Match Analysis: Rochester Americans vs Belleville Senators – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 12:05 AM UTC
- Location: The Blue Cross Arena, Rochester, NY
Game Overview
The Rochester Americans will host the Belleville Senators in an AHL matchup. Rochester is playing at home early in their 70th anniversary season and looking to continue momentum from recent performances. Belleville, visiting as underdogs, has a challenging road game ahead at Rochester's arena. The match features two historic franchises renewing their rivalry in the American Hockey League.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rochester Americans recently completed a 40-win season and enter this match with a strong home schedule emphasizing weekend games, which could positively affect player readiness. Belleville Senators have faced Rochester multiple times this season, but overall Rochester appears statistically stronger and better positioned, with a favorable recent record against them noted.
- Recent H2H matches show Rochester with solid results against Belleville, including notable wins in recent months. The teams last met on October 29, 2025, with detailed stats available for attack, defense, and goalkeeping, favoring Rochester's consistency.
- No explicit current injury reports found for either team in the latest available data, suggesting both teams are likely to field near full strength squads for this contest.
- Rochester benefits from playing at home in a supportive environment celebrating their 70th season, with promotional events potentially boosting player motivation. Belleville hosts several midweek winning-themed nights but is currently away from home for this match. Travel fatigue and schedule may be minor external factors.
- Rochester is motivated by their historic season anniversary and home advantage, while Belleville aims to improve road results and break Rochester's home dominance, creating a competitive dynamic.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Belleville Senators: 125, Rochester Americans: -165 | Rochester Americans win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Belleville Senators +1.5: -220, Rochester Americans -1.5: 165 | Rochester Americans -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -110, Under 5.5: -120 | Under 5.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rochester Americans -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rochester Americans are favored to win this match, given their stronger home form, historical edge in head-to-head results, and current betting odds indicating market confidence in their victory.
Predicted Score: Rochester Americans 3 – 1 Belleville Senators