Match Analysis: New York Islanders vs Seattle Kraken – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 10:10 PM UTC
- Location: UBS Arena, Elmont, New York
Game Overview
The New York Islanders (12-8-2) host the Seattle Kraken (11-5-5) in a closely contested NHL matchup. Both teams have shown competitive form recently, with the Islanders having a strong home advantage and the Kraken riding momentum from recent wins including a shootout victory. The game is expected to be tight with defensive strengths on both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- Islanders have a home record of 4-4-1 and a league-competitive goals allowed average (2.67 per game, 4th best). Their offense ranks lower (2.71 goals per game, 27th), indicating a defensive style. Kraken hold a solid 11-5-5 overall and have a strong recent away form. Their penalty kill is weaker (70%, 30th) compared to Islanders (82.9%, 10th), which could be exploited.
- Recent matchups have been balanced with slight edge to Krakenβs confidence due to recent shootout victory over Islanders. Both squads have evenly matched personnel and similar point totals in the season standings, suggesting a very competitive contest.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically impact lineups or goaltending performance, ensuring both teams likely utilize close to full strength rosters for this match.
- Game takes place at UBS Arena, providing home ice advantage to Islanders including crowd support and familiar rink conditions. No adverse weather or travel issues reported affecting either team.
- Both teams aim to consolidate playoff positioning in competitive Metropolitan and Pacific divisions, enhancing motivation levels. Islanders seek to defend home turf while Kraken look to build on recent positive momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Islanders: -170, Seattle Kraken: 142 | Seattle Kraken moneyline win | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | New York Islanders -1.5: 150, Seattle Kraken +1.5: -180 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 to cover the spread | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5: 114, Under 6.5: -135 | Under 6.5 total goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New York Islanders 52% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New York Islanders at 52% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Kraken to win in a close game by 1 goal, leveraging defensive lapses and recent strong team form on the road.
Predicted Score: Seattle Kraken 3 – 2 New York Islanders