Match Analysis: Dan Ige vs Patricio Freire – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-20
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: To Be Announced
Game Overview
Dan Ige, ranked #12 in the UFC featherweight division with an 11-8 UFC record and notable striking volume and accuracy, faces Patricio Freire, a highly experienced 36-8 veteran with a longer average fight time and high finishing ability. Ige exhibits superior significant strikes landed per minute and striking accuracy, while Freire has the edge in submission attempts and takedown defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dan Ige has a mixed recent form with 2 wins and 3 losses in his last 5 fights, showing vulnerability on decision losses; Patricio Freire brings greater career experience with a 36-8 record but has a slight downturn recently, including a recent loss indicating possible decline.
- No available direct H2H data suggests this will be their first encounter, adding uncertainty but supporting analysis based on styles and metrics.
- No reported injuries for either fighter affecting this matchup.
- Fight taking place under standard UFC conditions; no reported external distractions, travel concerns, or weight miss history impacting fighters.
- Freire aims to establish UFC credentials after notable Bellator success and recent organizational change, likely highly motivated; Ige aims to leverage home division experience to maintain or improve ranking.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Dan Ige: -240, Patricio Freire: 180 | Dan Ige | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Dan Ige -1.5: -110, Patricio Freire +1.5: -110 | Dan Ige -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Dan Ige -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Dan Ige at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dan Ige to win by decision
Predicted Score: Dan Ige wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds