Match Analysis: New Jersey Devils vs Pittsburgh Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 5:40 PM UTC
- Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey
Game Overview
The New Jersey Devils host the Pittsburgh Penguins in a high-stakes Metropolitan Division matchup featuring two offensively potent teams tied atop the division standings. Both clubs average about 3.6 goals per game and have effective power plays. The Devils are undefeated at home so far and bring momentum from multiple recent victories, while the Penguins possess one of the league's best special teams units and strong road stats.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Devils have won 7 of their last 10 games and are a perfect 6-0 at home with a strong offense averaging 3.6 goals per game and a power play efficiency around 27%. Pittsburgh is 9-4-2 overall with a 5-3-1 road record, scoring similarly at 3.6 goals per game and leading the NHL with a 35.9% power play rate but playing more vulnerable defense.
- Recent history favors the Devils, who have won 7 of the last 10 meetings and 6 consecutive home games vs. the Penguins. The Penguins have lost back-to-back road games prior to this match.
- No major injury concerns reported that critically impact key players on either side. Goaltenders Allen (Devils) and Markstrom (Devils) show contrasting recent form, with Allen stabilizing and Markstrom less reliable. Penguinsβ core offensive players (Crosby, Malkin, Rust) are active.
- Prudential Center home ice advantage strongly favors the Devils. The Devilsβ penalty kills and ability to score shorthanded goals add pressure on Pittsburghβs top power play. Faceoff win percentages slightly favor Pittsburgh, which could influence puck possession.
- Both teams sit tied for first in the Metropolitan Division, making this a critical game for maintaining divisional positioning. The Devils aim to extend their perfect home start, while the Penguins look to continue their strong road form and stop their recent losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -205, away: +163 | New Jersey Devils | β β β β β 76% |
| Spread | home: +125 (Devils -1.5), away: -157 (Penguins +1.5) | New Jersey Devils -1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | over: -108, under: -115 | Over 6.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New Jersey Devils 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New Jersey Devils moneyline and puck line (-1.5), with over 6.5 total goals expected.
Predicted Score: New Jersey Devils 4 – Pittsburgh Penguins 2