Match Analysis: Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 11:10 PM UTC
- Location: Xfinity Live! Arena, Philadelphia, PA
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Flyers host the Toronto Maple Leafs in an Eastern Conference matchup on November 1, 2025. Both teams are early in their 2025-26 NHL season, with the Maple Leafs coming off a strong start and the Flyers looking to build momentum at home. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams possessing high-powered offenses and solid goaltending.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toronto Maple Leafs have started the season strong, with a record of 26-13-2 and leading the Atlantic Division. They have a potent offense, averaging 3.5 goals per game, and solid goaltending. The Philadelphia Flyers are in the middle of the pack, with a record of 17-18-5, struggling defensively but showing flashes of offensive brilliance. Their home record is slightly better than their road record.
- In their last 10 meetings, Toronto holds a 6-4 advantage. The Maple Leafs have won 3 of the last 5 games against the Flyers, including a 4-2 victory in their most recent matchup. The Flyers have struggled to contain Toronto's top line, which has consistently produced goals in these matchups.
- Toronto Maple Leafs are missing key defenseman Morgan Rielly due to injury, which could impact their defensive structure. The Flyers are without top-line winger Owen Tippett, who is out with a lower-body injury. Both teams have their starting goaltenders available for this game.
- The game is being played at Xfinity Live! Arena, which is known for its loud and energetic atmosphere. The Flyers have a slight home-ice advantage, but the Maple Leafs have shown the ability to perform well on the road. The weather is expected to be mild, with no travel disruptions anticipated.
- The Maple Leafs are motivated to maintain their lead in the Atlantic Division and continue their strong start to the season. The Flyers are looking to improve their playoff positioning and build confidence with a win against a top team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Flyers: 105, Toronto Maple Leafs: -125 | Toronto Maple Leafs | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Philadelphia Flyers: 1.5 -250, Toronto Maple Leafs: -1.5 205 | Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 6.5 102, Under: 6.5 -122 | Over 6.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Maple Leafs -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Toronto Maple Leafs are favored to win this game due to their superior offensive firepower and recent head-to-head success. However, the Flyers' home-ice advantage and the absence of key players on both sides make this a closely contested matchup. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams likely to find the back of the net.
Predicted Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 Philadelphia Flyers