Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland
Game Overview
Claudio Pacella is set to face Gavin Hughes in a lightweight matchup at PFL Europe. Pacella, with a record of 5-2, is favored over Hughes, who boasts an 11-4 record. The fight is part of the PFL Europe Lightweight Tournament.
Key Factors to Consider
Claudio Pacella has a good balance in his skills, but his record is significantly shorter than Gavin Hughes'. Hughes' experience could be crucial in the fight.
There is no known head-to-head data between these fighters.
No recent injuries reported for either fighter.
The fight at the SSE Arena in Belfast could favor a more aggressive, crowd-pleasing style.
Both fighters are motivated by advancing in the PFL Europe tournament.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Claudio Pacella: -350, Gavin Hughes: 225
Claudio Pacella
Not available
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Claudio Pacella 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Claudio Pacella at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Claudio Pacella is favored due to his listed odds, but Gavin Hughes' experience could lead to a competitive bout.
Predicted Score: Claudio Pacella win via decision
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Claudio Pacella vs. Gavin Hughes Prediction
Match Analysis: Claudio Pacella vs Gavin Hughes – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-10 Time: 4:00 PM UTC Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland Game Overview Claudio Pacella is set to face Gavin Hughes in a lightweight matchup at PFL Europe. Pacella, with a record of 5-2, is favored over Hughes, who boasts an 11-4 […]
Location: UFC Event Venue (exact venue not specified)
Game Overview
The UFC 315 prelims feature a Light Heavyweight bout between Modestas Bukauskas and Ion Cutelaba. Both fighters have solid UFC experience with Bukauskas holding a 5-4 UFC record and Cutelaba with an 8-9-1 UFC record. Bukauskas, known for his well-rounded striking and grappling, aims to secure a finish, while Cutelaba brings aggressive style and resilience. The fight is expected to be competitive and likely to be decided by striking exchanges and the ability to implement game plans under pressure.
Key Factors to Consider
Bukauskas has recovered from a three-fight skid and appears focused with improved strategy and composure, demonstrated in recent interviews. Cutelaba maintains an aggressive approach but has a slightly less consistent record in UFC bouts, indicating volatility in performance.
This matchup appears to be their first meeting, with no prior head-to-head record available. Both fighters have comparable UFC experience but differ slightly in fighting style and recent form.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout as of the latest updates.
The fight is on UFC prelims, possibly affecting the fighters' motivation to make a strong impression for a potential main card rise. Modestas Bukauskas has publicly expressed motivation to earn a bonus-worthy performance, which may give him an edge.
Bukauskas is highly motivated to capitalize on recent progress and move closer to a significant UFC milestone. Cutelaba is known for his fighting spirit but may face pressure to improve his UFC record.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Modestas Bukauskas: -108, Ion Cutelaba: -112
Modestas Bukauskas
★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread
Modestas Bukauskas +3.5: -140, Ion Cutelaba -3.5: 100
Modestas Bukauskas +3.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 1.5 rounds: -154, Under 1.5 rounds: 120
Over 1.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Modestas Bukauskas -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 1.5 -99%
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Modestas Bukauskas is predicted to win, likely by a finish given his stated game plan and recent confidence. The fight may go to a late stoppage or decision if Cutelaba withstands early aggression.
Predicted Score: Bukauskas wins by TKO/KO or decision in Round 2 or 3
This UFC 315 preliminary card bout features a women's flyweight clash between former strawweight champion Jessica Andrade and Canadian rising contender Jasmine Jasudavicius. Jasudavicius, riding a strong winning streak, is eager to prove her title credentials by defeating a former champion. Andrade, known for her power and experience across multiple divisions, looks to bounce back and reassert herself near the top of the flyweight rankings. The matchup contrasts Jasudavicius' size, durability, and mat skills against Andrade's knockout power and veteran savvy.
Key Factors to Consider
Jasudavicius (13-3, 7-2 UFC) enters with momentum, recently showcasing improved finishing ability, especially on the mat. Andrade (26-13, 17-11 UFC), one of the most decorated women in UFC history, is coming off a return to form in 2024 after a challenging 2023, but has historically struggled against larger flyweights.
