Match Analysis: Minnesota Wild vs Anaheim Ducks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Xcel Energy Center (Grand Casino Arena), Saint Paul, Minnesota
Game Overview
Western Conference matchup between the Minnesota Wild (home favorites) and the Anaheim Ducks (underdog). The Wild host the Ducks in a Saturday night clash, with Minnesota favored by the sportsbooks despite Anaheim's strong recent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Anaheim Ducks lead the Pacific Division with an 11-5-1 record and are 7-3 over their last 10 games, though they enter on a two-game losing streak (4-1 loss to Colorado, 6-3 loss to Detroit). The Ducks average 3.88 goals per game (2nd best in NHL). Minnesota Wild are 7-3 in their last 10 games and recently lost 2-1 in overtime at home to San Jose Sharks. Wild posted 29 shots in that loss but couldn't capitalize.
- Minnesota dominates the historical matchup, having won 9 of the past 10 meetings against Anaheim and posting 5 consecutive victories. Wild won the most recent meeting 3-2 at Xcel Energy Center.
- No significant injuries reported in available data.
- The game is scheduled at Xcel Energy Center where the Wild play their home games. Anaheim's Lukas Dostal (8-5-1, 2.86 GAA) will start in goal after allowing 8 goals over his last two starts, both losses. The Ducks are facing a team that has historically dominated them, which could weigh on confidence despite recent strong divisional performance.
- Minnesota seeks to bounce back from an overtime loss at home. Anaheim, despite leading their division, faces motivation to end a two-game skid against a team that has owned them historically. The Ducks may be hungry to prove they are a different team than the one the Wild have dominated.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wild -136 | Ducks +108 | Minnesota Wild | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Wild -1.5 (+180) | Ducks +1.5 (-230) | Anaheim Ducks +1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 (-106) | Under 6.5 (-118) | Under 6.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota Wild 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6.5 -4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Minnesota Wild at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota Wild to win 3-2 in a tight, defensively-focused contest. While Anaheim has shown excellent recent form in their division, Minnesota's historical dominance (9-1 H2H), home-ice advantage, and the Ducks' current back-to-back losses create enough resistance to favor the Wild. However, Anaheim's strong underlying metrics and underdog value suggest a closer game than the moneyline odds imply.
Predicted Score: Minnesota Wild 3, Anaheim Ducks 2