Match Analysis: Eric McConico vs Cody Brundage – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Game Overview
A middleweight contest featuring Eric McConico (9-3-1) and Cody Brundage (11-6-1), both standing 6'0" and weighing 185 lbs. Brundage fights orthodox with a 72" reach, McConico is a southpaw with a 77" reach advantage. Brundage has a higher significant strike accuracy and lower absorption per minute, while McConico has better significant strike defense percentage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brundage has a more active and accurate striking approach, landing 2.23 significant strikes per minute at 52% accuracy compared to McConico's 0.90 strikes per minute at 38%. McConico shows a slight edge in defensive strike absorption (52%) over Brundage (46%).
- No recorded previous matchups between the two fighters.
- No public information or recent injury reports affecting either fighter prior to the bout.
- Fight taking place at UFC Apex, a neutral site favoring neither fighter; McConico is older (35) versus younger Brundage (31), potentially impacting stamina.
- Brundage appears motivated to improve his winning consistency after an 11-6-1 record; McConicoβs fewer fights may add unpredictability but less recent activity might impact sharpness.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Brundage -160 / McConico +140 | Cody Brundage | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 1.5 (+115) / Under 1.5 (-135) | Under 1.5 rounds | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cody Brundage -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 1.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cody Brundage to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Cody Brundage wins by decision or late stoppage before Round 2