No prior matchups. Andrade's experience and power are offset by her size disadvantage at flyweight. Jasudavicius has faced and beaten several Brazilian opponents recently, building a strong regional reputation within the division.
No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
The fight takes place in Montreal, Canada, giving Jasudavicius a hometown advantage. Andrade has been a consistent top-10 fighter but is undersized compared to Jasudavicius at flyweight. Personal turmoil for Andrade in recent years may be a consideration, but she has rebounded in her latest bouts.
Jasudavicius is highly motivated to leap into title contention with a win over a decorated opponent. Andrade, the former champ, is motivated to reclaim her spot at the top and prove her resilience after recent personal struggles.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Jasmine Jasudavicius -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 18%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jasudavicius wins, likely via late stoppage or submission. Her size, durability, and mat skills are expected to overcome Andrade's power and experience, especially given the Canadian's recent form and Andrade's historical struggles against larger flyweights.
Predicted Score: Jasmine Jasudavicius defeats Jessica Andrade by submission or TKO in Round 2
Mike Malott, known for his early finishing ability and submission skills, faces Charles Radtke, a tactical and resilient fighter coming off a TKO win. The bout is at welterweight and is generating significant interest, with Malott as the favorite due to his recent performances and home-country advantage. Both fighters are coming off wins, with Malott's last being a unanimous decision over Trevin Giles, while Radtke recently scored a TKO over Matthew Semelsberger.
Key Factors to Consider
Malott has an 11-2-1 record and has shown strong finishing ability, especially in the early rounds. Radtke stands at 10-4, with a tactical style and good endurance; he can gain momentum if the fight goes past the first two rounds.
No previous matchups between Malott and Radtke.
No major pre-fight injuries reported for either fighter.
Malott fights at home in Canada, which may boost his motivation. Radtke has engaged in pre-fight trash talk, but Malott remains focused.
Both fighters are highly motivated: Malott to impress his home crowd and continue his win streak, Radtke to prove himself against a higher-ranked opponent.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Mike Malott -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 1.5 21%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mike Malott is favored due to his superior finishing ability and recent momentum. He’s expected to push aggressively in the early rounds, with a strong chance to finish Radtke via TKO in the first or second round. However, Radtke’s resilience and tactical approach could swing the fight if it goes late, but Malott’s home crowd and early aggression are likely decisive factors.
Predicted Score: Predicted Method: Mike Malott by TKO, Round 2
This is a preliminary light heavyweight bout in the UFC, featuring Navajo Stirling (New Zealand) versus Ivan Erslan (Croatia). Stirling is the betting favorite, with Erslan considered a significant underdog. Both fighters are relatively tall for the division and have a competitive reach, though Stirling holds a slight edge in both height and reach. The fight is scheduled for May 10, 2025, as part of the UFC 315 event.
Key Factors to Consider
Navajo Stirling is a strong contender with a more favorable betting line, indicating superior recent performances or better perceived matchup fit. Ivan Erslan, while experienced, is seen as an underdog, likely due to less dominant performances in recent outings or stylistic disadvantages.
No prior head-to-head history found. This is the first known meeting between these two fighters.
No injury reports are available at this time for either fighter.
No major external factors (weather, location disruptions) reported. Standard UFC prelim event conditions apply.
Both fighters are highly motivated, especially Erslan looking to upset the odds, while Stirling aims to maintain momentum and justify his status as favorite.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Navajo Stirling -325 | Ivan Erslan 260
Navajo Stirling
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Navajo Stirling -3.5 (-190) | Ivan Erslan +3.5 (140)
Navajo Stirling covers (wins by 4 or more points/rounds/KO/Submission)
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 1.5 Rounds (-175) | Under 1.5 Rounds (135)
Over 1.5 Rounds
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Navajo Stirling -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 1.5 23%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Navajo Stirling is favored to win by decision or late stoppage, leveraging his reach and technical striking. However, given the unpredictability of MMA, an Erslan upset via knockout remains a plausible risk.
Predicted Score: Navajo Stirling by Decision (Unanimous), 30-27 on scorecards.
