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Carlos Diego Ferreira vs. Alex Hernandez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Alex Hernandez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

Lightweight bout between Carlos Diego Ferreira and Alexander Hernandez with Ferreira as a slight favorite by odds. Hernandez is fighting at home in San Antonio, which could influence performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ferreira has shown more consistency in his recent performances, with several wins disrupting top contenders and good striking and grappling balance. Hernandez, while talented, has been less consistent and coming off some mixed results.
  • Neither fighter appears to have prior head-to-head matchups, making this fight a fresh contest without direct past data.
  • No significant injury reports have been noted for either fighter prior to the bout.
  • Hernandez fighting in his hometown of San Antonio could provide motivation and fan support, but Ferreira is experienced in handling hostile environments.
  • Hernandez is motivated to defend his home turf and make a statement in front of a home crowd, but Ferreira is motivated by climbing lightweight rankings and redemption after previous setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alex Hernandez: -105, Carlos Diego Ferreira: -115 Carlos Diego Ferreira ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Alex Hernandez +3.5: -195, Carlos Diego Ferreira -3.5: 140 Carlos Diego Ferreira -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 2.5: -135, Under 2.5: 105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alex Hernandez 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Diego Ferreira to win by decision

Predicted Score: Carlos Diego Ferreira wins by unanimous decision after three rounds


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Carlos Diego Ferreira vs. Alex Hernandez Prediction

Match Analysis: Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Alex Hernandez – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-13 Time: 8:00 PM UTC Location: San Antonio, Texas Game Overview Lightweight bout between Carlos Diego Ferreira and Alexander Hernandez with Ferreira as a slight favorite by odds. Hernandez is fighting at home in San Antonio, which could influence performance. Key Factors […]

Alex Hernandez Carlos Diego Ferreira MMA/Boxing September 13, 2025

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Tatiana Suarez vs. Amanda Lemos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

Tatiana Suarez faces Amanda Lemos in a highly anticipated strawweight bout, with Suarez favored due to superior striking accuracy and defense, recent competitive form, and motivation to rebound after her first career loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Suarez holds an 11-1 record with a high striking accuracy (61%) and strong defense, allowing only 1.58 significant strikes per minute. Lemos is 15-4-1, landing 54% of strikes and absorbing 3.46 per minute, indicating Suarez's dominance in striking exchanges.
  • No prior head-to-head fights recorded between Suarez and Lemos.
  • No current injury reports affecting either fighter as of fight week.
  • Fight takes place at a neutral venue; no external environmental or travel-related disadvantages reported.
  • Suarez is highly motivated to rebound from her first career loss and reassert her position as a title contender. Lemos aims to break into the top tier with a win, making the motivation relatively even but with Suarez slightly favored due to recent title experience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tatiana Suarez -455 / Amanda Lemos +350 Tatiana Suarez ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Tatiana Suarez -7.5 (-140) / Amanda Lemos +7.5 (+100) Tatiana Suarez -7.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (+100) / Under 2.5 rounds (-130) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tatiana Suarez -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tatiana Suarez to win by decision

Predicted Score: Suarez wins by unanimous decision (3-0 rounds)


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Jesus Santos Aguilar vs. Luis Gurule Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jesus Santos Aguilar vs Luis Gurule – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

Flyweight bout between aggressive striker Jesus Santos Aguilar and technically skilled wrestler Luis Gurule.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aguilar is known for forward pressure striking and KO power but has a weaker takedown defense. Gurule boasts strong wrestling skills and comparable striking, making him a balanced and resilient fighter.
  • No recorded previous meetings between Aguilar and Gurule, making this a fresh matchup with no direct H2H data.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter, both appear healthy and fight-ready.
  • Fight is at a neutral venue with no significant altitude or climate issues. Both fighters are performing in their prime age range.
  • Gurule (10-1) motivated to maintain near-perfect record; Aguilar (11-3) looking to rebound and prove knockout resilience after previous hard fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jesus Santos Aguilar: +170, Luis Gurule: -205 Luis Gurule ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Jesus Santos Aguilar +3.5: -125, Luis Gurule -3.5: -105 Luis Gurule -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -166, Under 2.5 rounds: +130 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Luis Gurule -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Luis Gurule to win by decision

Predicted Score: Luis Gurule wins via decision (3 rounds)


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Zachary Reese vs. Sedriques Dumas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

