Match Analysis: San Jose Sharks vs Colorado Avalanche – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 8:10 PM UTC
- Location: SAP Center at San Jose
Game Overview
Colorado Avalanche (7-1-4) face the San Jose Sharks (3-6-2) in a Western Conference matchup. The Avalanche are strong favorites on the road, while the Sharks have struggled defensively, ranking among the league's worst in goals allowed per game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Colorado is 7-1-4, averaging 3.75 goals per game and allowing just 2.50. San Jose is 3-6-2, scoring 3.36 goals per game but allowing 4.36, the worst in the league. Colorado also dominates in shots per game (33.8 vs 25.9) and is more disciplined (fewer penalty minutes).
- Colorado has dominated recent matchups, winning 6 of the last 7 meetings. The Avalanche have outscored the Sharks 28-13 in those games.
- No major injuries reported for either team. Both starting goalies are available, but San Jose's Y. Askarov has a poor GAA (4.69) and SV% (.844), while Colorado's Darcy Kuemper is healthy and performing well.
- Colorado is on a 4-game road win streak and has shown strong form away from home. San Jose is playing at home but has allowed the most goals per game in the NHL. The Sharks' power play is strong (23.1%), but their penalty kill is weak (63.9%).
- Colorado is fighting for a top spot in the Central Division, while San Jose is near the bottom of the Pacific and may lack playoff motivation. The Avalanche are highly motivated to maintain their strong start.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 190, away: -230 | Colorado Avalanche | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | home: -125, away: 105 | Colorado Avalanche -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over: -118, under: -102 | Over 6.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Avalanche 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 33% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colorado Avalanche win by at least 2 goals and the game goes over 6.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Colorado Avalanche 5 – 2 San Jose Sharks