Match Analysis: W-B/Scranton Penguins vs Bridgeport Islanders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 12:05 AM UTC
- Location: Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza, Wilkes-Barre, PA
Game Overview
The Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins will host the Bridgeport Islanders in a highly competitive Atlantic Hockey League (AHL) matchup. The previous encounter between these teams was an intense shootout victory for the Penguins, 5-4, on Bridgeport's home ice earlier this week, indicating a closely matched rivalry with high scoring and late-game drama.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Penguins have a strong home record (10-3-1-0) and demonstrated resilience and scoring ability in their last meeting. Sam Poulin has been a key offensive contributor, scoring multiple goals and shootout goals. The Islanders also showed offensive depth and fighting spirit, managing a late equalizer in their previous matchup, but have struggled on the road against the Penguins.
- The most recent game on November 12 ended 5-4 to the Penguins after a shootout in Bridgeport, with multiple lead changes and late equalizers highlighting a very competitive rivalry. Historically, both teams have been closely matched in the Atlantic Division, making this a potential high-intensity rematch.
- No specific injury reports are available for either team from the provided sources. Both teams appear to have their key players available for this match.
- Playing at home gives the Penguins an advantage, supported by strong local fan support and recent success at Mohegan Arena. There are no noted travel or scheduling disadvantages affecting either side at this time.
- With the Penguins defending their home turf after a tough shootout win away, motivation is high to close out the series favorably in front of home fans. The Islanders will be motivated to even the series and prove their competitiveness on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bridgeport Islanders: +150, W-B/Scranton Penguins: -200 | W-B/Scranton Penguins to win | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Bridgeport Islanders: -1.5 at -175, W-B/Scranton Penguins: +1.5 at +135 | W-B/Scranton Penguins -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -120, Under 5.5: -110 | Over 5.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | W-B/Scranton Penguins 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given their recent victory, stronger home performance, and key player form, the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins have a slight edge to win the match. However, given the close scoreline in their last meeting, expect a closely contested game possibly decided by a one-goal margin.
Predicted Score: W-B/Scranton Penguins 4 – 2 Bridgeport Islanders