Match Analysis: Aleksandar Rakic vs Azamat Murzakanov – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 6:15 PM UTC
- Location: UFC 321, Abu Dhabi
Game Overview
Light heavyweight bout featuring Aleksandar Rakic and Azamat Murzakanov. Both fighters are closely matched on paper with nearly even odds, but Murzakanov has recent momentum and finishing power advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Murzakanov is undefeated in UFC with 6 straight wins, 5 by KO/TKO. Rakic has suffered 2 KO/TKO losses in his last 3 fights.
- No previous head-to-head matchups exist between Rakic and Murzakanov.
- No significant injury reports disclosed for either fighter leading up to this bout.
- Fight location in Abu Dhabi is neutral ground. Murzakanov has shown strong fight finishes early in bouts, which can influence pace and strategy.
- Murzakanov is motivated to maintain his perfect UFC record and showcase his finishing ability, while Rakic seeks redemption after recent KO losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Aleksandar Rakic: -108, Azamat Murzakanov: -112 | Azamat Murzakanov | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Aleksandar Rakic +3.5: -170, Azamat Murzakanov -3.5: 125 | Azamat Murzakanov -3.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -115 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Azamat Murzakanov -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Azamat Murzakanov to win by KO/TKO
Predicted Score: Azamat Murzakanov wins by 2nd round TKO