Match Analysis: W-B/Scranton Penguins vs Bridgeport Islanders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:05 AM UTC
- Location: Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza
Game Overview
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins host the Bridgeport Islanders in a rematch just two days after a dramatic 5-4 shootout win for the Penguins. Both teams are closely matched in the standings, with recent games showing high scoring and tight finishes. The Penguins are coming off a strong performance and are playing at home, while the Islanders look to bounce back from a late collapse.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wilkes-Barre/Scranton has won 2 of their last 3, including a shootout victory over Bridgeport on Wednesday. Bridgeport has lost 2 of their last 3, including the recent shootout defeat. Both teams have shown offensive firepower but have struggled defensively in close games.
- The Penguins won the most recent matchup 5-4 in a shootout. The last five meetings have averaged 5.8 goals per game, with four of the last five decided by one goal or in overtime/shootout.
- No major injuries reported for either team. Both rosters are at full strength for this matchup.
- The Penguins are playing at home, where they have a 4-1-1-0 record. The Islanders are 2-2-0-0 on the road. The Penguins are motivated by a recent win and the chance to sweep the season series.
- Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is looking to solidify their playoff position and build momentum. Bridgeport is trying to recover from a tough loss and avoid a losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -200, away: 150 | W-B/Scranton Penguins | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: -1.5 135, away: 1.5 -175 | W-B/Scranton Penguins -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 5.5 -120, under: 5.5 -110 | Over 5.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | W-B/Scranton Penguins -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win in regulation.
Predicted Score: 5-3