Match Analysis: Toronto Marlies vs Syracuse Crunch – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-29
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Upstate Medical University Arena, Syracuse
Game Overview
The Syracuse Crunch face the Toronto Marlies in an AHL matchup with Syracuse favored at home. Crunch have started the season strong (5-1 record), showing solid form and home advantage, while Toronto has a mix of rookies and veterans, playing away.
Key Factors to Consider
- Syracuse Crunch boast a strong 5-1 start this season, averaging over 3 goals per game and demonstrating solid defense at home. Toronto Marlies have a youthful, balanced roster with 8 veterans and 10 rookies, but their recent road form is less convincing.
- Recent head-to-head matchups in the AHL have been competitive with neither team dominating outright; however, Syracuse has leveraged home-ice advantage in previous meetings.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting key players or goaltending.
- Game played at Syracuseβs home ice which benefits the Crunch with strong fan support; no adverse weather or travel disruptions noted.
- Syracuse aims to maintain momentum early in the season to solidify playoff positioning, while Toronto looks to gain experience and develop consistency on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Syracuse Crunch: -150, Toronto Marlies: +102 | Syracuse Crunch | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Syracuse Crunch -1.5: +188, Toronto Marlies +1.5: -275 | Toronto Marlies +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 5: -121, Under 5: -113 | Under 5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Marlies 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Syracuse Crunch win on the moneyline, Toronto Marlies +1.5 on the spread, total goals under 5.
Predicted Score: Syracuse Crunch 3 – 2 Toronto Marlies