and better striking accuracy (53% vs. Meerschaert's 45%). Meerschaert has a larger total record (37-20-0) but appears less competitive in recent outings, including a loss signifying decline.
  • They have no direct previous matchups.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight will take place on UFC 322 prelims. The younger fighter Daukaus may have better conditioning and recovery. No notable external disruptions.
  • Kyle Daukaus is entering prime years at age 32 and looks motivated to ascend rankings. Meerschaert at 37 may be motivated but shows signs of career decline.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline gerald_meerschaert: 330, kyle_daukaus: -425 Kyle Daukaus ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread gerald_meerschaert_+7.5: 115, kyle_daukaus_-7.5: -155 Kyle Daukaus -7.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_1.5: -175, under_1.5: 135 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kyle Daukaus -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 69%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 69% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kyle Daukaus to win by submission with a fight under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Kyle Daukaus wins via submission at 1:30 of round 2


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Beneil Dariush vs. Benoit Saint-Denis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Beneil Dariush vs Benoit Saint-Denis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night event

Game Overview

Beneil Dariush (+158) faces Benoit Saint-Denis (-183) in a lightweight (155 lbs) matchup. Saint-Denis is favored as the stronger striker with recent momentum, while Dariush returns from a layoff but possesses superior grappling and submission skills. This is a competitive clash between contrasting fighting styles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dariush recently defeated Renato Moicano via unanimous decision at UFC 317 (Jun 2024), showcasing his ability to control fights over five rounds. Saint-Denis appears to be the more active competitor with recent fight activity and striking prowess. Dariush's extended layoff between fights raises questions about ring rust and timing.
  • No previous head-to-head record exists between these fighters. This is a fresh matchup with no direct historical data to reference.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at this time. Both appear healthy and cleared to compete.
  • The three-round format (typical for non-championship UFC bouts) favors aggressive, high-output strikers. Saint-Denis' striking advantages become more pronounced in shorter fights. Dariush's grappling and submission game may not have sufficient rounds to fully implement his strategy.
  • Both fighters are competing at elite lightweight level with career trajectory implications. Saint-Denis carries favoritism and momentum. Dariush faces pressure to prove his recent layoff hasn't diminished his competitive edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dariush +158 / Saint-Denis -183 Saint-Denis Win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Dariush +3.5 (105) / Saint-Denis -3.5 (-135) Saint-Denis -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds (-165) / Under 1.5 rounds (125) Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benoit Saint-Denis wins by decision or striking-based finish. The shorter three-round format, combined with Saint-Denis' striking advantages and recent activity, outweighs Dariush's superior grappling credentials.

Predicted Score: Saint-Denis 29-28 via Unanimous Decision or Saint-Denis TKO Round 2


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Rodolfo Vieira vs. Bo Nickal Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs Bo Nickal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City

Game Overview

The middleweight bout between Bo Nickal and Rodolfo Vieira at UFC 322 features two high-level grapplers and finishers with contrasting styles and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bo Nickal holds a 7-1 record, showing a strong striking accuracy (59%) and solid defense (absorbing 2.11 significant strikes per minute). Rodolfo Vieira is 11-3 with an aggressive style focusing on submissions, landing more significant strikes per minute (3.77) but absorbing more (4.12). Nickal's average fight time is shorter (5:08) versus Vieira's longer bouts (9:43).
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Nickal and Vieira have occurred, making this a stylistic matchup between Nickal's striking and wrestling versus Vieira's jiu-jitsu and submission prowess.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter entering this bout, indicating both are at full strength.
  • The fight takes place in Nickal's home country (USA) in a major venue adding potential crowd support. Vieira is slightly older (36 vs. 29) which may affect endurance and recovery.
  • Nickal is coming off a recent TKO loss but motivated to rebound against a submission specialist, while Vieira seeks validation as a top middleweight grappler stepping into the UFC spotlight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bo Nickal -205, Rodolfo Vieira +170 Bo Nickal ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Bo Nickal -3.5 -105, Rodolfo Vieira +3.5 -125 Bo Nickal -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -166, Under 2.5 +130 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rodolfo Vieira -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bo Nickal to win by decision

Predicted Score: Bo Nickal wins by unanimous decision without significant damage


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