Middleweight bout between Zachary Reese (9-2) and Sedriques Dumas (10-3) with contrasting styles: Reese is a switch fighter with higher striking output, while Dumas is orthodox with strong strike defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Reese has a higher significant strike rate (4.28/min) and better strike accuracy (54%) compared to Dumas (2.10/min, 45%). Reese also absorbs more strikes (2.99/min) versus Dumas (2.50/min), but Dumas boasts superior strike defense (55% vs 43%).
  • No previous head-to-head fights recorded between Reese and Dumas.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter before the bout.
  • Fight takes place at a neutral venue; no notable external influences detected. Dumas appears motivated despite financial hardship, which could impact focus.
  • Both fighters motivated to climb rankings; Reese’s recent momentum and style advantage may give him psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -238, away: +195 Zachary Reese ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: -230, away: +165 Zachary Reese -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: +124, under: -160 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Zachary Reese -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zachary Reese to win on moneyline and cover the spread with a fight total going under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Zachary Reese wins via TKO in round 2


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Alessandro Costa vs. Alden Coria Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:50 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night Venue (unspecified)

Game Overview

Alessandro Costa is the strong favorite against Alden Coria based on recent form, odds history, and expert consensus. Costa's power and finishing ability have been demonstrated with early finishes highlighted in betting markets. Coria, while experienced, is positioned as the underdog with less probability of winning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Costa has maintained strong recent form with consistent winning odds movement indicating betting market confidence, including multiple early KO/TKO and submission finishes in round 1 available as prop odds.
  • No documented direct head-to-head fights between Alessandro Costa and Alden Coria, requiring reliance on form and general skill comparisons.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter that would materially affect performance or betting evaluation.
  • Sharp money movement has favored Alden Coria on some books, indicating value perception, but overall market consensus still heavily favors Costa.
  • Costa's position as a favored rising contender and motivation to establish dominance in UFC likely higher; Coria seeking to prove value as an underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Costa: -410, Coria: +320 Alessandro Costa ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Costa -3.5 (-195), Coria +3.5 (140) Alessandro Costa -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-115), Under 2.5 (-115) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alessandro Costa -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alessandro Costa to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Alessandro Costa wins by KO/TKO in Round 1


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Alice Pereira vs. Montserrat Rendon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alice Pereira vs Montserrat Rendon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

UFC women's Bantamweight prelim fight between undefeated rising prospect Alice Pereira (5-0) and experienced contender Montserrat Rendon (6-1). Pereira is debuting in UFC showcasing high finishing rate, while Rendon is a seasoned competitor with one loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alice Pereira holds a perfect 5-0 record with a high KO finish rate (66.7%), showing aggressive striking and finishing ability. Montserrat Rendon is 6-1, more experienced but with a lower finish rate, often going to decision.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings between Pereira and Rendon, making styles and form decisive.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter, both appear fully fit for the matchup.
  • Fight is at UFC prelims in San Antonio, neutral venue favoring neither. Pereira is making UFC debut which may add motivation.
  • Pereira highly motivated to impress in UFC debut, while Rendon aims to maintain rank and prove superiority over newcomer.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alice Pereira -148, Montserrat Rendon +124 Alice Pereira ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Alice Pereira -3.5 +150, Montserrat Rendon +3.5 -205 Montserrat Rendon +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -280, Under 2.5 +210 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alice Pereira -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 120%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 120% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alice Pereira to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Alice Pereira wins by 2nd round KO


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Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Daniil Donchenko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, UFC Noche Event

Game Overview

This Welterweight prelims bout at UFC Noche pits Rodrigo Sezinando (8-1) against Daniil Donchenko (11-2), both rising prospects with strong finishes. Donchenko is the betting favorite at -218 with more UFC experience, while Sezinando offers value at +180.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Donchenko has been in 13 professional fights (11-2), showing solid form and finishing ability; Sezinando has fewer bouts (9 with 8-1) but also impressive recent form with a strong grappling base.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups, making this fight unpredictable and reliant on stylistic analysis.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, both entering fight week healthy and prepared.
  • Fight occurs at a major UFC event in Las Vegas, favoring Donchenko who has previously fought on big cards; Sezinando may have slight jetlag or travel fatigue being Brazilian.
  • High stakes as this is the 'Ultimate Fighter' Season 33 Welterweight final, both fighters highly motivated to secure UFC contract and recognition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Daniil Donchenko: -218, Rodrigo Sezinando: +180 Daniil Donchenko ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Donchenko -1.5 rounds: +120, Sezinando +1.5 rounds: -140 Donchenko -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -166, Under 1.5 rounds: +130 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Daniil Donchenko -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pick Daniil Donchenko on the moneyline due to UFC experience and finishing ability; expect the fight to go under 1.5 rounds given both fighters' high finishing rates and early aggression.

