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David Mgoyan vs. Tommy McMillen Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: David Mgoyan vs Tommy McMillen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-03
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

David Mgoyan and Tommy McMillen face off in a highly competitive and closely matched featherweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series. Both fighters enter undefeated, with Mgoyan holding a 7-0 record and McMillen an 8-0 record. The matchup features contrasting styles and physical advantages that set the stage for a compelling contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mgoyan boasts a well-rounded skill set and younger age (21 vs 27), but has been somewhat tentative and made questionable decisions in cages. McMillen has a perfect first-round finish streak and aggressive style, leveraging an 8-0 run and a wrestling base with submission prowess reflecting 5 submission wins.
  • This is their first meeting with no prior head-to-head data. Both fighters present high finishing rates and similar career stages, though McMillen has more submission victories, and Mgoyan shows more knockout power.
  • McMillen previously suffered an AC joint separation that postponed his UFC Contender appearance last year but has since recovered fully and remained active with one fight since then. Mgoyan has no reported injuries.
  • The fight occurs at the UFC Apex, with McMillen having strong local motivation as a Montana native making his UFC-related debut. Mgoyan is a late replacement with only a few weeks notice but is highly motivated to prove his ceiling.
  • McMillen has expressed strong motivation to stop the recent overseas dominance in the UFC featherweight division and secure a UFC contract on home soil. Mgoyan seeks to maintain his undefeated streak and prove his potential as a rising prospect.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline David Mgoyan: -194, Tommy McMillen: 169 Tommy McMillen ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Tommy McMillen -1.5: +150, David Mgoyan +1.5: -180 Tommy McMillen -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5: -153, Under 1.5: 133 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline David Mgoyan 56%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: David Mgoyan at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tommy McMillen to win by submission

Predicted Score: Tommy McMillen wins by submission in round 2


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David Mgoyan vs. Tommy McMillen Prediction

Match Analysis: David Mgoyan vs Tommy McMillen – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-03 Time: 12:00 AM UTC Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas Game Overview David Mgoyan and Tommy McMillen face off in a highly competitive and closely matched featherweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series. Both fighters enter undefeated, with Mgoyan holding a 7-0 record […]

David Mgoyan MMA/Boxing September 3, 2025 Tommy McMillen

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Eduardo Henrique vs. An Tuan Ho Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Eduardo Henrique vs An Tuan Ho – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-03
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada (Dana White's Contender Series 2025: Week 4)

Game Overview

This bout features Eduardo Henrique da Silva facing An Tuan Ho in a competitive matchup on Dana White’s Contender Series. Henrique is a slight favorite on the moneyline with -155 odds while An Tuan Ho is the underdog at +135. The fight is expected to be competitive with strong grappling and striking skills from both fighters and a likely decision or late finish outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eduardo Henrique has demonstrated steady recent form with wins in relevant bouts on the Contender Series and LFA, showing strong control and grappling ability. An Tuan Ho has shown resilience but had mixed results, including decisively less dominant performances in LFA and Contender Series outings.
  • No direct previous fights between Eduardo Henrique and An Tuan Ho were found, making this a first-time matchup reliant on stylistic and recent performance analysis.
  • No reported injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter leading up to this fight, indicating full health and preparation for both.
  • The event takes place in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no home advantage. Both fighters are motivated by the opportunity to secure a UFC contract through Dana White's Contender Series.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, but Eduardo Henrique appears slightly more driven given his recent winning momentum and need to solidify a UFC entry, while An Tuan Ho faces pressure to rebound from recent mixed results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -155, away: +135 Eduardo Henrique ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Eduardo Henrique -1.5 rounds: -130, An Tuan Ho +1.5 rounds: +110 Eduardo Henrique -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over 2.5 rounds: +130, under 2.5 rounds: -150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eduardo Henrique -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eduardo Henrique to win by decision

Predicted Score: Eduardo Henrique by decision (unanimous) after 3 rounds


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Samuel Silva vs. Mandel Nallo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Samuel Silva vs Mandel Nallo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-03
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Contender Series 2025, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Samuel Silva faces Mandel Nallo in a Contender Series bout at Las Vegas. Silva is the betting favorite with a consistent strong form recorded in regional promotions, while Nallo enters as a slight underdog but with competitive recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Samuel Silva has shown steady improvement with recent winning momentum across Cage Warriors and LFA, maintaining odds as favorite in recent fights. Mandel Nallo has competitive form but less consistency and has been underdog in recent bouts.
  • No prior recorded head-to-head between Samuel Silva and Mandel Nallo, making this a fresh matchup without direct matchup data.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter prior to the bout, both expected to be at full health and capacity.
  • Fight takes place at Contender Series in a neutral venue (Las Vegas). Both fighters motivated to impress for UFC contract consideration, increasing overall fight intensity.
  • Both fighters highly motivated as they compete on Contender Series aiming for UFC contracts. Silva’s recent momentum and betting favorite status may indicate boosted confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -190, away: +165 Samuel Silva ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread silva -1.5: -120, nallo +1.5: 100 Samuel Silva -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over 1.5: -127, under 1.5: 107 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Samuel Silva -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Samuel Silva to win via moneyline, cover the spread, and fight to go under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Samuel Silva wins by decision or finish just before round 2 ends


