Match Analysis: Vegas Golden Knights vs Ottawa Senators – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-27
- Time: 3:10 AM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada
Game Overview
The Vegas Golden Knights host the Ottawa Senators in a non-conference matchup at T-Mobile Arena. Both teams are in the middle of their respective divisions, with the Golden Knights showing a balanced record at home and the Senators performing well on the road. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams averaging close to three goals per game.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Golden Knights are 10-5-7 overall and 5-3-3 at home, with a goals-for average of 3.14 per game (9th in NHL) and goals-against of 3.23 (24th). The Senators are 11-7-4 overall and 5-4-2 away, averaging 3.0 goals per game (4th in Atlantic) and allowing 2.8 goals per game. Vegas has a slightly better offensive output, but Ottawa is more defensively sound.
- Recent head-to-head matchups are not provided in the sources, but both teams have faced each other in the past with mixed results. No clear dominance is indicated for this season.
- No major injuries are reported for either team. Jeremy Lauzon (VGK) is out with an undisclosed injury, but this is not expected to significantly impact the lineup.
- The game is played at T-Mobile Arena, which is a strong home venue for the Golden Knights. The Senators are on the road, which could slightly affect their performance.
- Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning, with the Senators currently in a playoff spot and the Golden Knights close behind. The motivation to secure points is high for both teams.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vegas Golden Knights: -180, Ottawa Senators: 143 | Vegas Golden Knights | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Vegas Golden Knights: -1.5 143, Ottawa Senators: 1.5 -180 | Vegas Golden Knights to cover | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 6 -104, Under: 6 -121 | Over | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vegas Golden Knights 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Golden Knights are favored to win this game due to their home advantage and slightly better offensive output. However, the Senators are a solid defensive team and could keep the game close. The most likely outcome is a Golden Knights victory by a narrow margin.
Predicted Score: Vegas Golden Knights 4 – 2 Ottawa Senators