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Marcos Degli vs. Matheus Severino Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marcos Degli vs Matheus Severino – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Legacy Fighting Alliance 212 (Venue not specified)

Game Overview

Marcos Degli faces Matheus Severino in an LFA 212 lightweight bout, with Degli strongly favored by bookmakers. The fight features two rising talents in regional MMA, both skilled but with Degli holding a clear edge in recent performance and betting support.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marcos Degli has shown strong recent form with dominant victories, while Matheus Severino has competitive but less consistent results.
  • No previous direct matchups between the two fighters, limiting comparative insights.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Standard conditions with no reported external disruptions; the bout is on a neutral LFA card.
  • Both fighters are motivated to impress for further career advancement, but Degli has additional motivation to validate his heavy favorite status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Degli -450, Severino +350 Marcos Degli ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -115, Under 1.5 rounds -115 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marcos Degli -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcos Degli to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Marcos Degli wins by TKO in round 1


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Marcos Degli vs. Matheus Severino Prediction

Match Analysis: Marcos Degli vs Matheus Severino – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-12 Time: 12:00 AM UTC Location: Legacy Fighting Alliance 212 (Venue not specified) Game Overview Marcos Degli faces Matheus Severino in an LFA 212 lightweight bout, with Degli strongly favored by bookmakers. The fight features two rising talents in regional MMA, both skilled […]

July 12, 2025 Marcos Degli Matheus Severino MMA/Boxing

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Claudio Ribeiro vs. Diego Dias Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Claudio Ribeiro vs Diego Dias – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 12, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Claudio Ribeiro and Diego Dias is part of an event available on UFC Fight Pass. Claudio Ribeiro, a UFC veteran, is stepping in as a replacement for Christian Frohlich to face Diego Dias in the co-main event.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Diego Dias is favored, which could indicate a strong recent form or a perceived advantage in skillset. Claudio Ribeiro, being a UFC veteran, might have an edge in experience but could be at a disadvantage in terms of current form.
  • There is no reported head-to-head matchup between the two, making it difficult to assess past performances against each other.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The fight's global availability on UFC Fight Pass might add pressure, but both fighters should be accustomed to high-profile events.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Claudio Ribeiro looking to prove himself as a capable replacement and Diego Dias aiming to secure a win against a UFC veteran.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Claudio Ribeiro +170, Diego Dias -210 Diego Dias ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Diego Dias -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Diego Dias at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Diego Dias is favored, indicating a higher probability of winning. However, Claudio Ribeiro's experience could make him a live underdog.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights


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Marina Monteiro vs. Nawira Ferreira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marina Monteiro vs Nawira Ferreira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: LFA 212 Event Venue

Game Overview

This Strawweight 3-round MMA bout features Marina Monteiro vs Nawira Ferreira at LFA 212. Monteiro holds a 4-2 record with balanced finishing ability and recent strong form, while Ferreira is undefeated 4-0, all wins by KO/TKO, indicating strong striking power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Monteiro has a 4-2 record with a mix of KOs, submissions, and decisions, showing versatility. Ferreira is 4-0 with 100% KO/TKO wins, demonstrating high finishing ability but less experience.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups recorded between Monteiro and Ferreira.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight is held in Brazil where both fighters are from, eliminating travel disadvantages. The event is part of a major LFA card, providing high motivation.
  • Ferreira looks to maintain undefeated status and build on knockout streak; Monteiro seeks to rebound from prior losses and prove versatility and durability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marina Monteiro: -450, Nawira Ferreira: 350 Marina Monteiro ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Marina Monteiro -1.5 rounds: -200, Nawira Ferreira +1.5 rounds: 180 Marina Monteiro -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -165, Under 2.5 rounds: 135 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marina Monteiro -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline prediction favors Marina Monteiro due to experience and recent form overcoming Ferreira's undefeated KO streak. Spread prediction favors Monteiro to win by a margin (decision or finish) grounded in her versatility. Over/Under set at 2.5 rounds likely leans Under as Monteiro's defensive skill may prolong the fight.

Predicted Score: Monteiro wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Herbeth Sousa vs. Michel Lima Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Herbeth Sousa vs Michel Lima – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: LFA 212

Game Overview

Herbeth Sousa enters as the strong favorite against Michel Lima in this Bantamweight matchup at LFA 212. The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds with both fighters making the 135 lbs weight limit.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sousa has demonstrated consistent recent form and is favored by bookmakers with a strong 69% implied win probability. Lima is seen as an underdog but has the potential for an upset.
  • No direct H2H data available, but betting lines strongly favor Sousa, indicating superior perceived skill or record.
  • No current injury reports affecting either fighter, suggesting both are at full health for this contest.
  • No notable external influences such as venue bias or travel fatigue reported; the fight is in a neutral environment.
  • Sousa likely motivated to maintain dominance as favorite; Lima motivated as underdog to prove upset potential.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sousa -280, Lima +200 Sousa ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Sousa -1.5 rounds -150, Lima +1.5 rounds +130 Sousa -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Herbeth Sousa to win by decision

