Match Analysis: New York Islanders vs St Louis Blues – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 8:40 PM UTC
- Location: UBS Arena, Belmont Park, NY, USA
Game Overview
The New York Islanders host the St. Louis Blues in an NHL clash at UBS Arena. The Islanders enter the game with a solid 12-7-2 record, ranked 3rd in the Metropolitan Division, demonstrating strong offensive stats averaging 3.29 goals per game and effective defensive play, conceding just 6 goals in their last 3 games. The Blues have struggled this season with a 6-9-6 record, ranked 8th in the Central Division, ranking 27th in goals scored per game at 2.71, and facing a recent four-game losing streak factoring into momentum concerns.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Islanders show better offensive and defensive form, averaging 3.29 goals/game and maintaining strong penalty kills. The Blues' offense is less effective, averaging 2.71 goals/game and only converting 14.3% on power plays (ranked 30th). Blues have lost 4 straight games and 2 consecutive road games, while Islanders are on a 2-game winning streak following recent victories over Dallas and Detroit.
- The Islanders won the previous matchup against the Blues on November 23, 2024, with a convincing 3-1 victory. Historically, the Islanders have had an edge both home and away in recent seasons against the Blues.
- No significant injury reports are available from the current data to indicate a key player absence that might heavily influence the match outcome.
- The game is played at the Islanders' home venue, UBS Arena, which gives New York a home-ice advantage. Ice conditions and crowd support are expected to favor the Islanders. No weather or travel disruptions reported.
- The Islanders are motivated to continue their winning streak and improve their strong home record. The Blues seek to halt a four-game losing streak and regain confidence, especially ending their two-game road losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Islanders: -139, St Louis Blues: 112 | New York Islanders to win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | New York Islanders -1.5: 180, St Louis Blues +1.5: -230 | New York Islanders -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 6: -112, Under 6: -112 | Over 6 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Islanders -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the home advantage, superior recent form, and stronger offensive and defensive metrics, the New York Islanders are favored to win the match against the St. Louis Blues.
Predicted Score: New York Islanders 4 – 2 St Louis Blues