Match Analysis: Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 11:10 PM UTC
- Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Flyers (6-3-1) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (5-5-1) in an NHL regular season matchup. The Flyers have a slightly better record and a home-ice advantage, while the Maple Leafs seek to bounce back after a recent loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Flyers are currently on a three-game winning streak with solid defensive performances, conceding fewer goals on average (2.40 GAA) compared to Maple Leafs (3.82 GAA). Maple Leafs have a more inconsistent form with their recent loss against Columbus but have strong offensive players like Nylander and Tavares.
- Recent head-to-head matchups show competitive games with the Maple Leafs having a slight edge in goal production but the Flyers defending well. The Flyers have an edge in recent home encounters.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting key players. Both teams expected to field near full strength.
- The game is played at the Flyers' home venue, potentially favoring their motivated defense-first approach. Travel fatigue minimal as both teams have a few days' rest.
- Flyers are motivated to maintain momentum and capitalize on home ice, while Maple Leafs aim to rebound after a tough road loss and prepare for an upcoming home game.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +105, away: -125 | Philadelphia Flyers | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | home: -250, away: +205 | Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | over: +102, under: -122 | Under 6.5 goals | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toronto Maple Leafs 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Flyers to win moneyline; Flyers +1.5 puck line; Under 6.5 total goals
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Flyers 4 – Toronto Maple Leafs 2