Match Analysis: Vegas Golden Knights vs New York Islanders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 13, 2025
- Time: 3:10 AM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Game Overview
Vegas Golden Knights (7-4-4) host the New York Islanders (8-6-2) in a Thursday night matchup. The Golden Knights enter this game riding a three-game losing streak at home, while the Islanders arrive on the road with positive momentum, having won three of their last five games including two consecutive victories.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vegas has been inconsistent, posting a 2-3 record in their last five games and 2-3 against the spread. However, their offense remains strong at 3.2 goals per game on 29.7 shots, while defense is mediocre at 2.93 goals allowed per game. The Islanders have been solid offensively (3.31 goals per game, 29.6 shots) but show defensive vulnerabilities (3.19 goals allowed, 29.1 shots per game). Vegas' recent form is concerning with 17 goals allowed over their last four losses.
- The Islanders swept their 2024-25 season series against Vegas 2-1 and 4-0, demonstrating a clear competitive edge. This is their first matchup of the 2025-26 season.
- No specific injury information provided in available data.
- Vegas is playing at home where they typically have an advantage, but their three-game losing streak suggests momentum issues. The Islanders are traveling on the road but carry confidence from recent wins. Vegas' defensive struggles (allowing 25.5 shots per game) could be exploited by New York's offensive firepower.
- Vegas is highly motivated to break their three-game skid at home. The Islanders seek to continue their winning streak and secure a road victory against a struggling opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Golden Knights -192 | Islanders +160 | Vegas Golden Knights | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Golden Knights -1.5 (136) | Islanders +1.5 (-162) | Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 (105) | Under 6.5 (-125) | Over 6.5 | ★★★★☆ 71% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vegas Golden Knights 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 31% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vegas Golden Knights win 4-3 in a competitive matchup. While the Islanders present offensive threats and own the recent head-to-head edge, Vegas' home-ice advantage and desperation to end their losing streak should prove decisive. Both offenses will generate scoring chances, resulting in an over-the-total result.
Predicted Score: Vegas Golden Knights 4, New York Islanders 3