Match Analysis: Nashville Predators vs Pittsburgh Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 14, 2025
- Time: 7:15 PM UTC
- Location: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
Game Overview
Pittsburgh Penguins (9-5-3) travel to Nashville Predators (5-9-4) for a matchup between a playoff-contending Eastern Conference team and a struggling Western Conference squad. The Penguins are significantly outperforming the Predators this season, presenting a clear value opportunity on the away team.
Key Factors to Consider
- Pittsburgh enters with a 9-5-3 record (17 games), demonstrating strong early-season form and consistency. Nashville struggles at 5-9-4 (18 games), sitting well below .500. The Penguins' 55.6% win rate contrasts sharply with Nashville's 27.8% win rate. Nashville has lost 3 of their last 5 games (2-3 record), while their home record against the spread stands at 3-4, suggesting inconsistent performance at Bridgestone Arena.
- No recent head-to-head history provided in available data. The matchup represents a significant skill gap based on season-long records, with Pittsburgh establishing themselves as the superior team.
- No injury information available in the provided search results. This represents a blind spot in the analysis.
- The game takes place at Nashville's home venue, providing the Predators' traditional home-ice advantage. However, this advantage appears insufficient to overcome the substantial talent and form differential.
- Pittsburgh, as a winning team in early November, maintains competitive momentum and playoff positioning goals. Nashville, facing a disappointing season start, needs wins but faces significant challenges against stronger opposition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | PIT -121 / NSH -103 | Pittsburgh Penguins ML | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | PIT -1.5 (200) / NSH +1.5 (-265) | Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 6 (-125) / Under 6 (100) | Under 6 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pittsburgh Penguins 13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Pittsburgh Penguins straight victory with strong confidence. The Penguins' superior record, winning form, and overall team quality present clear value despite laying odds. Nashville's struggles at home (3-4 ATS) and overall record weakness make them an underlay at current pricing.
Predicted Score: Pittsburgh 3, Nashville 2