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Theo Haig vs. Cezary Oleksiejczuk Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Theo Haig vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-03
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series, undisclosed venue

Game Overview

Highly anticipated middleweight clash between rising undefeated grappler prospect Theo Haig and seasoned striker Cezary Oleksiejczuk, known for power striking and KO ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Theo Haig is undefeated (6-0) with a 5-0 run in recent fights showing strong grappling and submission skills. Oleksiejczuk has 15-3 record with a 4-1 recent form, carrying knockout power in 8 KO wins on his resume.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings between the fighters, making styles and form primary analysis factors.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • The bout takes place on Dana White's Contender Series, motivating both fighters to impress for a UFC contract. Higher pressure on Oleksiejczuk as the more experienced and favored striker.
  • Both fighters motivated by UFC contract prospects; Oleksiejczuk has established power striking credentials, while Haig aims to prove his ground game can overcome elite opponents.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +240, away: -280 Away – Cezary Oleksiejczuk ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread away_minus_1.5: -110, home_plus_1.5: -110 Away – Cezary Oleksiejczuk -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over_1.5: +118, under_1.5: -138 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cezary Oleksiejczuk -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cezary Oleksiejczuk to win by decision or late KO with strong stand-up and takedown defense.

Predicted Score: Oleksiejczuk wins by late KO or decision in round 3


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Jack Congdon vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jack Congdon vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between Jack Congdon (7-1-0) and Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (7-2-0) on Dana White's Contender Series main card, ESPN+, in Las Vegas.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Congdon is a rising prospect with a 7-1 pro record but has faced generally weaker opponents. Lebosnoyani's 7-2 record comes against tougher competition and includes submission wins, highlighting his grappling proficiency.
  • No prior head-to-head matchup exists between Congdon and Lebosnoyani.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight.
  • Fight held at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, neutral venue, likely no significant external disruptions. Congdon has strong local support from New Bedford area.
  • Both fighters motivated to secure UFC contracts, but Lebosnoyani’s experience against higher-level opponents and specialist skills may give him a psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jack Congdon: 330, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani: -400 Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Lebosnoyani -1.5: -150, Congdon +1.5: +120 Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +145, Under 1.5 rounds: -165 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani to win by submission

Predicted Score: Lebosnoyani wins by submission in round 2


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Darren Till vs. Luke Rockhold Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Darren Till vs Luke Rockhold – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: AO Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Darren Till faces Luke Rockhold in a 6-round bridgerweight catchweight bout. Till enters undefeated in this discipline with 2 wins, showcasing notable power and youth advantage. Rockhold, a former UFC and Strikeforce champion, is older, has less recent success, and a losing record in this specific boxing format.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Till is 2-0 in boxing matches, with a knockout win and solid recent form. Rockhold is 0-1 with a loss in his only boxing match, struggling to adapt from MMA. Till's power and experience in this boxing format give him an edge.
  • No direct prior fights between Till and Rockhold exist in boxing or MMA.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter impacting the matchup.
  • Fight takes place in Manchester, England, favoring local support for Till. The bout is at a catchweight of 224 lb with six rounds, which suits Till's youth and conditioning.
  • Till is seeking to build on his undefeated record in boxing to establish himself post-UFC. Rockhold aims to revive his combat sports career after mixed results across multiple disciplines.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1500, away: +850 Darren Till ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home_-2.5: -120, away_+2.5: +100 Darren Till -2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over_4.5_rounds: -110, under_4.5_rounds: -110 Over 4.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Darren Till -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Darren Till at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Darren Till to win by decision

Predicted Score: Darren Till wins by unanimous decision 5-1 rounds


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Alik Lorenz vs. Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alik Lorenz vs Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not Provided

Game Overview

Alik Lorenz faces Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev in a light heavyweight bout at the Dana White's Contender Series 2025. Lorenz is known for his aggressive style and powerful strikes, while Yakhyaev is the current Ares FC champion with a balanced skillset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Yakhyaev is the more well-rounded fighter, having won via decision, KO/TKO, and submission. Lorenz relies heavily on his power and has a 100% finish rate.
  • No previous head-to-head matchup.
  • No injuries reported.
  • Motivation is high for both fighters looking to secure a UFC contract.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a UFC contract.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Yakhyaev: -900, Lorenz: 600 Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev ★★★★☆ 82%
Over/under Over 1.5: 190, Under 1.5: -240 Under 1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev is favored to win due to his technical skills and recent title fights experience.