Predicted Score: Sousa wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Daniel Araujo vs. Thomas Bryan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Daniel Araujo vs Thomas Bryan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Brasília, DF, Brazil

Game Overview

Daniel Araujo vs Thomas Bryan is a mixed martial arts bout featured at LFA 212. Araujo is undefeated with a 7-0 record and notable KO/TKO power, while Bryan has a 7-3 record. The fight is expected to showcase Araujo's finishing ability and Bryan's resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Daniel Araujo has been dominant recently with 7 straight wins including multiple first-round stoppages, indicating high finishing capability. Thomas Bryan, with a record of 7-3, has shown competitiveness but fewer finishes against top competition.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups exist between Daniel Araujo and Thomas Bryan.
  • No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • The fight takes place in Brasília, Brazil, which may favor Araujo slightly due to regional familiarity and crowd support.
  • Araujo's undefeated status and rising profile provide strong motivation to maintain dominance. Bryan seeks to upset and improve his standing, but the motivation gap favors Araujo.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -650, away: 425 Daniel Araujo ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread home_spread: -1.5 @ -120, away_spread: +1.5 @ +100 Daniel Araujo -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over_2.5: +150, under_2.5: -180 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Daniel Araujo -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Daniel Araujo to win by decision or stoppage, controlling the pace and utilizing striking power.

Predicted Score: Daniel Araujo wins by unanimous decision or stoppage before round 3


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Joao Pedro Moreira vs. Leonardo Cerboni Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joao Pedro Moreira vs Leonardo Cerboni – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Legacy Fighting Alliance

Game Overview

Joao Pedro Moreira faces Leonardo Cerboni in a bantamweight MMA bout. Moreira holds a strong record of 7-1 with a well-rounded skill set and recent momentum, while Cerboni stands at 6-1 with solid striking and grappling but less activity in recent months.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moreira is coming off multiple recent wins including a TKO in late 2024 and unanimous decision victories, showing consistent form. Cerboni’s last fight was a TKO win in November 2024 after a prior split decision loss in 2023.
  • This appears to be their first professional matchup, with no direct H2H history available.
  • No reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter at this time.
  • The fight is held at a neutral venue within Legacy Fighting Alliance, with no significant home advantage or external distractions noted.
  • Moreira seems highly motivated to maintain his upward trajectory in a competitive division, while Cerboni aims to rebound strongly from his 2023 loss and prove his consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joao Pedro Moreira: -350, Leonardo Cerboni: 275 Joao Pedro Moreira ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Moreira -1.5: -115, Cerboni +1.5: -105 Moreira -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -110, Under 1.5 rounds: -120 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joao Pedro Moreira -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joao Pedro Moreira to win by decision

Predicted Score: Joao Pedro Moreira wins by unanimous decision in 3 rounds


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Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: TBD

Game Overview

The rumored lightweight UFC bout between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett has generated considerable buzz, but recent reports clarify the fight is not scheduled for UFC 319 as initially speculated. Both fighters are top contenders with contrasting styles: Gaethje is a seasoned veteran known for his striking power and pressure, while Pimblett is an undefeated rising star with strong grappling and striking skills. Despite talk of a matchup, Pimblett has publicly denied any fight scheduled with Gaethje in August, indicating he requires more preparation time to make weight. Gaethje, meanwhile, has expressed willingness to fight only champions or for titles, further clouding the bout's likelihood for the near future.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gaethje has consistently delivered high-action performances against elite competition, known for his resilience and knockout power. Pimblett is undefeated in the UFC since 2021, coming off a notable win over former Bellator Champion Michael Chandler and showing dynamic finishing ability.
  • No prior fights between Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett exist, as the matchup remains speculative and unconfirmed.
  • No current injury reports or withdrawals have been confirmed for either fighter that would impact this potential matchup.
  • Pimblett has rejected recent rumors about an August fight with Gaethje, emphasizing the need for a longer training camp. Gaethje's camp suggests he prefers fights with championship stakes, adding uncertainty to the bout's scheduling.
  • Gaethje appears motivated to fight top-tier opponents or champions, reflecting his established career goals. Pimblett seeks continued growth and remains undefeated, likely preparing for a strategically timed next fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Justin Gaethje: 160, Paddy Pimblett: -185 Paddy Pimblett ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Justin Gaethje: +1.5, Paddy Pimblett: -1.5 Paddy Pimblett -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -110, Under 1.5 rounds: -110 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paddy Pimblett -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Paddy Pimblett at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the absence of an officially scheduled fight and Pimblett's denial of an August bout, the prediction is speculative. If the fight were to happen, Pimblett’s current momentum and undefeated UFC record against Gaethje’s veteran experience could lead to a closely contested bout with a slight edge to Pimblett due to activity and youth.

