Match Analysis: Providence Bruins vs Laval Rocket – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 8:05 PM UTC
- Location: Home arena of Providence Bruins
Game Overview
A tightly contested AHL matchup between Providence Bruins and Laval Rocket, with Laval historically dominating the head-to-head record but Providence showing recent home strength and motivation.
Key Factors to Consider
- Providence Bruins have strong recent form with wins over Utica Comets and Hartford Wolf Pack, showing solid defense with under 5.5 goals scored in most home games. Laval Rocket exhibits good away form, scoring multiple goals in recent road matches and holds a better historical record against Providence.
- Laval Rocket leads with 10 wins in the last 18 encounters, while Providence has 5 wins. Providence has struggled to beat Laval in recent meetings, winning only 1 of their last 12 matches and failing to win the second period in 7 of the last 8 games against Laval.
- No significant injuries reported for either side influencing key positions.
- No notable external disruptions or travel fatigue expected; venue is Providence's home rink which usually strengthens their game.
- Providence Bruins are highly motivated to break a losing streak against Laval at home and capitalize on recent positive results, while Laval has psychological confidence from strong historical dominance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Providence Bruins: -139, Laval Rocket: -106 | Providence Bruins | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Providence Bruins -1.5: 205, Laval Rocket +1.5: -295 | Providence Bruins -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: 115, Under 5.5: -157 | Under 5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Providence Bruins 7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 -2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Providence Bruins at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Providence Bruins moneyline win, -1.5 spread for Providence Bruins, under 5.5 total goals
Predicted Score: 3-1 Providence Bruins