Match Analysis: St Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Missouri
Game Overview
The Vegas Golden Knights visit the St. Louis Blues in an NHL matchup. Vegas holds a 7-4-5 overall record and is positioned fifth in the Pacific Division. St. Louis has a 6-8-4 record, ranking seventh in the Central Division and is playing a back-to-back with a recent game against Philadelphia. Vegas has the upper hand offensively and on special teams, while St. Louis is dealing with inconsistent goaltending and fatigue from a condensed schedule.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vegas Golden Knights have been stronger offensively and defensively with a better power play and penalty kill units compared to St. Louis, who average 2.76 goals per game but allow 3.77 and have struggled on the penalty kill (70.5%). The Blues have a 3-2 recent form with home wins but face fatigue from back-to-back games. Vegas is on a slight losing streak but has solid road performance (3-1-2).
- Recent H2H data shows prior competitive matchups with mixed results. Both clubs have had closely contested games, but Vegas' overall stronger form and special teams advantage tilt the balance.
- No explicit injury reports are noted in the sources, suggesting relatively full rosters for both teams. The Blues may be affected more by fatigue than injury.
- St. Louis is completing back-to-back games, likely impacting stamina and performance. Venue is the Enterprise Center in St. Louis, favoring the home crowd and ice familiarity.
- Vegas seeks to rebound from recent losses and continue their strong road form. St. Louis looks to leverage home ice to stop their sub-.500 start and improve standings in their division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | St Louis Blues: +118, Vegas Golden Knights: -148 | Vegas Golden Knights win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | St Louis Blues +1.5: -215, Vegas Golden Knights -1.5: +170 | Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 6: -118, Under 6: -105 | Under 6 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vegas Golden Knights -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vegas Golden Knights win with a predicted score of 4-2 over the St. Louis Blues, leveraging their offensive and special teams superiority and better recent performance despite current streaks.
Predicted Score: Vegas Golden Knights 4 – St. Louis Blues 2