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Alexander Romanov vs. Timothy Johnson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alexander Romanov vs Timothy Johnson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-01
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Orlando, Florida, United States

Game Overview

Alexander Romanov faces Timothy Johnson in a heavyweight MMA bout at the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Both fighters have extensive experience, with Romanov holding a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background and Johnson known for his aggressive fighting style.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Romanov has a strong BJJ background and a solid KO/TKO record, which could be crucial against Johnson's more traditional striking style.
  • No historical head-to-head data available for these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
  • Both fighters will be competing in Orlando, Florida, which could favor Romanov if crowd support plays a role.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, given the tournament setting and potential for significant career advancement.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -500 (Romanov), 375 (Johnson) Romanov ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alexander Romanov 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexander Romanov at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexander Romanov is favored to win due to his well-rounded skillset and higher finish rate.

Predicted Score: Romanov wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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Alexander Romanov vs. Timothy Johnson Prediction

Match Analysis: Alexander Romanov vs Timothy Johnson – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-01 Time: 9:00 PM UTC Location: Orlando, Florida, United States Game Overview Alexander Romanov faces Timothy Johnson in a heavyweight MMA bout at the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Both fighters have extensive experience, with Romanov holding a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background and Johnson known […]

Alexander Romanov May 1, 2025 MMA/Boxing Timothy Johnson

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Alex Polizzi vs. Rafael Alves Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alex Polizzi vs Rafael Alves – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-01
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This matchup features Alex Polizzi facing Rafael Xavier in a light heavyweight alternate bout during the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Polizzi holds a record of 11-4, while Xavier has a record of 13-8.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alex Polizzi has a relatively lesser experience compared to Rafael Xavier but has maintained a consistent performance in his recent fights. Xavier's additional experience might give him an edge.
  • There is no available head-to-head data for these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
  • The mindset and preparation leading up to this high-stakes tournament are crucial for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, aiming for a spot in the main tournament bracket.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alex Polizzi: -230, Rafael Xavier: 160 Alex Polizzi Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alex Polizzi -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alex Polizzi at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alex Polizzi is favored due to his recent form and favorable odds. However, Rafael Xavier's experience could pose a challenge.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights.


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Abraham Bably vs. Rodrigo Nascimento Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Abraham Bably vs Rodrigo Nascimento – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 1, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Orlando, Florida, United States

Game Overview

Heavyweight matchup in the PFL 2025 World Tournament. Nascimento (11-3-0) enters with a significant experience edge over relative newcomer Bably (5-1-0), though current odds favor Nascimento (-135). The Brazilian's superior reach (6'2" vs 5'10") and proven finishing ability (5 KOs, 2 subs) contrast with Bably's less documented style.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nascimento shows consistent performance across decisions (3) and finishes (7). Bably's limited record lacks signature wins against ranked opponents.
  • No prior meeting. Nascimento's experience against UFC-caliber opposition contrasts with Bably's regional-level resume.
  • No reported injuries pre-fight.
  • Nascimento's Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu base could dominate if fight goes to ground. Bably's compact frame may aid defensive grappling but limits strike defense.
  • Both fighters need win to advance in PFL's tournament format with $1 million prize.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bably -105, Nascimento -135 Nascimento ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds (-150) / Under 1.5 rounds (+120) Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rodrigo Nascimento 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rodrigo Nascimento at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nascimento by decision or late TKO. His 264lb frame and cardio edge should wear down Bably in later rounds.

Predicted Score: Nascimento via TKO (Round 3)


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Simeon Powell vs. Karl Albrektsson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Simeon Powell vs Karl Albrektsson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Orlando, Florida

Game Overview

Simeon Powell and Karl Albrektsson are set to clash in an exciting MMA bout as part of the PFL Challenger Series. Powell, standing at 6'5'' and weighing 206 lbs, faces Karl Albrektsson, who is 6'2'' and 205 lbs. The fight promises to be intense given the competitive profiles of both fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have strong MMA backgrounds. Simeon Powell has a record of 10-1-0, while Karl Albrektsson stands at 14-5-0. Powell's physical stature might give him an advantage in reach.
  • No past head-to-head results available.
  • No notable recent injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The venue in Orlando could host a supportive crowd, but its impact on either fighter is uncertain.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win and advance in the PFL tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Karl Albrektsson: +160, Simeon Powell: -190 Simeon Powell ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Simeon Powell -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Simeon Powell at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Simeon Powell is favored due to his recent performance and physical advantages.