This is a UFC 315 preliminary bantamweight bout between Bekzat Almakhan (11-2, 0-1 UFC) and Brad Katona (14-4, 4-4 UFC). Almakhan enters as a slight favorite with higher upside, while Katona brings UFC experience and consistency. The fight is expected to be competitive, with both fighters having paths to victory.
Key Factors to Consider
Almakhan is an aggressive striker with a strong regional record, looking to rebound from his UFC debut loss. Katona is well-rounded, with solid wrestling and cardio, and a reputation for being difficult to finish. Both have shown resilience and adaptability in their recent bouts.
No prior fights between these two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter as of fight week.
Fight is in Canada, which may give Katona a slight crowd advantage. Both are acclimated to the venue and similar conditions.
Almakhan is motivated to secure his first UFC win. Katona is looking to break his pattern of 'consistent to a fault' performances and move up the ranks.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Almakhan: -156, Katona: 136
Almakhan
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Not widely available for MMA, but equivalent implied line: Almakhan -1.5 (~ +175), Katona +1.5 (~ -210)
Almakhan to cover if line exists, but Katona +1.5 is safer
55% (Almakhan cover), 70% (Katona +1.5)
Over/under
Over 2.5: -325, Under 2.5: +250
Over 2.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Bekzat Almakhan 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bekzat Almakhan at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Almakhan is the slight favorite due to his striking power and potential, but Katona's experience and grappling could level the playing field. Expect a competitive fight, with Almakhan likely to win by decision, though Katona could spring an upset with effective grappling.
Predicted Score: Decision win for Bekzat Almakhan (Almakhan 29-28 on scorecards)
The UFC 315 prelim middleweight bout between Marc-André Barriault and Bruno Silva on May 10, 2025, is a key fight for both fighters seeking to break losing streaks. Barriault, a Quebec native, returns to compete in his home province for the first time since 2018, aiming to leverage home advantage after three consecutive losses. Silva, a Brazilian striker with black belt BJJ credentials, enters on a difficult four-fight losing streak and recently took a hiatus due to anxiety issues. This matchup promises an exciting striking battle, complemented by potential grappling exchanges due to Silva's superior ground skills.
Key Factors to Consider
Barriault brings volume striking and pressure, while Silva offers power striking and high-level Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Both have struggled recently with Barriault at 1-6 in UFC and Silva 4-6 in UFC. Silva’s recent four-fight losing streak and recent mental health break may affect performance. Barriault aims to rally with home support and familiarity at Bell Centre.
This is the first meeting between Marc-André Barriault and Bruno Silva, so no direct head-to-head data exists.
No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the bout.
Fighting in Montreal, Barriault benefits from home crowd support and motivation to win at home after a long absence. Silva may face psychological challenges from recent anxiety crisis and losing streak. The long-awaited UFC return to Montreal adds significance.
Barriault is in must-win territory to revive his UFC career and reignite momentum in front of a home crowd. Silva seeks to overcome recent mental health challenges and prolonged losing skid, aiming to get back on track in the division.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Bruno Silva: 130, Marc-Andre Barriault: -155
Marc-André Barriault
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Bruno Silva +3.5: -150, Marc-Andre Barriault -3.5: 110
Marc-André Barriault -3.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 1.5 rounds: -200, Under 1.5 rounds: 154
Over 1.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Marc-Andre Barriault 43%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 1.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Marc-Andre Barriault at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marc-André Barriault is predicted to narrowly outpoint Bruno Silva via decision. Barriault's pressure and volume striking, combined with home advantage, are expected to neutralize Silva's power and grappling. Silva's BJJ skills could pose a threat if he manages to take the fight to the ground, but Barriault’s durability and cardio should allow him to avoid prolonged submission danger.
Predicted Score: Marc-André Barriault wins by unanimous decision after three rounds
UFC 315 features an early prelim featherweight showdown between Daniel 'Willycat' Santos (Brazil) and JeongYeong 'Korean Tiger' Lee (South Korea). Santos, known for dynamic striking and aggressive offense, steps in on short notice after nearly two years of inactivity due to a series of fight cancellations. Lee, a BJJ black belt, is recognized for his explosive finishes and submission skills, but his last fight saw a first-round TKO loss, raising questions about his striking defense. Both fighters aim to rebound and climb the featherweight rankings.
