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Villarreal vs. Oviedo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Oviedo - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica

Game Overview

Opening week La Liga clash between Villarreal, favorites with stronger squad and better recent form, against Oviedo, a newly promoted team with limited pre-season preparation and offensive struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has demonstrated superior quality and consistency, backed by a 65.2% win probability from advanced simulations. Oviedo has had a short pre-season and scored just three goals in four friendlies, indicating offensive shortcomings.
  • Limited recent encounters as Oviedo is newly promoted; historical advantage decisively on Villarreal side.
  • No major Villarreal injuries reported; Oviedo likely cautious as they seek offensive reinforcements before window closes.
  • Match played at Villarreal's home, Estadio de la Cerámica, enhances home advantage; Oviedo's late pre-season may impair match fitness.
  • Villarreal motivated to start season strongly with home crowd, while Oviedo aims to avoid early deficits but may adopt conservative tactics.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal -275, Oviedo +750, Draw +390 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Villarreal -1.25 at -120, Oviedo +1.25 at +100 Villarreal -1.25 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 at -115, Under 2.5 at -105 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win outright on the moneyline, cover -1.25 spread, and under 2.5 goals for total match goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0

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Villarreal vs. Oviedo Prediction

Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Oviedo – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-15 Time: 7:30 PM UTC Location: Estadio de la Cerámica Game Overview Opening week La Liga clash between Villarreal, favorites with stronger squad and better recent form, against Oviedo, a newly promoted team with limited pre-season preparation and offensive struggles. Key Factors to Consider Villarreal […]

August 15, 2025 Oviedo Soccer Villarreal

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Athletic Bilbao vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga fixture between Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona will take place at San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao. This is a crucial late-season match with Barcelona top of the table and Athletic Bilbao placed fourth, both teams looking to secure important points for their final standings. Barcelona arrives with a slightly better recent record but faces the challenge of an energetic and motivated Athletic Bilbao side playing at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has shown solid home form recently with three wins in their last five matches, including a 1-0 victory over Alaves. Barcelona's form has been mixed with two wins and two losses in their last five La Liga matches, demonstrating some inconsistency but still holding first place in the league.
  • In the current season, Athletic Bilbao and Barcelona have faced each other once before, with Barcelona maintaining a strong historical advantage in overall meetings. Home advantage could be significant for Athletic Bilbao at San Mamés, but Barcelona typically poses a formidable challenge.
  • No specific injury updates are currently available from the sources, suggesting both squads may be near full strength for this key fixture.
  • The match is the final game of the La Liga season, adding motivation for both teams. Barcelona aims to consolidate their title run, while Athletic Bilbao seeks to secure a Champions League qualification spot. The match location at San Mamés provides a passionate home crowd advantage for Athletic Bilbao.
  • Barcelona, leading the league, is motivated to seal the title with a win. Athletic Bilbao, in fourth place, is motivated to secure European qualification, making this game highly competitive and intense.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: 220, Barcelona: 110, Draw: 280 Barcelona Win ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: 25 -102, Barcelona: -0.25 -118 Barcelona -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 3 -118, Under: 3 -102 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anticipating a tightly contested match, Barcelona is slightly favored due to overall quality and league standing, but Athletic Bilbao’s home advantage and motivation make a draw or narrow win for either side plausible. Expect both teams to play cautiously with chances to break through in key moments.

