Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Game Overview
FC Cincinnati host Orlando City SC in an MLS regular season match. Cincinnati has a strong home record and superior points tally, while Orlando City has shown resilience and ranks 9th in MLS defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Cincinnati sits 12th in the league with 58 points, exhibiting an average of 1.87 points per game, and a goal difference of +8. Orlando City holds 51 points, ranked 9th defensively with a save percentage of 66.9%. Cincinnatiβs defense concedes 1.26 goals per game with 9 clean sheets, slightly outperforming Orlandoβs defensive record.
- Recent H2H data indicates competitive matches between the two clubs, with neither team dominating significantly. Both have similar strengths and weaknesses reflected in even results.
- No major injuries reported for key players in either squad. Both starting goalies (Evan Louro for Cincinnati, Pedro Gallese for Orlando) expected to play.
- Match at home favors Cincinnati. Weather or pitch conditions not expected to notably affect gameplay.
- Cincinnati motivated to secure points to improve playoff positioning at home; Orlando fighting to maintain their top 10 standing and defensive solidity.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +129, away: +181, draw: +275 | FC Cincinnati | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | FC Cincinnati -0.5: +123, Orlando City +50: -164 | FC Cincinnati -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -175, Under 2.5: +132 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Cincinnati 26% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 39% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline prediction is for FC Cincinnati to win. Spread prediction favors FC Cincinnati to cover -0.5. For total goals, the expectation is under 2.5 goals scored.
Predicted Score: 2-1