Match Analysis: Vegas Golden Knights vs Anaheim Ducks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 3:10 AM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Arena — Paradise, Nevada
Game Overview
Pacific Division contenders Anaheim Ducks (9-3-1, 2nd place) visit the defending Stanley Cup champion Vegas Golden Knights (7-3-3, 3rd place) for the first meeting this season. Vegas has dominated recent H2H, winning the last four matchups and six of the last nine. The Ducks are hot, having won five straight, while Vegas comes off a home loss to Tampa Bay after recently shutting out Detroit.
Key Factors to Consider
- Anaheim is on a five-game winning streak, scoring at least four goals in each of their last six games and ranked 1st in the Pacific Division. Vegas has dropped three of their last five, but recently posted a shutout against Detroit. Vegas ranks 8th in power-play percentage (23.4%), while Anaheim ranks 22nd on the penalty kill.
- Vegas has won the last four meetings, including last season's sweep, and six of the last ten overall. The last meeting at T-Mobile Arena was a 3-1 Vegas victory. The previous four games averaged 5.75 total goals per game.
- No major injury updates available in provided sources. Both teams appear near full strength.
- No significant schedule quirks or travel fatigue. Vegas at home (4-2-1 at T-Mobile Arena). Late start (10:00 p.m. ET) may favor Vegas, a historically strong home team.
- Anaheim leads the division but must prove themselves against a proven Vegas squad. Vegas, defending champs, faces a hot divisional rival and needs to capitalize on home ice.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vegas -215, Anaheim +170 | Vegas Golden Knights (ML) | ★★★☆☆ 63% |
| Spread | Vegas -1.5 +120, Anaheim +1.5 -150 | Anaheim Ducks +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 -108, Under 6.5 -115 | Over 6.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vegas Golden Knights -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vegas is the more proven, resilient team at home, but Anaheim’s scorching offense and defensive resilience in recent weeks present a real challenge. The over is the EV+ play given both teams’ recent scoring surges and some defensive concerns for Vegas, but the market is split on the sides.
Predicted Score: Vegas 4 – Anaheim 3