Match Analysis: Utah Mammoth vs New York Islanders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Friday, November 14, 2025
- Time: 2:10 AM UTC
- Location: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah
Game Overview
The Utah Mammoth (10-7-0) host the New York Islanders (9-6-2) in a Central Division vs. Metropolitan Division matchup. Utah enters as the home favorite with a -205 moneyline, while New York comes in as the visiting underdog at +170. The Mammoth have won their last game decisively against Buffalo (5-2), while the Islanders recently secured an overtime victory. This matchup features contrasting team records and momentum, with Utah holding a 1-game advantage in wins despite similar overall performance levels.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah Mammoth are performing slightly better with a 10-7 record and currently sit in the Central Division standings. The team demonstrated offensive prowess in their recent 5-2 victory over Buffalo, with multiple players contributing points (Rosen with 2 goals, Keller and Schmaltz each with 1 goal and 1 assist). The Islanders hold a 9-6-2 record with 20 points, placing them in the Metropolitan Division where they compete against stronger division opponents. New York's recent overtime victory shows resilience and competitive ability despite being on the road.
- Limited head-to-head historical data is available in the provided search results. This appears to be either an early season matchup or the teams have limited recent history. The inter-conference nature of this matchup and different division placements suggest varied playing styles and strategies.
- No specific injury information is provided in the available search results. Player availability status for key contributors like Bo Horvat (22 points for the Islanders) and Utah's recent scoring contributors is not detailed in the current data.
- Utah maintains a home-ice advantage at the Delta Center, which historically provides psychological and logistical benefits. The Islanders are traveling from New York, which may impact fatigue levels after a recent overtime victory. Utah's recent strong offensive performance (5 goals vs. Buffalo) suggests momentum and confidence, while New York's overtime win demonstrates clutch capability.
- Utah seeks to build on consecutive wins and solidify their divisional standing with another home victory. The Islanders aim to prove they can compete against Western Conference teams and extend their own winning streak on the road. Both teams have playoff positioning implications as the season progresses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Mammoth -205 | New York Islanders +170 | Utah Mammoth Win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Utah Mammoth -1.5 (124) | New York Islanders +1.5 (-148) | Utah Mammoth -1.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115) | Over 6.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Mammoth -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah Mammoth are favored to win this matchup at home with strong recent form and a +1.5 goal spread advantage. The consensus prediction from advanced analytics (numberFire) shows Utah winning with 64.8% probability. The Mammoth's home-ice advantage, recent offensive output, and favorable matchup dynamics position them as the likely winner, though New York's defensive structure and recent clutch performance could produce a competitive contest.
Predicted Score: Utah Mammoth 4 – New York Islanders 2