Predicted Score: Athletic Bilbao 1 – 2 Barcelona


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Villarreal vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal, Spain

Game Overview

The La Liga match between Villarreal and Sevilla at Estadio de la Ceramica is the final round fixture of the 2024-2025 season. Villarreal, currently 5th in the league with 67 points, hosts Sevilla, struggling in 16th place with 41 points. Villarreal has been in strong form at home this season, while Sevilla has been inconsistent, losing half of their last six matches. Both teams tend to score in their head-to-head meetings, making this an intriguing matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has won 20 out of 39 matches this season and remains unbeaten in their last 6 home matches against Sevilla across all competitions. In contrast, Sevilla has lost 50% of their recent 6 games and is fighting relegation pressure.
  • In the last 6 encounters, Villarreal and Sevilla have drawn 3 times, with all last 6 meetings featuring goals from both sides. Villarreal has never lost to Sevilla at home in the last 6 matches.
  • No specific injury details were available from the data, but lineups remain key to monitor closer to kickoff.
  • The venue favors Villarreal significantly as they are playing at home. Sevilla's lower league standing and recent form add pressure.
  • Villarreal likely aims to secure European qualification with a win and improve on their 5th place standing, while Sevilla fights to climb out of the relegation zone, increasing the stakes for both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla: 475, Villarreal: -210, Draw: 390 Villarreal Win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Sevilla: 1.25 -120, Villarreal: -1.25 +100 Villarreal -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 3 -122, Under: 3 +102 Over 3 Goals ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal is favored to win given their home dominance, consistent recent form, and higher league standing, with an expected competitive scoreline due to Sevilla's tendency to score in head-to-head games.

Predicted Score: 3-1 Villarreal


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Girona vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona and Atlético Madrid face off in the final match of La Liga's 2024-2025 season. Atlético Madrid is positioned third in the league, while Girona ranks fifteenth. The match is expected to be competitive, with Atlético Madrid favored to win due to their superior league position and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has shown strong form throughout the season, while Girona has been inconsistent. Girona's recent wins, however, indicate they can pose a threat at home.
  • Historically, Atlético Madrid has had the upper hand in matches against Girona, though recent head-to-head data is limited.
  • No significant injury updates are available for either team, but this could impact the match if any key players are absent.
  • The match is at Girona's home ground, which might provide an advantage. However, Atlético Madrid's experience and skill level could counteract this.
  • Atlético Madrid may be motivated to secure a strong finish to the season, while Girona aims to end on a positive note.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -110, Girona: 265, Draw: 290 Atlético Madrid to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -0.5 -105, Girona: 50 -115 Atlético Madrid to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 3 -108, Under: 3 -112 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid is likely to win, given their league position and past performances against Girona.

Predicted Score: Girona 0, Atlético Madrid 2


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Getafe vs. Celta Vigo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Getafe vs Celta Vigo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe, Spain

Game Overview

Getafe host Celta Vigo in a crucial late-season La Liga match. Both teams are likely fighting for safety or a midtable position, but recent data show Celta Vigo with a more favorable projection. Predictive analytics give Celta a higher win probability, while Getafe is less likely to win at home. Expect a tight contest with potentially low scoring given the stakes and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent data and predictive models show Celta Vigo with a stronger probability of winning, despite Getafe playing at home. Getafe have struggled for consistency, while Celta have shown enough to be considered favorites by both data and oddsmakers.
  • Recent head-to-head results show a fairly balanced record between both teams, with single-goal margins and draws not uncommon in past meetings. This suggests a closely fought match is likely.
  • No major injury news is highlighted for this specific match in available data. Updates should be monitored for last-minute changes.
  • The match is played at home for Getafe, which typically provides a boost, but projections and odds still favor Celta Vigo. No unusual weather or pitch conditions are expected.
  • Both teams are fighting for La Liga survival or to avoid relegation complications late in the season, likely increasing motivation and defensive solidity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Celta Vigo: -115, Getafe: 320, Draw: 265 Celta Vigo Moderate
Spread Celta Vigo: -0.5 -115, Getafe: 50 -105 Celta Vigo to cover -0.5 Moderate
Over/under Over: 2.25 -120, Under: 2.25 100 Under 2.25 goals Moderate-Low

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Celta Vigo -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 -100%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Celta Vigo at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Celta Vigo are the statistical and odds favorite to win this match, though a draw is also within a plausible range. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair with Celta more likely to edge it according to current data and simulations.