Predicted Score: Decision: Simeon Powell wins via Unanimous Decision


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Valentin Moldavsky vs. Sergey Bilostenniy Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Valentin Moldavsky vs Sergey Bilostenniy – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 2, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Valentin Moldavsky and Sergey Bilostenniy will face off in a highly anticipated MMA match as part of the PFL Challenger Series. Moldavsky, known for his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu skills, is favored with a moneyline of -135, while Bilostenniy is a close underdog at 105. Both fighters have similar win-loss records, with Moldavsky at 13-4-0 and Bilostenniy at 13-3-0. The fight lacks recent head-to-head statistics, making past performances and fighter profiles crucial for prediction.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have strong MMA backgrounds. Valentin Moldavsky, with his BJJ expertise, might focus on ground fighting, while Sergey Bilostenniy could rely on his size and reach.
  • No recent head-to-head data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Motivation will be high for both fighters as they look for a victory in the PFL series.
  • Both fighters are motivated to secure a win and advance in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Valentin Moldavsky: -135, Sergey Bilostenniy: +105 Valentin Moldavsky ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Valentin Moldavsky -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Valentin Moldavsky at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Valentin Moldavsky is likely to win based on his favored odds and BJJ skills, which could provide an edge in a close fight.

Predicted Score: N/A (MMA does not use a traditional score)


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Antonio Carlos Junior vs. Karl Moore Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Antonio Carlos Junior vs Karl Moore – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not Specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Antonio Carlos Junior and Karl Moore is set to be a competitive matchup in the light heavyweight division. Both fighters have shown promising performances in their respective careers, with Antonio Carlos Junior's Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background and Karl Moore's recent form in Bellator events.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Antonio Carlos Junior has been performing well in the PFL, which could give him an edge in experience and ring presence. Karl Moore's recent performances include a loss to Corey Anderson but wins over Alex Polizzi and Karl Albrektsson.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup between these two fighters, which makes it difficult to predict based solely on past encounters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
  • Both fighters are seeking a strong start in their respective competition paths; external factors like venue and crowd support are minimal due to the nature of MMA events.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win in this matchup. Antonio Carlos Junior is looking to continue his success in the PFL, while Karl Moore seeks to bounce back from his most recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Antonio Carlos Junior: 105, Karl Moore: -135 Karl Moore Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Karl Moore -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent performances and stylistic matchups, Antonio Carlos Junior might have an advantage due to his grappling skills. However, Karl Moore's experience and physical attributes could make this a closely contested bout.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA, as it typically does not end in numerical scores.


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Oleg Popov vs. Linton Vassell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Oleg Popov vs Linton Vassell – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-01
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Professional Fighters League (Location unspecified in available data)

Game Overview

Heavyweight tournament matchup where Oleg Popov holds a prior unanimous decision victory over Linton Vassell in August 2024. Recent developments show Vassell withdrew and was replaced by Karl Williams according to an April 2025 announcement, but the listed odds still reflect a Popov vs. Vassell matchup, suggesting potential data discrepancies or late reinstatement.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Popov demonstrates consistency with a recent decision win against Vassell. Historical data shows Popov's grappling control and cardio advantage in their first meeting.
  • Popov leads 1-0 (Unanimous Decision – PFL 7, August 2024).
  • Vassell's withdrawal/replacement status creates uncertainty; no injury details available for Popov.
  • Conflicting data between withdrawal reports (April 28) and May 1 scheduled fight might indicate late changes or reporting errors.
  • Popov likely seeks tournament advancement; Vassell's status remains unclear. If substitution occurred, Karl Williams becomes X-factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Popov -400 / Vassell +250 Popov win ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds -150 / Under 1.5 +120 (Hypothetical based on previous 3-round decision) Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oleg Popov 163%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oleg Popov at 163% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 65% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Results conflicting – if fight occurs as listed: Popov by decision (70% confidence). If substitute Williams enters: Limited data for prediction.