Predicted Score: Pimblett wins by decision or late finish in round 2 or 3


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Mahio Campanella vs. Matiss Zaharovs Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mahio Campanella vs Matiss Zaharovs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 5, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: ING Arena, Brussels, Belgium

Game Overview

Mahio Campanella and Matiss Zaharovs will face off in the bantamweight division at PFL Europe 2. This event marks an important step in the 2025 PFL Europe Tournament. Campanella, fighting out of France, has a record of 7-1-0, while Zaharovs is less well-documented in available sources.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mahio Campanella has a strong record with 7 wins and 1 loss, indicating a potentially favorable performance. His winning methods include decisions, submissions, and knockouts.
  • There is no available head-to-head data between Mahio Campanella and Matiss Zaharovs.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The event is held in Brussels, which may not provide a significant home advantage for either fighter.
  • Both fighters are motivated to advance in the tournament, but Campanella's recent activity suggests a potential edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mahio Campanella: -150, Matiss Zaharovs: 110 Mahio Campanella ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mahio Campanella -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Mahio Campanella is favored to win due to his strong MMA record and recent fighting experience.

Predicted Score: Not Available


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Gaetano Pirrello vs. Salvatore Liga Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gaetano Pirrello vs Salvatore Liga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: PFL Europe

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Gaetano Pirrello and Salvatore Liga at PFL Europe on July 5, 2025, features two fighters with contrasting career trajectories. Gaetano Pirrello, a seasoned competitor with a record of 16-7-1, faces the unbeaten Salvatore Liga, who holds a perfect 5-0-0 record. This fight presents an experienced veteran against a rising talent, making it a compelling matchup in the mixed martial arts scene.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gaetano Pirrello has extensive MMA experience with 24 total bouts and a mixed record, indicating resilience but some inconsistency. Salvatore Liga, though less experienced with just 5 fights, remains undefeated, suggesting an upward trajectory and strong recent form.
  • This bout marks the first direct encounter between Gaetano Pirrello and Salvatore Liga, so no head-to-head history is available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match, allowing both to compete at full capacity.
  • Both fighters are competing in PFL Europe and fighting out of Belgium, which neutralizes home advantage factors. The timing and conditions are standard for a major MMA event.
  • Pirrello may be motivated to assert his veteran status and overcome a rising fighter, while Liga seeks to maintain his undefeated streak and establish himself as a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gaetano Pirrello: -155, Salvatore Liga: 125 Salvatore Liga ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Gaetano Pirrello: -1.5, Salvatore Liga: +1.5 Salvatore Liga +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gaetano Pirrello 37%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gaetano Pirrello at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering Liga's undefeated record and upward momentum against Pirrello's experience but mixed outcomes, the prediction favors Salvatore Liga to win, although the fight is expected to be competitive.

Predicted Score: Salvatore Liga wins by decision or late stoppage


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Ibragim Ibragimov vs. Mathys Duragrin Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ibragim Ibragimov vs Mathys Duragrin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: ING Arena, Brussels, Belgium

Game Overview

The featherweight bout between Ibragim Ibragimov and Mathys Duragrin at PFL Europe in Brussels features two undefeated fighters — Ibragimov (9-0) from the UK and Duragrin (5-0) from France. Ibragimov, known as 'The Executioner,' is a 21-year-old Dagestani-born fighter with a strong record of technical knockouts and decisions, currently training with the Manchester Top Team. Duragrin is a promising up-and-comer with a perfect record but fewer professional fights. This contest is highly anticipated as both aim to maintain undefeated status and advance in the tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ibragimov has shown consistent performance with three consecutive wins in the PFL and a strong amateur background. Duragrin, although less experienced professionally, remains undefeated and brings fresh energy as a rising talent in Europe.
  • This is the first meeting between Ibragimov and Duragrin, so no direct head-to-head data is available.
  • No reported injuries or medical issues affecting either fighter ahead of the match.
  • The fight was originally scheduled for Paris but was rescheduled to Brussels. Ibragimov expressed some frustration over the postponement but remains motivated. The venue change may slightly influence crowd dynamics, favoring local or regional support for Duragrin (France) or Ibragimov (UK).
  • Ibragimov is motivated to continue his unbeaten streak and prove himself within the PFL Europe circuit, seeing this as a key career advancement. Duragrin seeks to capitalize on his undefeated status and gain prominence by defeating a more established opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ibragim Ibragimov: -700, Mathys Duragrin: 400 Ibragim Ibragimov ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Ibragim Ibragimov: -1.5, Mathys Duragrin: +1.5 Ibragimov by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under over_1.5_rounds: -120, under_1.5_rounds: 100 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ibragim Ibragimov -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ibragim Ibragimov at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ibragim Ibragimov is favored to win given his greater experience, technical skills, and recent momentum in the PFL, with a high likelihood of winning by decision or stoppage.

Predicted Score: Ibragimov wins by unanimous decision or TKO in round 2 or 3


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