Match Analysis: Providence Bruins vs W-B/Scranton Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 12:05 AM UTC
- Location: Dunkin' Donuts Center, Providence, RI
Game Overview
The Providence Bruins host the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins in a pivotal AHL matchup. Both teams are competitive, but Providence has shown recent dominance in head-to-head matchups. The game is expected to be tightly contested, with both teams averaging close to 3 goals per game in recent encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Providence Bruins have been strong at home, winning 44 of their last 71 head-to-head meetings. They have not lost in regulation in their last 8 games against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton. The Penguins have shown resilience on the road but have struggled to contain Providenceβs offense, which has scored over 2.5 goals in 8 of the last 8 meetings.
- The two teams have played 71 official matches, with Providence holding a 44-26 edge (including extra time). Providence averages 3.04 goals per game in these matchups, while Wilkes-Barre/Scranton averages 2.19. The average total goals per game is 4.59, with the first period averaging 1.38 goals.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both rosters are at full strength, which increases the likelihood of a high-scoring, competitive game.
- Providenceβs home-ice advantage is a major factor, with a strong record at the Dunkinβ Donuts Center. The Penguins are coming off a recent loss to Providence (3-1 on October 29), which may affect their confidence. Weather and travel conditions are not expected to impact the game.
- Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning, making this a high-stakes matchup. Providence is motivated to extend their winning streak against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, while the Penguins aim to break their losing streak and improve their road record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Providence Bruins: -120, W-B/Scranton Penguins: -122 | Providence Bruins | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Providence Bruins: 1.5 -335, W-B/Scranton Penguins: -1.5 225 | Providence Bruins -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 5.5 105, Under: 5.5 -143 | Over 5.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Providence Bruins -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Providence Bruins are favored to win this game due to their strong home record and recent dominance over Wilkes-Barre/Scranton. The game is expected to be close, but Providenceβs offense should be enough to secure a victory. The total goals are likely to be above 5.5, given the teamsβ scoring trends.
Predicted Score: Providence Bruins 4-2 W-B/Scranton Penguins