Match Analysis: St Louis Blues vs Philadelphia Flyers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO
Game Overview
The St. Louis Blues, holding a 6-8-3 record and coming off a recent home win, face the Philadelphia Flyers, who have an 8-5-3 record and show stronger defensive consistency and special teams performance. The Blues are favored by sportsbooks but show defensive inconsistencies, while the Flyers rely on disciplined defense and solid goaltending.
Key Factors to Consider
- Flyers hold a better overall season record (8-5-3) compared to the Blues (6-8-3). Philadelphia demonstrates stronger defensive metrics (2.4 to 2.56 goals allowed per game) and a more effective penalty kill (approx. 88.7%), while St. Louis has inconsistent defensive performance despite a recent win.
- Philadelphia has won both meetings from last season and three of the last four clashes against St. Louis, indicating psychological and tactical edges.
- No critical injury reports noted impacting starting goaltenders or core defensive players for either team, maintaining strength in these key areas.
- The Blues are playing at home but face pressure from inconsistent performance. Flyers travel but enter motivated to stabilize after recent overtime losses.
- Flyers seek to rebound from back-to-back overtime losses and maintain divisional competitiveness; Blues aim to build on recent momentum after a close victory.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Flyers: +114, St Louis Blues: -135 | Philadelphia Flyers | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Philadelphia Flyers +1.5: -230, St Louis Blues -1.5: +190 | Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -112, Under 5.5: -108 | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Flyers 13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Flyers moneyline win, under 5.5 goals total, and St. Louis Blues -1.5 spread loss are highest expected value plays.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Flyers 3 – St. Louis Blues 2