Predicted Score: Yakhyaev by decision or early stoppage


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Cristian Pérez vs. Manoel Sousa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cristian Pérez vs Manoel Sousa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Cristian Pérez, an exceptional grappler relying on ground control and submissions, faces Manoel Sousa, a powerful striker known for his knockout ability. The matchup presents a classic grappler versus striker dynamic, making the fight outcome uncertain but strategically interesting for betting.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pérez holds a record of 13-1, demonstrating consistent grappling dominance and control. Sousa has an 11-1 record showcasing strong striking and finishing power. Both fighters have shown recent strong form in their respective specialties.
  • No prior head-to-head fights exist between Pérez and Sousa, adding an element of unpredictability.
  • No reported current injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup, indicating both should be at full strength.
  • The bout takes place at Contender Series 2025 Week 3 in Las Vegas, a high-profile environment where both fighters are motivated to impress Dana White and advance their careers.
  • Both fighters appear highly motivated; Pérez aims to demonstrate grappling supremacy to secure UFC opportunities, while Sousa seeks to capitalize on his striking power to claim a highlight finish. Motivation is balanced.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cristian Pérez: +240, Manoel Sousa: -300 Manoel Sousa ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sousa -1.5: -150, Pérez +1.5: +130 Sousa -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: -215, Under 1.5: +175 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manoel Sousa -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manoel Sousa at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manoel Sousa is favored to win via striking prowess, but Cristian Pérez's grappling threat makes the fight competitive. Given odds and styles, betting on Sousa moneyline offers the highest expected value. Spread favors Sousa to win by decision or finish narrowly. Over 1.5 rounds is favored given fight duration expectations.

Predicted Score: Manoel Sousa wins via decision or late finish in round 2 or 3


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Damon Wilson vs. Márcio Barbosa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Damon Wilson vs Márcio Barbosa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Featherweight division main card fight between Damon Wilson (9-2) and Márcio Barbosa (16-2) on Dana White's Contender Series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Márcio Barbosa holds a more extensive record with 16 wins and 2 losses compared to Damon Wilson's 9 wins and 2 losses. Barbosa has displayed consistent form in recent fights with odds movement favoring him as a clear favorite; Wilson is seen as an underdog but has competitive wins.
  • No direct head-to-head data available; this is their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into this matchup.
  • The fight is part of a high-stakes Dana White's Contender Series event, increasing motivation especially for Wilson who is the underdog and looking to prove himself for UFC recognition.
  • Wilson likely has increased motivation as the underdog looking to capitalize on this showcase; Barbosa as the seasoned favorite carries pressure to deliver and maintain standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Damon Wilson: +265, Márcio Barbosa: -340 Márcio Barbosa ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Márcio Barbosa -1.5 rounds: -120, Damon Wilson +1.5 rounds: +100 Márcio Barbosa -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +155, Under 1.5 rounds: -185 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Márcio Barbosa -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Márcio Barbosa to win via moneyline and cover the spread, with the fight going under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Márcio Barbosa wins by TKO in round 1


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Darion Abbey vs. Donte Johnson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Darion Abbey vs Donte Johnson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-27
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This matchup features Darion Abbey, a 7-4 heavyweight with significant size and reach advantages, against undefeated 5-0 light heavyweight Donte Johnson. Abbey is the older, heavier fighter, while Johnson is younger and undefeated, indicating rising talent and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Darion Abbey has a solid but mixed record of 7-4, showing vulnerability but experience in heavyweight fights. Donte Johnson is undefeated at 5-0, with strong recent form and momentum.
  • No direct previous matchups between Abbey and Johnson exist, meaning preparation and adaptation on fight night will be crucial.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, indicating both are in normal training condition.
  • The fight takes place at a high-stakes Dana White Contender Series event, increasing motivation for Johnson, the undefeated prospect, eager to prove himself with a UFC contract.
  • Donte Johnson's undefeated status and younger age create a strong motivation to maintain the streak and advance his career. Abbey, with a more seasoned but less stellar record, is motivated to upset and return to prominence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Darion Abbey: +275, Donte Johnson: -350 Donte Johnson ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Donte Johnson -1.5: -150, Darion Abbey +1.5: +130 Donte Johnson -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +190, Under 1.5 rounds: -230 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Donte Johnson -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Donte Johnson at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Donte Johnson via decision

Predicted Score: Donte Johnson wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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