Match Analysis: Andrzej Grzebyk vs Muslim Tulshaev – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Hala Podpromie, Rzeszów, Poland
Game Overview
Catchweight main card fight in KSW 110 featuring Polish veteran Andrzej Grzebyk (22-7) versus German-based rising contender Muslim Tulshaev (13-3), both with significant KO power and finishing ability.
Key Factors to Consider
- Grzebyk holds a much larger sample size with 29 KSW fights, showing 67% of his wins via KO/TKO and none by submission, demonstrating solid striking and durability. Tulshaev, though with fewer fights, exhibits a lower KO rate and more decisions, indicating a more technical or conservative style. Both fighters last weighed in near 170 lbs, showing no weight disadvantage.
- No direct previous H2H matches recorded between Grzebyk and Tulshaev, making this a fresh tactical matchup. Statistical profiles suggest Grzebyk is more prone to aggressive striking finishes while Tulshaev may rely more on technique and endurance.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout; both come in healthy and prepared.
- Grzebyk benefits from home advantage fighting in Poland’s Rzeszów; crowd support and familiar environment may boost performance. Tulshaev is the away fighter and may face slight adversity from travel and crowd.
- Grzebyk is defending home soil and veteran stature, motivated to solidify top ranking status. Tulshaev is a surging contender looking to break into top ranks with an upset; high motivation but underdog pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | +130 (Grzebyk), -155 (Tulshaev), +2500 (Draw) | Andrzej Grzebyk | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | -1.5 (+200) Grzebyk, +1.5 (-250) Tulshaev | Andrzej Grzebyk -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline win by Andrzej Grzebyk
Predicted Score: Grzebyk wins by decision or late TKO in round 3 or later