Match Analysis: Paris FC vs Nantes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-24
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Jean Bouin, Issy-les-Moulineaux, France
Game Overview
Paris FC hosts Nantes in a mid-lower table Ligue 1 clash. Paris FC shows better home form with recent dominance and more points per match while Nantes struggles away with no wins in last four away matches.
Key Factors to Consider
- Paris FC has won 3 of last 5 matches (home: 2W, 0D, 1L) with a goal difference +2 at home, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Nantes has won 2 of last 5 overall but is winless in last 4 away matches, scoring low and conceding frequently.
- In the last 5 meetings, Paris FC leads with 3 wins, Nantes 1, and 1 draw. Matches average 1.6 goals per game from Paris FC and 1.4 from Nantes. Paris FC holds a 50% ATS win rate; Nantes holds 60%.
- No major injury news reported for key starters on either side affecting lineup strength significantly.
- Match at home ground Stade Jean Bouin favors Paris FC, with high home win rate (67% in last 3 home games). Nantes travel challenges and low away scoring reduce their odds.
- Paris FC ranked higher (12th vs 17th) and playing at home is motivated to cement mid-table safety; Nantes seeks to improve away form but under pressure after poor recent results.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Paris FC: -147, Nantes: 375, Draw: 285 | Paris FC | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Paris FC (-0.75): -115, Nantes (+75): -105 | Paris FC -0.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -122, Under 2.5: 102 | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Paris FC -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Paris FC win; Spread: Paris FC -0.75; Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1