Match Analysis: Vegas Golden Knights vs Colorado Avalanche – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-31
- Time: 8:10 PM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV, USA
Game Overview
The Colorado Avalanche (6-1-4) visit the Vegas Golden Knights (6-1-3) in a highly anticipated NHL matchup featuring two of the league's top offensive teams. Both teams have demonstrated scoring prowess and strong recent form. The Avalanche are coming off a decisive 8-4 win and aim to maintain momentum, while Vegas leverages home-ice advantage and recent winning trends.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams boast strong 6-1 records with potent offenses. The Avalanche average about 3.73 goals per game with depth scoring from stars like Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar. Vegas averages 3.7 goals per game, led by Pavel Dorofeyev and Jack Eichel. Vegas' defense allows 2.7 goals/game while Colorado allows 2.55.
- Recent H2H trends favor Vegas when playing as underdogs at home against Western Conference teams, with solid puck line coverage. Avalanche have struggled covering the puck line as road favorites following home wins.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting main offensive or defensive catalysts.
- High energy expected for Vegas playing at home on Nevada Day. Colorado faces a back-to-back schedule with a game in San Jose next day, possibly impacting stamina.
- Both teams are motivated by maintaining strong starts to the season. Colorado seeks to carry momentum post a big win and open a back-to-back set, while Vegas wants to capitalize on home ice and recent trends as underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vegas -105, Colorado -115 | Vegas Golden Knights | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Vegas +1.5 -265, Colorado -1.5 215 | Vegas Golden Knights +1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 105, Under 6.5 -125 | Over 6.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vegas Golden Knights 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vegas Golden Knights moneyline win, puck line +1.5, and over 6.5 goals total
Predicted Score: Vegas Golden Knights 4 – Colorado Avalanche 3