Predicted Score: Celta Vigo 1-0 Getafe


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Alavés vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alavés vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Alavés (14th) hosts Osasuna (9th) in a La Liga match where both sides are in the lower middle section of the table. Osasuna is in better recent form, and their head-to-head record strongly favors them against Alavés. Alavés seeks to break a 10-game winless streak against Osasuna in La Liga, while Osasuna aims to maintain their dominance and secure a top-half finish.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Osasuna ranks higher (9th) and has shown better recent results compared to Alavés (14th). Osasuna likely has better squad depth and consistency this season.
  • Osasuna is unbeaten in the last 10 La Liga encounters against Alavés, indicating a clear psychological edge[4][5].
  • No major injury updates available from current sources. This field should be monitored for late updates.
  • No significant external factors reported; weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal for the time of year. Match is at home for Alavés.
  • Osasuna has more to gain with a top-half finish, while Alavés is expected to finish mid-table. Both teams are safe from relegation, but Osasuna has slightly more motivation for final standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: 215, CA Osasuna: 135, Draw: 225 CA Osasuna ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alavés: 25 -120, CA Osasuna: -0.25 100 CA Osasuna (-0.25) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CA Osasuna -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Osasuna is favored due to superior league position, head-to-head dominance, and better form. Alavés is the underdog at home, risking another loss to Osasuna.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca meet in a La Liga fixture at Estadio de Vallecas. Rayo currently sits 8th with 51 points, while Mallorca is 10th with 47 points. Rayo has shown stronger recent form at home with an unbeaten record in 5 of their last 6 home games in all competitions. In contrast, Mallorca is struggling away with only 1 win in their last 11 away matches and a recent streak of 3 consecutive away losses. Historically, Rayo has a tough record against Mallorca, having won only 2 of their last 17 La Liga meetings, and lost 14 of 24 overall encounters[3][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rayo Vallecano have a more stable recent home performance and are mid-table with a solid points tally, whereas Mallorca is on a poor away run with multiple consecutive losses. Rayo has 3 wins in their last 6 matches, Mallorca suffered 4 defeats in their last 6 La Liga games. Mallorca's away form is particularly weak, which is a critical factor given the game is at Rayo's home venue[5].
  • Historically, Mallorca has dominated the head-to-head with Rayo, winning 14 out of 24 matches. However, recent form favors Rayo at home. Rayo's only 2 wins in the last 17 La Liga meetings against Mallorca indicate a challenging matchup but slight home advantage could balance this[5].
  • No specific injury updates are available from the sources. Both teams are presumed to have their key players available for this match, as no major absences have been reported.
  • Match venue is Estadio de Vallecas, providing a home advantage to Rayo. The timing aligns with normal rest and preparation cycles, so no unusual external factors are foreseen impacting the match outcome.
  • With Rayo Vallecano seeking to consolidate their top-half standing and Mallorca fighting to improve their mid-table position, motivation levels are high for both sides. Rayo's home form and Mallorca's poor away performance might influence motivation, favoring the home team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rayo Vallecano: -185, Mallorca: 525, Draw: 310 Rayo Vallecano win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Rayo Vallecano -1: -105, Mallorca +1: -115 Rayo Vallecano -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rayo Vallecano -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rayo Vallecano is favored to win, based on home advantage, recent form, and Mallorca's poor away results. A close match is expected but Rayo's stability and motivation likely tip the scale in their favor.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Espanyol vs. Las Palmas Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Las Palmas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: RCDE Stadium, Cornella, Spain

