Match Analysis: Da'Mon Blackshear vs Davey Grant – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-26
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi
Game Overview
Da'Mon Blackshear and Davey Grant meet at UFC Abu Dhabi in a bantamweight bout where Blackshear enters as a strong favorite based on recent odds and performance metrics. The fight is expected to be competitive but with a likely finish under 3 rounds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Blackshear (16-7) has a slight edge in significant strikes landed per minute (4.70) versus Grant (5.25) but lands a higher percentage (46% vs 44%). Grant also has better strike defense (55% deflection vs Blackshear 52%). Both fighters show durability with similar strikes absorbed per minute.
- No direct historical matchup between the two, making form and style matchup key in analysis.
- No reported injuries to either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full capacity physically.
- Fighting at home-favored venue Abu Dhabi's Etihad Arena may favor Blackshear with crowd support. The pressure to perform as the heavy favorite may affect Blackshear's approach.
- Blackshear is motivated to justify favorite billing and progress in rankings, while Grant, as underdog, may seek an upset to revitalize career momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Da'Mon Blackshear: -330, Davey Grant: +270 | Da'Mon Blackshear | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Not listed explicitly; implied -1.5 rounds favoring Blackshear | Blackshear -1.5 rounds | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -130, Under 2.5 +100 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β ββ 57% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Da'Mon Blackshear -13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Da'Mon Blackshear to win by decision
Predicted Score: Da'Mon Blackshear wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds