Match Analysis: Jackson McVey vs Zachary Reese – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 9:10 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Fight Night, Las Vegas, NV
Game Overview
Middleweight bout featuring Zachary Reese stepping in on short notice against UFC debutant Jackson McVey.
Key Factors to Consider
- Zachary Reese holds a 9-2 (1 NC) UFC-level record with fast finishes and recent KO power; Jackson McVey is making his UFC debut after a six-fight win streak mostly over regional competition but lost his UFC debut via first-round submission.
- No prior head-to-head matchup between Reese and McVey.
- No reported injuries for either fighter; however, Reese stepped in on short notice which may impact conditioning slightly.
- Reese is favored heavily by sportsbooks and bettors; fight takes place at a large UFC event with high fighter motivation.
- Reese looks to rebound from a recent no contest and continue his fast finishing streak to re-establish dominance, while McVey aims to gain valuable UFC experience and prove himself against elite competition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jackson McVey: +250, Zachary Reese: -300 | Zachary Reese | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Zachary Reese -1.5 rounds: -250, Jackson McVey +1.5 rounds: +200 | Zachary Reese -1.5 rounds | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: +177, Under 1.5 rounds: -205 | Under 1.5 rounds | β β β β β 80% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Zachary Reese -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Zachary Reese to win by moneyline with fight going under 1.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Fight ends early with Zachary Reese securing a finish within 1.5 rounds