Match Analysis: Tucson Roadrunners vs Calgary Wranglers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-19
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Tucson Arena
Game Overview
The Tucson Roadrunners host the Calgary Wranglers in the AHL home opener for Tucson's 2025-26 season. Historically, Tucson has a slight home edge versus Calgary, especially since Calgary's affiliate relocation. Both teams are motivated early in the season to set strong tones, with Tucson eager for a home opener win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Recent form shows both teams in early season stages of adaptation with moderate results; Tucson has a relatively balanced home opening record (5-4 historically) with strong performances versus Calgary at home (5-2-1). Calgary's form is solid, slightly favored by bookmakers.
- All-time AHL record is close with slight edge to Calgary overall, but Tucson dominates home encounters against Calgary since 2022-23 with a 5-2-1 advantage including 3-1 last season at home.
- No publicly reported major injuries affecting either starting goaltenders or top scorers for this match.
- Tucson is playing the home opener which usually boosts motivation and crowd support. Calgary is on the road but has shown resilience away.
- Tucson aims to secure their first home opener win since 2022-23, fueled by their 10th-anniversary milestone. Calgary, coming off a strong recent season, are motivated to assert themselves early.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary Wrapnglers: -127, Tucson Roadrunners: -114 | Calgary Wranglers | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Calgary Wranglers -1.5: +215, Tucson Roadrunners +1.5: -315 | Calgary Wranglers -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -124, Under 5.5: -110 | Under 5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Calgary Wranglers -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Calgary Wranglers win; Spread: Calgary Wranglers -1.5; Over/Under: Under 5.5 goals
Predicted Score: Calgary Wranglers 3 – 1 Tucson Roadrunners