Key Factors to Consider
Santos has a 12-2 record (6 KOs, 2 subs), with his last win in June 2023. He is aggressive and has three first-round finishes. JeongYeong Lee is 11-2 (4 KOs, 3 subs), with five first-round wins. His last fight was a first-round TKO loss in July 2024.
No previous fights between Santos and Lee.
No recent major injuries reported, but Santos has a history of fight withdrawals. Both have had fight cancellation issues, and Santos hasn't competed since June 2023.
Santos taking the fight on short notice may impact conditioning and preparation. Lee has a full camp and is coming off a recent loss.
High motivation for both fighters. Santos needs a win to regain UFC trust after several withdrawals. Lee seeks a statement win after a recent setback.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Daniel Santos: -102, Jeongyoung Lee: -118
Jeongyoung Lee Moneyline
★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread
Daniel Santos: 3.5 -175, Jeongyoung Lee: -3.5 125
Jeongyoung Lee -3.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -130
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 67%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Jeongyoung Lee -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 19%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Expect a competitive, fast-paced featherweight clash. Santos brings unpredictable, aggressive striking but may struggle with ring rust. Lee's grappling and experience in recent fights give him the edge. Given the short notice for Santos and Lee's desperation to rebound, the fight could end early, with Lee's submission or ground control standing out. However, Santos' upside as a finisher cannot be ignored.
Predicted Score: Jeongyoung Lee by Submission (Round 2)
Paul 'Big News' Hughes (13-2) faces Brazil's Bruno 'Robusto' Miranda (17-5) in the lightweight main event of PFL Europe Belfast. Miranda, a Muay Thai specialist with nine KO/TKOs, recently beat former champ Patricky Pitbull, but has only lost to top contenders in the PFL. Hughes, fighting at home, is a rising star on a solid win streak.
Key Factors to Consider
Hughes is on an impressive run with strong local support and a well-rounded game. Miranda boasts high-level striking and recent momentum, including a high-profile win over Patricky Pitbull.
No previous head-to-head record between Hughes and Miranda.
No significant injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout.
Hughes fighting at home provides a notable crowd advantage. Miranda is comfortable in high-pressure situations, having fought top-tier competition.
High for both: Hughes seeks to cement his status in front of his fans; Miranda aims to overcome the home fighter and continue his upward trajectory.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Home: -1300; Away: 625
Hughes (Home) wins
High (75%)
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Paul Hughes 516%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Paul Hughes at 516% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 82.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hughes is favored due to home advantage, momentum, and well-rounded skills. However, Miranda's striking and recent form make him a dangerous underdog capable of an upset, especially if he can keep the fight standing.
Souheil Kaouchen vs Oskar Stachura is a featherweight bout on the KSW 106 card. Both fighters are climbing the ranks, with Kaouchen on a winning streak in French regional promotions and Stachura favored by oddsmakers. The matchup is significant for regional and European featherweight standings, with both athletes seeking momentum and recognition in the KSW organization.
Key Factors to Consider
Souheil Kaouchen is on a six-fight winning streak, with recent victories by TKO and decision in regional French promotions. Stachura, while less publicized in recent local results, is favored in the odds, suggesting market recognition of his skills, possibly based on his broader European experience or fight style.
No previous head-to-head encounters between Kaouchen and Stachura in professional MMA.
No official reports of significant injuries for either fighter leading up to this match.
The fight takes place in Lyon, France, likely favoring Kaouchen with home support. The event is high-profile for KSW, which could add pressure but also motivation for both athletes.
Kaouchen is riding a hot streak and is likely highly motivated to prove himself against a favored opponent. Stachura has the bookmakers' confidence and is likely motivated to validate that status in the KSW featherweight division.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Oskar Stachura: -150, Souheil Kaouchen: 110
Oskar Stachura
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Oskar Stachura -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Oskar Stachura at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oskar Stachura is favored by oddsmakers, but Souheil Kaouchen's regional momentum and home advantage could make this a competitive bout. Expect a close fight, possibly decided by Stachura's experience and ability to control pace, but do not discount Kaouchen's finishing skills and recent form.