Game Overview

Espanyol will host Las Palmas in the final matchday of the 2024-25 La Liga season at RCDE Stadium. Both teams are positioned near the relegation zone with Espanyol currently 17th with 38 points and Las Palmas 19th with 32 points, making this a crucial encounter for survival hopes. Espanyol has shown a slight edge in overall form and squad strength, holding home advantage and recent better performances compared to the visitors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol have a 10-8-13 record this season, securing 38 points, while Las Palmas stand at 8-8-16 with 32 points. Espanyol's better point tally and home form provide them a clear advantage. Key contributors for Las Palmas include J. Puado and F. Silva with 10 goals each, though their overall defense has been leaky. Espanyol's team has been resilient at home and has tactical solidity.
  • Recent meetings favor Espanyol significantly with a historical win probability of about 60% for Espanyol, 17% for Las Palmas, and 22% draws, based on prior data simulations and matchups. Espanyol has won most recent encounters and have higher odds of success.
  • No specific injury information is currently available indicating major absences for either side, suggesting both teams are close to full strength for this critical match.
  • The match is played at Espanyol's home stadium, RCDE Stadium, providing a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no major disruptions forecast.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to avoid relegation battles, but Espanyol's higher league position and home advantage likely boost their confidence. Las Palmas need an upset to improve their standing, adding pressure but also urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Espanyol: -280, Las Palmas: 700, Draw: 400 Espanyol win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Espanyol: -1.25 (-120), Las Palmas: +1.25 (100) Espanyol -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.75: 102, Under 2.75: -122 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Espanyol -18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Espanyol are favored to win this match given their superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance. A win here would help secure their league safety, while Las Palmas face an uphill battle to claim points.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Leganés vs. Valladolid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Leganés vs Valladolid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Game Overview

Leganés host Valladolid in this La Liga clash at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. Leganés are currently in better form compared to Valladolid, who have been struggling with several losses recently. The match is expected to be tightly contested with defensive solidity prioritized by both teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leganés have a recent form of DDWLW, showing a resilient home performance, while Valladolid's form stands at LLLLL, indicating a poor run of form and diminished morale.
  • Historically, matches between Leganés and Valladolid have been competitive but slightly favoring Leganés at home, with a trend towards low-scoring games.
  • No significant injury news available for either side; both teams expected to field their strongest lineup.
  • Playing at home provides Leganés with an advantage, supported by fan presence and familiarity with pitch conditions. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal.
  • Leganés have higher motivation to secure a win to cement their league standing, while Valladolid are under pressure due to their recent poor form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leganés: -325, Valladolid: 800, Draw: 460 Leganés win ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Leganés -1.5: -110, Valladolid +1.5: -110 Leganés -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.75: -118, Under 2.75: -102 Under 2.75 goals ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Leganés -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leganés are favored to win with a low-scoring match, likely finishing 2-0 with strong defensive displays and controlled game tempo.

Predicted Score: 2:0


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Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Game Overview

Real Madrid will host Real Sociedad in a La Liga match at the Santiago Bernabéu. Real Madrid is the strong favorite given their home advantage and recent performances, whereas Real Sociedad is considered an underdog. The match is crucial for Real Madrid to consolidate position in the league standings as the season nears its end.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid has been consistent at home with solid attacking and defensive performances. Real Sociedad has struggled to secure wins away from home, especially against top teams like Real Madrid. Recent form favors Real Madrid significantly.
  • Historically, Real Madrid dominates head-to-head meetings with Real Sociedad. Recent statistical models estimate Real Madrid winning around 62.7% of their matchups, Real Sociedad winning approximately 17.2%, and draws around 20.1%.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect the starting lineups or tactical setups for this match.
  • The match is played at Santiago Bernabéu, giving Real Madrid a strong home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal with no major disruptions.
  • Real Madrid is highly motivated to secure a win to maintain or improve their league position, while Real Sociedad aims to upset a top team and gain valuable points to boost their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Madrid: -240, Real Sociedad: 525, Draw: 420 Real Madrid to win ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread Real Madrid: -1.25 (-115), Real Sociedad: +1.25 (-105) Real Madrid to cover the -1.25 spread ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 3.25: -102, Under 3.25: -118 Under 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.25 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid is predicted to win this match given their statistical dominance, home advantage, and current form.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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