Predicted Score: Donchenko wins by TKO in round 1


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Mochamed Machaev vs. Wanderley Junior Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mochamed Machaev vs Wanderley Junior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OKTAGON MMA Cage

Game Overview

Mochamed Machaev and Wanderley Junior face off in a featherweight main card bout at OKTAGON MMA. Machaev, a younger, technically versatile grappler from Austria with a strong recent form, meets the experienced Brazilian striker Wanderley Junior, known for his knockout power and aggressive stand-up game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Machaev is currently 15-2 with 5 KOs, 2 submissions, and 6 decision wins; Junior stands at 18-10 with 6 KOs and 6 submissions. Machaev's recent wins show improving grappling dominance, whereas Wanderley Junior relies heavily on striking power but has shown vulnerabilities in grappling exchanges.
  • No previous fight between these two fighters recorded. Thus, no direct matchup data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • Fight takes place under OKTAGON MMA promotion, with no travel or major climate issues affecting either fighter; Machaev fights in a familiar European environment.
  • Machaev, ranked #2 featherweight in OKTAGON, has strong motivation to secure a title shot or improve ranking. Junior, a seasoned veteran, likely motivated to assert dominance and reclaim top status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Machaev +130, Junior -150 Mochamed Machaev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Machaev +1.5 (-180), Junior -1.5 (+150) Mochamed Machaev +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mochamed Machaev to win on moneyline by decision

Predicted Score: Machaev wins by decision


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Emir-Can Al vs. Lukáš Eliáš Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Emir-Can Al vs Lukáš Eliáš – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Oktagon 75 event venue (unspecified)

Game Overview

This welterweight main card fight at Oktagon 75 features Emir-Can Al (-175 favorite) facing underdog Lukáš Eliáš (+130) with the fight set to start September 13, 2025, at 16:00 UTC.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Emir-Can Al has shown consistent winning form with superior recent performance metrics and is favored by bookmakers, while Eliáš has underdog status but possesses credible striking capabilities.
  • No direct previous head-to-head matchups between Emir-Can Al and Lukáš Eliáš; thus, no historical fight data to gauge their matchup dynamics directly.
  • No recent injury reports or fitness concerns for either fighter, indicating both athletes are likely entering the fight at full health.
  • Fight at a neutral Oktagon event with no clear home advantage; no reported personal issues or distractions affecting either fighter's focus or motivation.
  • Both competitors motivated to establish dominance in the welterweight division; Emir-Can Al looking to maintain top ranking status, Lukáš Eliáš aiming to secure an upset and rise in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -175, away: +130 Emir-Can Al ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread emir_can_al_-1.5: -115, lukas_elias_+1.5: -105 Emir-Can Al -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: +150, under_2.5_rounds: -180 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Emir-Can Al given superior form and bookmaker favoritism; spread prediction is Emir-Can Al to win by at least 1 round; over/under 2.5 rounds under expected due to both fighters' high finishing rates suggesting a likely finish before the third round.

Predicted Score: Emir-Can Al wins by TKO/KO in round 2


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Arian Sadiković vs. Dawid Jarowienko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Arian Sadiković vs Dawid Jarowienko – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: OKTAGON MMA event (location Germany)

Game Overview

A welterweight bout between Arian Sadiković and Dawid Jarowienko at OKTAGON 74, featuring two undefeated fighters with similar physical dimensions and a striking-based background.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sadikovic holds a record of 1-0 with a KO/TKO victory; Jarowienko is 2-0 with both wins by KO/TKO. Neither has been taken the distance. Sadikovic has a strong kickboxing background (38-5), indicating superior striking experience.
  • No previous fights between the fighters; this is their first meeting making direct H2H data unavailable.
  • No reported injuries or recent physical issues for either fighter prior to the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Germany, which is neutral for both fighters (Sadiković has Bosnian/German ties, Jarowienko is Polish), suggesting minimal home crowd advantage.
  • Both fighters are undefeated and motivated to build early hype. Sadiković’s recent activity and higher level striking pedigree might give him a slight edge in mental preparation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +135 Arian Sadiković ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread -115 Sadiković by -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under -110 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 43%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arian Sadiković to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Sadiković wins by TKO in round 2


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