Match Analysis: Utah Mammoth vs Calgary Flames – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-16
- Time: 1:40 AM UTC
- Location: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah
Game Overview
The Utah Mammoth host the Calgary Flames in this NHL match. The Mammoth enter with a 1-2 record and recently lost 3-1 to Chicago at their last outing, while the Flames are struggling with a 1-3 record, coming off a losing streak. The game is expected to be competitive but favors the home Mammoth due to recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah Mammoth have shown resilience with a 1-2 start, including an overtime win against Nashville. Calgary Flames have struggled with a 1-3 start, on a losing streak entering the game. Utah's goalie situation varies between S. Knight and K. Vejmelka, while Calgary faces uncertainties in form and consistency.
- Recent head-to-head matchups favor the Mammoth slightly due to home advantage and their ability to keep games close against Calgary. The last matchups have been tightly contested with low scoring, reflecting balanced defenses.
- Utah Mammoth currently have multiple key players out: Liam O'Brien, Terrell Goldsmith, Juuso Valimaki (ACL), Anson Thornton, Alexander Kerfoot (Lower Body), Jonathan Huberdeau is day-to-day, and Martin Pospisil is out. Calgary Flamesβs injury status is less detailed but no major absences reported.
- The game is played at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, providing the Mammoth with home ice advantage. The time zone difference might affect Calgary slightly. Recent team travelling and momentum favor Utah.
- Both teams look to improve poor starts. Utah aims to capitalize on home ice and recover from their recent loss, while Calgary seeks to halt their losing streak and gain confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary Flames: 180, Utah Mammoth: -230 | Utah Mammoth | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Calgary Flames: 1.5 -148, Utah Mammoth: -1.5 118 | Utah Mammoth -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 6 102, Under: 6 -125 | Under 6 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah Mammoth 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah Mammoth are predicted to win by a narrow margin owing to better home form, stronger motivation, and slight edge in player availability despite injuries. Expect a tight contest with fluctuating momentum.
Predicted Score: Utah Mammoth 4 – Calgary Flames 2