Match Analysis: Donte Johnson vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 9:50 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
Game Overview
This middleweight UFC prelim fight features Donte Johnson, an aggressive fast starter with a high early KO potential, facing Sedriques Dumas, a measured fighter skilled in range control and clinch tactics focused on winning by decision.
Key Factors to Consider
- Donte Johnson excels in early rounds with a 34% KO rate mostly in the first 3-4 minutes, showing aggressive pressure. Sedriques Dumas has strength in controlling pace with jab, clinch, and wrestling to steal rounds and secure decisions.
- No direct head-to-head fights available; strategies contrast aggressively: Johnson seeks early finishes, while Dumas aims to slow pace into later rounds.
- No reported recent injuries for either fighter, both appear fully healthy and prepared.
- Fight taking place at UFC Apex, a familiar venue; no travel or environmental disadvantages noted for either athlete.
- Johnson appears motivated to prove knockout power on prelims stage, while Dumas aims to demonstrate tactical superiority and grinding control to build decision wins.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Donte Johnson: -355, Sedriques Dumas: 280 | Donte Johnson | ★★★★☆ 73% |
| Spread | Donte Johnson -3.5: -320, Sedriques Dumas +3.5: 225 | Donte Johnson -3.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: 170, Under 1.5 rounds: -220 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Donte Johnson -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 -1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Donte Johnson to win by KO/TKO in early rounds
Predicted Score: Donte Johnson wins by KO/TKO in Round 1
