Match Analysis: Ottawa Senators vs Dallas Stars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, Ontario
Game Overview
The NHL match between the Ottawa Senators and Dallas Stars on November 11, 2025, features two competitive teams with similar records (Senators 8-5-3, Stars 9-4-3). The game will be played at the Canadian Tire Centre with coverage on ESPN+. Both teams have shown solid play so far this season, with the Stars having a slight edge in recent form and division ranking.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Dallas Stars have a strong record of 9-4-3 and have been performing well on the road, holding a 5-1 record in their division. The Ottawa Senators hold an 8-5-3 record at home. Both teams have demonstrated solid defensive capabilities recently, with games often staying under total goal lines.
- Recent encounters between the Stars and Senators indicate a closely matched rivalry. The Dallas Stars are currently favored to win, reflecting slightly better recent form and divisional standing. There is no overwhelming dominance by either side in their head-to-head history leading into this game.
- No significant injury updates impacting either team have been reported in the available data for this match.
- The game will be played indoors at the Canadian Tire Centre, eliminating weather and other environmental influences. Both teams have stable coaching situations: Glen Gulutzan for the Stars and Travis Green for the Senators.
- Both teams are motivated to gain divisional advantage and improve their standings. The Stars aim to assert their lead in the division, while the Senators seek to capitalize on home-ice advantage to close the gap.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Stars: -108, Ottawa Senators: -112 | Dallas Stars win | β β β ββ 56% |
| Spread | Dallas Stars: -285 (spread 1.5), Ottawa Senators: 230 (spread -1.5) | Ottawa Senators to cover the -1.5 spread | β β β ββ 52% |
| Over/under | Over: -125 (5.5), Under: 105 (5.5) | Under 5.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Stars 8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dallas Stars are predicted to win with a 56.2% probability based on current form, division rank, and betting odds. The game is expected to be competitive but relatively low scoring, favoring the Stars to win by a small margin.
Predicted Score: Dallas Stars 3 – Ottawa Senators 2