Match Analysis: Nashville Predators vs Pittsburgh Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 7:15 PM UTC
- Location: Avicii Arena
Game Overview
The Nashville Predators host the Pittsburgh Penguins in an NHL regular season matchup at Avicii Arena on November 14, 2025. Both teams are in the middle of their respective seasons, with recent form and roster health playing a key role in the outcome. The game is part of the NHL Global Series, adding extra international attention and stakes.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nashville Predators have a record of 4-4-2, earning 10 points in the standings. Pittsburgh Penguins are slightly ahead with a 6-2-1 record and 13 points. Pittsburgh has shown strong offensive output, led by Evgeni Malkin (14 points) and Ryan O'Reilly (9 points), while Nashvilleβs scoring has been more balanced but less prolific. Pittsburghβs defense has allowed fewer goals per game, giving them an edge in consistency.
- Recent head-to-head matchups have been competitive, with Pittsburgh holding a slight advantage in the last five meetings. The last two games between these teams ended in close results, with both teams trading wins and narrow losses. The Penguins have won three of the last five encounters, but Nashville has shown resilience at home.
- No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both rosters are expected to be at full strength, which increases the likelihood of a high-paced, skill-driven game.
- The game is being played at Avicii Arena, which is not Nashvilleβs traditional home venue. This neutral site could impact crowd support and team familiarity with the rink. The Global Series context may also affect player motivation and travel fatigue, especially for Pittsburgh.
- Pittsburgh is fighting for a top spot in the Metropolitan Division, while Nashville is looking to climb the standings after a slow start. Both teams have playoff aspirations, adding extra motivation to secure a win in this high-profile matchup.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nashville Predators: -103, Pittsburgh Penguins: -121 | Pittsburgh Penguins | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Nashville Predators: 1.5 -265, Pittsburgh Penguins: -1.5 200 | Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 6 -125, Under: 6 100 | Over | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pittsburgh Penguins -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pittsburgh Penguins are favored due to their stronger recent form, offensive firepower, and slightly better defensive record. However, Nashvilleβs balanced attack and home-ice advantage (even at a neutral site) could keep the game close. Expect a tight contest with Pittsburgh edging out a narrow victory.
Predicted Score: Nashville Predators 3 – 4 Pittsburgh Penguins