Match Analysis: Toronto Marlies vs Iowa Wild – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Coca-Cola Coliseum
Game Overview
The Toronto Marlies host the Iowa Wild in an American Hockey League (AHL) matchup on Saturday, November 22, 2025. The game is scheduled for 4:00 PM local time (21:00 UTC) at the Coca-Cola Coliseum. Both teams are in the midst of their regular season, with Toronto Marlies playing at home and Iowa Wild traveling for this contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toronto Marlies have shown strong home form this season, with a winning record at Coca-Cola Coliseum. Iowa Wild have been inconsistent on the road, struggling to maintain offensive consistency in away games. Marlies have a higher average goals per game at home, while Iowa Wild have allowed more goals per game on the road compared to their home games.
- Recent head-to-head matchups between Toronto Marlies and Iowa Wild have been closely contested, with both teams splitting wins over the past season. The last five meetings have seen three Marlies victories and two Wild wins, with most games decided by one goal.
- No major injuries have been reported for either team leading up to this game. Both rosters are expected to be at full strength, which could impact the intensity and competitiveness of the matchup.
- The game is part of a back-to-back series, with the teams facing each other again on November 23. This could influence lineups and strategies, as both teams may rotate players to manage fatigue. The venue, Coca-Cola Coliseum, is known for its strong home support, which could provide an additional boost for the Marlies.
- Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning, making this game crucial for their standings. Toronto Marlies are motivated to maintain their home advantage, while Iowa Wild aim to improve their road record and secure valuable points.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Marlies: -165, Iowa Wild: 112 | Toronto Marlies | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Toronto Marlies -1.5: 165, Iowa Wild +1.5: -235 | Toronto Marlies -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -112, Under 5.5: -122 | Over 5.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Marlies -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 -2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Toronto Marlies at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent form, home advantage, and head-to-head history, Toronto Marlies are favored to win this matchup. The game is expected to be close, with a high likelihood of a one-goal margin. The total goals are likely to be around the over/under line, with both teams capable of scoring.
Predicted Score: Toronto Marlies 4 – 2 Iowa Wild