Match Analysis: Rockford IceHogs vs Milwaukee Admirals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-07
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Rockford (Home)
Game Overview
Best-of-five Central Division Semi-finals (Calder Cup Playoffs), with Rockford leading the series after winning Game 1 in overtime. Game 3 marks the series shift to Rockford's home ice.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rockford demonstrated resilience with an overtime win in Game 1, though Game 2 results are unspecified. Home-ice advantage in Games 3-4 could favor IceHogs.
- Recent playoff history includes a 1-0-0-0 outdoor game record for Rockford against Milwaukee[2]. Physicality is evident (e.g., Game 1 fighting penalties)[4].
- No specific injury data available from provided sources.
- Milwaukee's -135 moneyline reflects bookmakers' slight edge, but Rockford's +105 underdog value and home momentum create volatility.
- Critical swing game in a tightly contested series; Rockford aims to leverage home crowd, while Milwaukee seeks road retaliation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee -135 / Rockford +105 | Rockford IceHogs (Value Pick) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Milwaukee -1.5 (+190) / Rockford +1.5 (-260) | Rockford +1.5 (Cover) | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Over/under | Over 5.5 (-120) / Under 5.5 (-110) | Under 5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Admirals 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 5.5 -1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Milwaukee Admirals at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Close matchup likely decided by special teams or overtime. Slight edge to Rockford (home ice + momentum), but Milwaukee's experience could counter.
Predicted Score: Rockford 3-2 (OT)