Match Analysis: Utah Mammoth vs Vegas Golden Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 2:10 AM UTC
- Location: Delta Center
Game Overview
The Utah Mammoth host the Vegas Golden Knights in a crucial Western Conference matchup at Delta Center. Both teams are in the thick of the playoff race, with Utah showing strong home form and Vegas looking to bounce back from recent losses. The game promises high intensity, with both clubs relying on offensive firepower and solid goaltending.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah Mammoth enter the game with a 11-8-3 record, including a 6-2-1 mark at home. They have been consistent offensively, averaging 3.1 goals per game at Delta Center. Vegas Golden Knights are 10-4-7 overall, but only 5-1-4 on the road. Their offense is led by Jack Eichel and Nick Schmaltz, but they have struggled defensively away from T-Mobile Arena, allowing 3.0 goals per game on the road.
- The teams have met twice recently. On Nov 20, Vegas won 4-1 in Salt Lake City. On Nov 24, Utah won 4-3 in overtime. Vegas leads the season series 1-0-1. Utah has shown resilience in close games, while Vegas has been dominant in regulation but vulnerable in overtime.
- Utah is missing defenseman V. Gavrikov (upper body, day-to-day). Vegas is without forward Jonathan Marchessault (lower body, out). Both teams are otherwise healthy, but the absence of Gavrikov could impact Utah's defensive structure.
- Delta Center is known for its loud atmosphere and home-ice advantage. The game is being played on a Tuesday night, with both teams coming off a day of rest. Weather is not a factor, but travel fatigue could slightly affect Vegas after a recent road trip.
- Utah is fighting for playoff positioning and a strong home record. Vegas is looking to solidify their playoff spot and improve their road performance. Both teams are highly motivated, but Utah has the edge with home crowd support.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Mammoth: -107, Vegas Golden Knights: -115 | Utah Mammoth | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Utah Mammoth: 1.5 -278, Vegas Golden Knights: -1.5 215 | Utah Mammoth -1.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 6 -114, Under: 6 -109 | Over | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Mammoth 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah Mammoth are favored at home, but Vegas has the offensive firepower to keep the game close. Expect a high-scoring, tight contest with Utah edging it out in regulation or overtime.
Predicted Score: Utah Mammoth 4 – 3 Vegas Golden Knights