Predicted Score: If fight occurs: Popov by Unanimous Decision (29-28 across all cards)


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Rob Wilkinson vs. Phil Davis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rob Wilkinson vs Phil Davis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 1, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Rob Wilkinson and Phil Davis is part of the PFL 2025 World Tournament. It features a competitive bout between two formidable fighters in the light heavyweight division. Phil Davis, known for his wrestling background and undefeated against finishes in his career, faces off against Rob Wilkinson, the 2022 PFL Light Heavyweight Champion known for his explosive power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rob Wilkinson has had a strong recent record with 19 wins, though he suffered a loss in the 2024 PFL Playoffs. Phil Davis brings a storied career with 24 wins and an exceptional wrestling background.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head encounter between Phil Davis and Rob Wilkinson.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Wilkinson's aggression and power might be countered by Davis's wrestling skills. Davis's two-year absence from competition could affect his performance.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated: Wilkinson seeks to rebound from his recent loss, while Davis aims for one final title run.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Phil Davis: 120, Rob Wilkinson: -150 Rob Wilkinson Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rob Wilkinson 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rob Wilkinson at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rob Wilkinson is favored due to his recent form and power, but Phil Davis's experience and skills present a strong challenge.

Predicted Score: Rob Wilkinson by decision


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Islam Makhachev vs. Max Holloway Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Islam Makhachev vs Max Holloway – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-01
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified in available data

Game Overview

Hypothetical lightweight bout between Islam Makhachev (UFC's No. 1 pound-for-pound) and Max Holloway (BMF titleholder moving up from featherweight). Makhachev defends elite grappling pedigree; Holloway brings volume striking and cardio. No official bout scheduled per verified sources – Holloway is instead preparing for Dustin Poirier trilogy at UFC 318 on July 19.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Makhachev: Dominant 5th-round title defense against Poirier in June 2024. Holloway: Lost featherweight title shot to Topuria in October 2024 but secured BMF belt via KO over Gaethje at UFC 300.
  • No direct history. Holloway 0-2 against Poirier; Makhachev beat Oliveira and Poirier in title fights.
  • No current injury reports. Holloway's recent lightweight move reduces weight-cut strain.
  • Makhachev's Dagestani grappling style poses matchup nightmare for strikers. Holloway's cardio advantage potentially neutralized by Makhachev's control time.
  • Makhachev targets GOAT status with title defenses. Holloway seeks legacy-defining win in new weight class.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Makhachev -600, Holloway +425 Makhachev moneyline ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Islam Makhachev 346%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Islam Makhachev at 346% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 81.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Makhachev by submission (4th round) via superior grappling and positional control. Holloway's striking volume insufficient against elite takedown defense.

Predicted Score: Makhachev by submission (Round 4)


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Islam Makhachev vs. Arman Tsarukyan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Islam Makhachev vs Arman Tsarukyan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-28
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Octagon (exact location unspecified)

Game Overview

Highly anticipated lightweight title rematch between reigning champion Islam Makhachev (#1 ranked) and surging contender Arman Tsarukyan (#4 ranked). Their first meeting in 2019 saw Makhachev win via unanimous decision (29-28 across all cards) in a grappling-heavy battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Makhachev (27-1) has dominated the division with elite grappling (60% takedown accuracy) and fight IQ. Tsarukyan (22-3) shows improved striking (4.62 SLpM) and defensive wrestling (78% takedown defense) since their first fight.
  • Makhachev 1-0 (2019 decision). First fight metrics: Makhachev landed 2/5 takedowns, Tsarukyan 0/3. Significant strikes were 45-34 favoring Makhachev.
  • No reported injuries
  • Championship 5-round format favors Makhachev's pacing. Tsarukyan faces pressure in first UFC title fight.
  • Makhachev defends belt & legacy. Tsarukyan seeks revenge and first title.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Makhachev -350 / Tsarukyan +285 Makhachev by finish ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Projected 4.5 rounds (estimated -150/+120) Over 3.5 rounds (-110 estimated) ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Islam Makhachev 183%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Islam Makhachev at 183% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 64.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Makhachev retains via late submission (Rd 4). Tsarukyan's improved striking keeps it competitive early, but champion's grappling & championship experience prove decisive.

Predicted Score: Makhachev def. Tsarukyan via Submission (Arm Triangle) at 3:15 Rd4


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