Match Analysis: Vancouver Canucks vs Winnipeg Jets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 11, 2025
- Time: 3:10 AM UTC
- Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, BC
Game Overview
The Winnipeg Jets (9-6-0) travel to Vancouver to face the struggling Canucks (8-8-1). The Jets enter on a three-game losing streak but remain the stronger team, while Vancouver has been inconsistent at home with a 3-4-1 record at Rogers Arena this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Winnipeg has posted solid underlying metrics with 2.60 goals allowed per game and an elite 86.9% penalty kill rate, anchored by Connor Hellebuyck's .922 save percentage. However, offensive production has dried up over the last three games with just two goals combined while being outshot in each contest. Vancouver averages 2.82 goals per game and has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 games and 7 of 8 home games, suggesting offensive consistency at Rogers Arena.
- Winnipeg dominates the recent H2H matchup, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings. In their most recent encounter at Canada Life Centre, the Jets won 3-1. This historical advantage strongly favors the visitors.
- No significant injuries reported for either team. Connor Hellebuyck (Jets starter) is healthy and performing well with a 6-5-0 record.
- Vancouver is looking to climb above .500 on home ice, providing some motivation. Winnipeg is seeking to snap a three-game skid. The Jets' 20.0% power play is a significant weapon against Vancouver's vulnerable penalty kill.
- Winnipeg has stronger motivation with three consecutive losses and must respond. Vancouver has home-ice support but has struggled to consistently execute at Rogers Arena. Winnipeg's historical dominance in this matchup suggests they'll be motivated to prove they can end their skid against a divisional opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jets -125, Canucks +105 | Winnipeg Jets | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Jets -1.5 (200), Canucks +1.5 (-245) | Winnipeg Jets -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5 (-130), Under 5.5 (110) | Over 5.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Winnipeg Jets 17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Winnipeg Jets at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Winnipeg Jets win 4-3. The Jets' superior depth, elite defensive metrics, and historical H2H dominance outweigh their recent offensive struggles. Hellebuyck's stellar play and Vancouver's inconsistency create a favorable matchup for the visitors despite their losing streak.
Predicted Score: Winnipeg 4, Vancouver 3